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DFS Showdown Tips: Ravens-Patriots

By Matt Schauf 6:11pm EST 11/15/20


It feels like we’ve had a lot of ugly primetime matchups lately.

How ugly does tonight’s look? The top value in the first chart below is a kicker. The 3rd is a defense that you probably shouldn’t play. And in between sits a member of a committee that’s probably getting more crowded tonight.

As you’re building lineups, be aware that the following players are questionable:

Patriots RB Damien Harris
Patriots K Nick Folk
Patriots WR N’Keal Harry (whom we didn’t project this week)
Ravens RB Mark Ingram

Let’s check the values …

DraftKings

I don’t like how high the Patriots’ D sits on this chart. There’s sack upside to facing Baltimore, and that’s what’s driving the projection. But this team has allowed 27 points to the Jets and 33 to the 49ers within its past 3 games. I wouldn’t recommend forcing the New England D into a lineup, unless you’re submitting a fair number of them.

Damien Harris looks like the easiest fade here -- and would be near that even if he weren’t dealing with a pair of injuries. Rex Burkhead and James White look far more interesting. Burkhead is New England’s top pass-blocking back. That obviously doesn’t help his fantasy value, but it could put him on the field more. White hasn’t loaded up on targets over the past 3 games (10 total) but remains the most frequent route-runner among Patriots RBs.

On the Baltimore side: Bet on the running game over the passing game. But it’s tough to know how the carries will be split if Mark Ingram returns. You might want to submit multiple lineups to cover each committee member.

FanDuel


I’m having trouble focusing on anything else here beyond FanDuel pricing Cam Newton ahead of Lamar Jackson. … WHAT?!?!

Burkhead comes up $500 cheaper than White here, whereas White stands $600 cheaper than Burkhead on DK. Keep that in mind if you’re playing showdowns on both sites.

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