Show Navigation
Show Menu

DFS

DFS Showdown Tips: Buccaneers-Giants

By Matt Schauf 1:11pm EST 11/2/20


Playing the DFS showdowns might be the only way to make this week’s Monday night game palatable.

The Giants sport a defense that looks decent only in comparison to the team’s garbage offense. The D entered Week 8 ranked 19th in overall DVOA but much stronger in the less-important area of run defense (11th) than pass (27th).

The offense, though, looks at those numbers wistfully, dreaming of the day it might climb to such heights. That unit entered Week 8 ranked 30th in overall DVOA: 28th in passing, 25th rushing.

Is there another team in the NFL that would be worse off for missing RB Devonta Freeman (ankle)?

The Buccaneers, meanwhile, check in at 6th in offensive DVOA and tops on defense. Tampa opened as an enormous 10-point road favorite … and that number has since climbed by 3 points.

Let’s get to the values …


DraftKings


A couple of Giants top this chart, but that’s primarily because the group has played so poorly that it’s pushing everyone’s prices down. Dion Lewis gains a little upside with Devonta Freeman being out, but the coaches don’t even want to give him the ball. The veteran has had just 1 game all season in which he exceeded 3 touches. That was the Week 2 trip to Chicago in which Saquon Barkley … well, you know.

Golden Tate has seen just 3 targets and caught a mere 2 passes over the past 2 games, even though Sterling Shepard returned just last week. Tate saw a season low in playing time with Shepard back. He did still run a route on 61.5% of Daniel Jones’ dropbacks, at least. So I’d try to fit Tate as the cheap Giant over settling for Lewis.

It’s also worth noting that Shepard played just 21.1% of his snaps in the slot in his Week 7 return. Lining up as the primary slot man (83% of his snaps so far) sets Tate up with easily the best individual matchup among Giants wideouts in coverage.

On the Bucs side, Mike Evans draws James Bradberry in likely shadow coverage. Bradberry ranks 6th among all corners in Pro Football Focus coverage grade so far this season. I wouldn’t avoid Evans completely if you’re building multiple showdown lineups. But leaning away from him might be a good way to differentiate, especially in a single-entry field.

FanDuel

You could do worse than starting your FanDuel build with the first 3 Buccaneers in this chart. Tyler Johnson has seen just 9 total targets on the season. But his 3 looks over the past 2 games have included 2 short-range TDs. Both of those came with Chris Godwin active. Last time Godwin sat out, Johnson ran routes on 82% of Tom Brady’s dropbacks and drew 6 targets (at Chicago).

The biggest drag on FD might be not having the Bucs defense available. So get your exposure to the D on DK (perhaps even in the captain spot … seriously). And if there’s a Bucs player you’re having trouble fitting into your DK lineups, then consider getting that exposure here instead. Evans, for example, might be a better FD play with the half-PPR scoring -- increasing the value of TDs. He’ll always be a threat in that category.You could do worse than starting your FanDuel build with the first 3 Buccaneers in this chart. Tyler Johnson has seen just 9 total targets on the season. But his 3 looks over the past 2 games have included 2 short-range TDs. Both of those came with Chris Godwin active. Last time Godwin sat out, Johnson ran routes on 82% of Tom Brady’s dropbacks and drew 6 targets (at Chicago).

Related Fantasy Football

Premium Content Premium ContentFFPC Main-Event Running Draft Recap

FFPC Main-Event Running Draft Recap

3:07pm EDT 7/11/21

Follow along as Matt recaps his 1st foray into high stakes ...

Read More »
Podcast: NFC South Preview 7-7-21

Podcast: NFC South Preview 7-7-21

1:07pm EDT 7/8/21

Drew Brees is gone. Julio Jones is gone. Tom Brady won't go away. What lies ahead for a division that has been loaded with fantasy football upside in recent years?

Read More »
Premium Content Premium Content7 High-Upside Stacks

7 High-Upside Stacks

8:07am EDT 7/8/21

Are the Bears and Colts set to be sneaky strong stacks this season? We're digging into that -- plus 5 more stacks to target in fantasy drafts.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentThe 6 Most Impactful Offensive Lines

The 6 Most Impactful Offensive Lines

10:06am EDT 6/30/21

Which offensive lines are set to boost fantasy production in 2021? And which units do we need to worry about?

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentWho's set to score more or fewer TDs in 2021?

Who's set to score more or fewer TDs in 2021?

8:06am EDT 6/23/21

Pinpointing last year's underachievers and overachievers in the TD column is an easy way to spot overvalued and undervalued players in 2021 fantasy drafts.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium Content2020 TE Scoring Review

2020 TE Scoring Review

10:03pm EDT 3/22/21

You know that Travis Kelce and Darren Waller dominated this position in 2020 fantasy football leagues. But there's a lot more you should know as you head into your 2021 drafts ...

Read More »
Podcast: Rankings Release 3-9-21

Podcast: Rankings Release 3-9-21

2:03pm EST 3/9/21

Our fantasy football projections and MVP Board are live, earlier than they've ever been before. Jared rejoins Matt to run through some of the highlights and early drafting tips.

Read More »

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Download on Google Play