FF Tips

Buy/Sell/Hold Report #2

By Draft Sharks Staff 10:10am EDT 10/3/18


BUY Keenan Allen, WR, Chargers

What’s the difference between last year’s Allen and this year’s? Well, through 4 games, it’s 4 targets and 52 yards.

That’s it. Here are the numbers:

Through 4 weeks last year, though, Allen ranked 9th among PPR receivers. This year? 35th. And last season’s 39.4 points through 4 weeks would rank Allen just 27th among wideouts right now.

So the biggest change for Allen has been the obscene passing stats of everyone around him. Even the Chargers are throwing the ball slightly more (36.75 times per game vs. 36.44) but rank 16th so far in attempts compared with 8th at the end of 2017.

Allen’s target share did climb as last season wore on, but it finished at just 27.5% -- 0.8 percentage points higher than during his 4-game start. That kind of climb is certainly possible this year as well.

Allen did also finish last season with more air yards per target (9.5) and yards after catch per reception (5.2) than he has generated to open this season (8.6 and 4.4, respectively). But each of those higher rates stands within reach as well, especially considering the schedule.

According to our Strength of Schedule formula, Allen and the Chargers have already faced 3 of their 6 worst WR-scoring matchups for the year. Going forward, L.A. faces a top-half WR schedule, starting with 3 straight positive matchups before the Week 8 bye.

As long as he remains healthy, Allen looks like he should continue to be at least close to the guy he was last year. Even if the rest of the league continues to deliver bigger passing stats, that 2017 Allen sure isn’t gonna hurt your team.


Sorry, the rest of this content is reserved for DS Insiders.

Get instant access to read it all.

Get the insider information

Already a DS Insider? Login now

Share This!

Agree? Disagree? Tell us what you think in the comments:

comments powered by Disqus

Related Fantasy Football

Fantasy Football Podcast: NFL Free Agency 3-14-19

The start of NFL free agency always brings a flurry of moves. But this year's trade market has added even more intrigue. Let's talk Odell Beckham, Antonio Brown and MUCH more.

11:03pm EDT 3/14/19 Read More
Premium Content Offseason Dynasty Refocus: WR

What did 2018's breakthrough performers at wideout reveal to us? Which young guys should we be buying ... or selling? Let's reset this position ...

9:02pm EST 2/26/19 Read More
Premium Content Offseason Dynasty Refocus: RB

Youth reigns at the top of our RB dynasty rankings. Let's dig further into the trends, though, where they lead us and who you should look into buying or selling this offseason.

4:02pm EST 2/21/19 Read More
First Draft Recap of 2019

Does Todd Gurley still lead the way for 2019? How quickly do things change when you're drafting before spring? And where might the values lie? Last season's over. Let's look ahead ...

12:02pm EST 2/15/19 Read More
Fantasy Football Podcast: Dynasty RBs 2-14-19

Is Phillip Lindsay a stud to keep or a flash to sell? Who leads the dynasty rankings after a huge year for young receiving backs? We're talking updates, outlooks and buy/sell candidates ...

5:02pm EST 2/14/19 Read More
Fantasy Football Podcast: Wild Card NFL Playoffs 1-3-19

Drafting a fantasy football league for the playoffs? Jumping into the FFPC Playoff Challenge? Just playing DFS? We got ya covered ...

9:01pm EST 1/3/19 Read More
DFS Podcast: Week 15 DraftKings 12-14-18

Doug Martin? Nick Mullens? David Moore? Week 15 could be a tough one with an ugly main DFS slate ...

2:12pm EST 12/14/18 Read More

Read More Articles

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Download on Google Play