The Sunday night game features the league’s #8 scoring offense hosting the league’s #7 scoring offense.
The Bills check in at #7 in overall offensive DVOA, while the Steelers sit all the way down at 17.
But Pittsburgh’s defense rates much better: #1 in DVOA vs. Buffalo at 16.
That has kept Steelers games down to averaging 45.4 total points this season. Bills contests, meanwhile, have averaged 53.5 points.
The pairing carries just the 8th highest over/under on this week’s slate at 48.5 (up 1.5 from where it opened). There’s at least upside for Pittsburgh and Buffalo to combine for much more.
The Steelers could use some help from the running game after leaning heavily on the pass over the past 5 weeks. Will James Conner supply that help in his return? Will Pittsburgh coaches give him a chance?
Let’s get to the values …