Draft Strategy

3rd-Round Decisions

By Matt Schauf 11:08pm EDT 8/7/18

You’re ready to make your Round 3 selection. So what do you have so far?

Sure, that question might have factored into your thinking last round, but it stands a bigger chance of driving your decision at this point. Your league’s lineup specifications will start to factor in even more, as well, because you’re starting to build out a roster -- not just select the best players.

One other factor here: The further into the draft you get, the more room for variation there will be in actual draft position vs. ADP. That said, Round 3 is still early enough that we can have a pretty good idea of the names we can expect to see.

RB Parity

Check our RB PPR rankings, and you’ll find 13 points separating #15 LeSean McCoy from #16 Jordan Howard. Count 13 points down from Howard’s projected PPR total, though, and you get a range that includes 7 more players.

That’s interesting because only McCoy (3.03) and Joe Mixon (3.01) among our top 16 RBs in that format carry ADPs beyond Round 2. (Even Howard’s sits at 2.10.) Among the 7 backs that follow Howard in our PPR rankings, only Derrius Guice (3.05) sits higher than 4.02 in ADP.

That means you can wait at least another round beyond this turn and expect to get similar value at RB.

The gaps look consistently smaller on the non-PPR side, but there’s a similar evening out in the same range. Eight points separate #14 Jerick McKinnon from #15 McCoy. The next 8 RBs, however, sport no gap larger than 4 points.

Where are the scoring gaps at WR?

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