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5 PPR RB Sleepers


A RB target is essentially worth 3 times more than a carry in PPR leagues. Over the past 3 seasons, a RB carry has been worth an average of .63 PPR points. A target? 1.54 PPR points.

So pinpointing RBs set to see sneaky big volume in the passing game is a surefire way to find values late in your PPR drafts.

Here are 5 RBs usually available in Round 9 or later who have a real chance to catch 40+ balls this season and return big PPR profit.


Jamaal Williams, Lions

We’re projecting D’Andre Swift to comfortably lead Detroit’s backfield in catches this season. But that doesn’t mean that Williams can’t also be a big factor in the passing game.

The Lions sport arguably the worst WR group in the NFL: Tyrell Williams, Breshad Perriman, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Quintez Cephus and Geronimo Allison. So expect the RBs -- along with TE T.J. Hockenson -- to soak up a bunch of the targets.

New OC Anthony Lynn has a history of getting his backs heavily involved in the passing game. His 5 NFL offenses (2016 Bills, 2017-2020 Chargers) have targeted RBs at the following rates:

16.9%

22.1%

27.0%

29.6%

23.8%

For perspective, the league-wide average for RB target rate over that span was 19.7%.

We could also get fairly big passing volume here. The Lions would probably like to be a run-leaning offense. But game script might prevent that. Detroit’s over/under win total is currently set at 5 -- 2nd lowest in the league. That means they’ll likely be trailing early and often, forcing them to shift toward the pass.

Williams is a proven pass catcher, tallying 25+ grabs in all 4 seasons with the Packers, including 70 total across the last 2 years. He’s ranked top 23 among RBs in Pro Football Focus receiving grade in both of the last 2 seasons -- and top 7 in pass-blocking grade.