Week 12 brings us the 1st Bears-Packers matchup of the season. I’ll give you a minute to calm down your excitement.
Last year’s meetings produced 13 total points in Week 1 at Chicago and then 34 at Green Bay in Week 15. The Bears’ offense actually out-gained the Packers each time, with a high point of 415 yards in the 2nd meeting.
Mitchell Trubisky threw for 334 yards and a TD (plus 3 INTs) on 53 pass attempts in that contest. Both Allen Robinson (7-125) and Anthony Miller (9-118-1) went over 100 yards.
Trubisky actually started the 1st meeting, too. He managed just 228 yards, 0 TDs and 1 INT in that one, though. Robinson also had a big game there (7-102), but the only other 2 Bears to catch more than 2 balls were RBs Tarik Cohen and Mike Davis.
Trubisky makes his … return for this meeting, his first action since a single rushing attempt in Week 8 (and 1st start since Week 3).
On the other side, Aaron Rodgers threw for exactly 203 yards and 1 TD in each meeting with the Bears last season. This year has obviously found Rodgers well outproducing his 2019 numbers overall. Chicago remains among the league’s top defenses, though: 4th in overall DVOA, 3rd against the pass.
Our adjusted fantasy points allowed has the Bears as the 7th-worst scoring matchup for QBs.
Let’s get to the values for this slugfest ...