Show Navigation
Show Menu

DFS

DFS Showdown Tips: Rams-49ers

By Matt Schauf 3:45pm EST 11/15/21


It’s been quite a week and a half for the Rams.

L.A. entered last Sunday night as a TD favorite over the Titans. But then Tennessee quickly took control of a shockingly ugly Rams performance. After taking just 7 sacks through his first 8 games and throwing 4 total INTs, Matthew Stafford went down 5 times and tossed a pair of INTs to the Titans.

L.A. then won the Odell Beckham Jr. sweepstakes on Friday … only to lose Robert Woods for the year on the same day.

San Francisco, meanwhile, arrives as an offense you’re probably underrating.

The 49ers rank just 17th in the league in scoring to date. But they check in 11th in yardage and an even stronger 6th in Football Outsiders offensive DVOA. San Francisco sits 8th in passing offense and 3rd rushing.

Elijah Mitchell more than doubled his season target total last time out, collecting 5 of them in a game that saw Jamycal Hasty garner another 4. Hasty will miss tonight’s game, but Jeff Wilson Jr. is expected to be more involved. HC Kyle Shanahan has said only that Wilson “will have a role,” according to ESPN’s Nick Wagoner.

Brandon Aiyuk arrives having finally put together consecutive positive games. And that didn’t stop George Kittle from returning with a grand 6-101-1 receiving line.

That game also marked the 2nd straight in which Jimmy Garoppolo threw for 320+ yards. Is more of that coming? Garoppolo did hit up the Rams for 268 yards and 3 TDs in his lone shot at them last season.

Let’s check the values for tonight’s clash …


DraftKings


How much work will we actually see for Jeff Wilson Jr. tonight? That’s anyone’s guess. As the #2 RB the past 3 games, Jamycal Hasty garnered just 7 carries to 44 for Elijah Mitchell. The price is certainly right, at least, for taking a chance on Wilson stealing a goal-line touch or 2.

Despite Jimmy Garoppolo’s big numbers the past 2 weeks, it’s tough to not start with Matthew Stafford here. The 49ers arrive as the 2nd most friendly scoring matchup for QBs by our adjusted fantasy points allowed. Football Outsiders rates San Francisco just 25th in pass-defense DVOA, compared with #6 vs. the run. Of course, it was the 49ers who just allowed James Conner’s huge day of 3 TDs and 173 total yards.

L.A.’s defense has leaned the opposite way, rating 5th in pass-defense DVOA and 14th vs. the run. That seems like good news for Elijah Mitchell. The Rams have allowed RB TDs each of the past 4 weeks.


FanDuel


Van Jefferson checks in $2000 cheaper than Odell Beckham Jr. on both sites … somehow. Here’s what HC Sean McVay had to say Friday about Beckham’s chances against the 49ers: “There’s a chance. We’re going to see. You can see he’s a really sharp guy. We haven’t practiced yet [Saturday], but [I] like the look in his eye and we’ll see how he’s feeling, and we’ll see what that looks like as far as how we are able to utilize him if he’s able to go on Monday.”

So, we’ll see. It’s tough to expect more from him than from Jefferson in their 1st game together, though.

George Kittle will cost you $3000 more than Brandon Aiyuk but checks in $2500 short of Deebo Samuel's price. That makes him attractive against a Rams D who's biggest weakness -- according to adjusted points allowed -- has been TE. L.A. ranks 3rd friendliest against that position. Kittle has dominated the Rams in his career, including a 7-109-1 line in his only meeting last year.

Related Fantasy Football

Podcast: NFC West Preview 6-30-22

Podcast: NFC West Preview 6-30-22

1:45pm EDT 6/30/22

Working through fantasy football rankings and best-ball picks for the Arizona Cardinals, Los Angeles Rams, San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium Content2022 Offensive Line Almanac

2022 Offensive Line Almanac

8:43am EDT 6/30/22

Everything you need to know about all 32 offensive lines -- and how they'll impact your fantasy season.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium Content2022 QB Strength of Schedule

2022 QB Strength of Schedule

3:15pm EDT 6/22/22

Before you draft Joe Burrow, you might want to know something about his fantasy football schedule ...

Read More »
FFPC Dynasty Startup Recap

FFPC Dynasty Startup Recap

6:10am EDT 6/4/22

How should you attack a dynasty startup draft? Here's how Matt's doing so in a new best-ball, superflex league on FFPC ...

Read More »
Podcast: Best-Ball ADP Value Check 5-18-22

Podcast: Best-Ball ADP Value Check 5-18-22

10:50am EDT 5/19/22

Matt and Jared look to ADPs from Underdog, FFPC, DraftKings and others to reveal current sleepers in the market and some guys going WAY too early ...

Read More »
Can Chase Edmonds Emerge in a Crowded Miami Backfield?

Can Chase Edmonds Emerge in a Crowded Miami Backfield?

7:05am EDT 5/17/22

The Dolphins added Edmonds early in free agency, but he certainly wasn't their only offseason RB addition.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentNFL Draft Impact: Dynasty Winners and Losers

NFL Draft Impact: Dynasty Winners and Losers

10:39am EDT 5/6/22

Take a peek at 21 risers and fallers following the 2022 NFL Draft.

Read More »

Dominate your Fantasy League with

the Ultimate Tool Stack

In the heat of a draft, you want as much intel as possible. The key is integrating that into one simple, powerful tool.

Dominate your Fantasy League with

the Ultimate Tool Stack

In the heat of a draft, you want as much intel as possible. The key is integrating that into one simple, powerful tool.
3D Projections

3D Projections

3D Projections: True Dimension of Every Player’s Potential

Based on our award-winning projections, an axis of data points give insights far deeper than a ranking

View Our Accuracy Awards View Our Accuracy Awards »

Advice Draft Strategy

Advice That’s Actionable on Draft Day

Round-by-Round Draft Strategy Guides, Sleepers, Undervalued Players, Busts and Handcuffs

3D Projections

Draft War Room

Draft War Room: Intel Turned Into Killer Picks

Command your entire draft with a dynamic tool synced to your league. Updating and adapting in real time.

3D Projections

Keep Dominating Throughout The Season

Quickly find the free-agent gems, pull the trigger on the perfect trade & make the right start/sit decisions.

Keep Dominating
Draft Sharks

$6/month thereafter, billed semi-annually, one-click cancel anytime.

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Get It on Google Play