FF Tips

Buy/Sell/Hold Report #1

By Draft Sharks Staff 10:09am EDT 9/19/18

HOLD Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs

Mahomes was bandied around the Draft Sharks office as a SELL candidate — and that still might make sense for some owners.

He’s posted insane (and unsustainable) efficiency metrics through 2 games: 10.6 yards per attempt and an 18.2% TD rate. Both marks would easily set NFL records among all QB seasons of 300+ attempts. In other words, don’t expect his fantasy production to continue at this clip.

Then there’s the fact that QB remains as deep as ever. Through 2 weeks, there are 20 QBs averaging 16+ fantasy points per game. That’s even up from last season, when 15 QBs finished with 16+ points per game.

So if you trade Mahomes, you likely either already have another quality QB on your roster or can find one on the waiver wire.

We ultimately made Mahomes a HOLD, though, for 2 reasons:

  1. We expect him to continue to score as an elite fantasy QB the rest of the way, thanks to huge arm talent, an explosive supporting cast and a strong offensive mind in HC Andy Reid. Mahomes' production from the first 2 weeks could get cut by 25% and he’d still be sitting 5th at the position in points.
  2. He has a tasty Week 3 matchup at home for a leaky 49ers defense. Mahomes sits #1 in this week’s QB rankings.

So the optimal move might be to hang onto Mahomes for 1 more week — and then trade him before tough draws in Denver and at home for the Jaguars.

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