Volume trumps all in fantasy football. That’s true at WR. And it’s especially true at WR in PPR leagues.
Check out the correlation between targets and PPR points among top 50 WRs over the past 3 seasons:
More targets = more PPR points.
So when mining for sleeper WRs in your PPR drafts, target volume.
Tyler Boyd, Bengals
ADP: 8.01 (WR34)
Projected Targets: 128
This one’s easy.
Boyd has finished 15th and 17th among WRs in PPR points the past 2 seasons — on Bengals teams that ranked 24th and 19th in passing yards. Those squads were mostly piloted by Andy Dalton, with sprinkles of Jeff Driskel and Ryan Finley.
It’s likely that Joe Burrow will be the best QB Boyd has ever played with. Burrow is coming off a record-setting 2019 campaign in a pro-style LSU offense. He should immediately elevate this Bengals passing game — including Boyd.
Team passing volume should also be on Boyd’s side. The 2019 Bengals threw at the 6th-highest rate when games were within 1 score. They also ranked 9th in total plays and 7th in situation-neutral pace. This is an up-tempo, pass-heavy offense.
And if you’re worried about what the return of A.J. Green will do to Boyd’s numbers, stop. Over the past 2 seasons, Boyd has averaged .8 more catches and 15 more yards per game with Green than without him.