FF Tips

Breakout Candidate: D.J. Moore

By Jared Smola 12:07pm EDT 7/3/19


This is a free preview of our player profiles. To read hundreds more like it, plus gain access to our award-winning projections and exclusive MVP Board, become a DS Insider today.


What You Need to Know:

  • Among 82 WRs with 50+ targets last year, Moore ranked 1st in yards-after-catch average, 15th in yards per target and 28th in yards per route run.
  • Over his final 10 games, he ranked 21st among WRs in PPR points and 24th in non-PPR.
  • Devin Funchess’ departure frees up 79 targets (14% of the team total) from last year.


A promising rookie campaign

Moore turned in a nice 55-788-2 line and 36th-place PPR finish as a rookie. But the underlying numbers were even more encouraging.

Moore ranked 36th in PPR points despite finishing just 45th among WRs with 82 targets. He was super efficient, hauling in 67.1% of his targets and averaging 14.3 yards per catch. Those marks ranked 28th and 24th, respectively, among 82 WRs with 50+ targets last year. Moore ranked 15th in that group in yards per target and 28th in yards per route run.

The rookie was especially impressive after the catch. Only 10 WRs racked up more YAC than Moore’s 427 yards. And among those 82 WRs with 50+ targets, none averaged more yards after the catch than Moore’s 7.9. He also put his open-field ability on display by taking 13 carries for 172 yards — a big 13.2 per-carry average.

Moore didn’t hit a 50% snap rate in any of his first 6 games last season. But he topped 70% in each of the last 10. Over that stretch, he averaged 4.2 catches, 59.7 yards and .1 TD per game — plus 12.6 rushing yards per game. Moore ranked 21st among WRs in PPR points during that time and 24th in non-PPR.


2019 outlook

There’s room for more in 2019. It’s fair to expect the 22-year-old Moore to take a step forward in his 2nd NFL season. The departure of Devin Funchess frees up 79 targets (14% of the team total) from last year. Moore will benefit from continuity with the return of OC Norv Turner. And he’s a virtual lock for positive TD regression after scoring on just 3.6% of his catches last year.

The only real concern is QB Cam Newton’s throwing shoulder. He had surgery in January to clean out scar tissue that was affecting his range of motion. It was his 2nd surgery on that right shoulder, following a March 2017 operation to repair a partially torn rotator cuff.

The good news is that Newton’s rehab has seemingly gone smoothly. He resumed throwing in May and is expected to be ready for the start of training camp. Hopefully for Moore’s sake we get a better Newton in 2019 than the one who struggled over the 2nd half of last season.


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Moore turned in a highly efficient rookie campaign, ranking 15th in yards per target and 28th in yards per route run among 82 WRs with 50+ targets. He was a monster after the catch, leading those 82 WRs with a 7.9 yards-after-catch average.

Moore ranked 21st among WRs in PPR points and 24th in non-PPR over his final 10 games last season. He could best that production in year 2, especially with Devin Funchess out of the picture.

The risk comes in the form of QB Cam Newton’s right shoulder, which has been operated on twice in the past 3 years. But if he’s healthy, Moore looks like a high-upside WR2.


Share This!

Agree? Disagree? Tell us what you think in the comments:

comments powered by Disqus

In This Article

Related Fantasy Football

Podcast: NFC South Preview 7-30-20

Tom Brady's arrival is the big NFC South story, but the division gives us plenty more fantasy football intrigue to discuss ...

7:07am EDT 7/31/20 Read More
Premium Content 2020 WR Strength of Schedule

Are the 2020 matchups telling you to grab D.J. Moore in your fantasy football draft?

9:07am EDT 7/22/20 Read More
Do Good Fantasy Players Come From Good Offenses?

How heavily should we way strength of offense when evaluating fantasy players? Let's see what the numbers from the past 5 seasons say ...

1:07pm EDT 7/13/20 Read More
Premium Content Who's Set to Score More or Fewer TDs in 2020?

Find out why Lamar Jackson, Aaron Jones and Kenny Golladay might be in for big dips in TD production this season. And why Travis Kelce, Robert Woods and Leonard Fournette are primed to score more.

2:07pm EDT 7/6/20 Read More
What Will the Teddy Bridgewater-Joe Brady Marriage Mean for Fantasy?

The hard-luck QB brings a strong record of accuracy to a Panthers team coached by NFL newbies. Should you bother with Bridgewater in your fantasy football draft?

6:07am EDT 7/6/20 Read More
Podcast: FFPC Draft Recap 3-26-20

It's always fantasy football drafting season around here. And Jared just wrapped up an FFPC best-ball draft with a friend of ours, so we invited the high-stakes veteran on to talk about what went down.

6:03am EDT 3/27/20 Read More
DFS Podcast: Week 14 FanDuel 12-6-19

Is Devonta Freeman too popular a pick this week? And is it really time to rely on the Buccaneers' defense? This is a funny game.

8:12pm EST 12/6/19 Read More

Read More Articles

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Download on Google Play