The NFL is becoming more of a passing league all the time, right? Well, except for this year.
So far, team’s are averaging 34.2 pass attempts per game, down from 35.7 per team game for last season, 35.7 in 2015 and 34.9 in 2014. You’ll have to go back to 2011 to find a season that averaged fewer attempts per game. (Go ahead; I’ll wait.)
As a result, each game is seeing less passing yardage and fewer TD throws. Those averages are down to 227.2 yards and 1.48 TD passes per team game. That’s a lower rate of yardage than even 2011. And we’re on pace for at least 24 fewer TDs than any of the previous 4 years.
The dip has been noticeable among fantasy QBs. Jared Goff enters Week 10 as the #12 passer in points per game (depending on your format) with a rate that would have ranked him 17th in 2016, 21st in 2015 and 16th in 2014.
Fortunately, that means we don’t need to aim quite as high to get good value from our streaming passers. So let’s take those lowered expectations into Week 10 …