Show Navigation
Show Menu

FF Tips

Dynasty Prospect Profile: Sam Darnold

By Matt Schauf 9:03am EDT 3/21/18


Sam Darnold, QB, USC

Height: 6’3
Weight: 221
Age: 20.8


Combine Results

(percentile rank among all QBs at Combine since 1999, courtesy of Mockdraftable.com):

40-yard dash: 4.85 seconds (41st)
Vertical: 26.5 inches (7th)
Broad: 105 inches (20th)
3-cone: 6.96 seconds (73rd)
20-yard shuttle: 4.40 seconds (37th)


College Career

Darnold didn’t sneak onto the college scene like Baker Mayfield. He arrived a relative star -- like rival Josh Rosen.

Darnold hit USC as a high school All-American and the 2014 Orange County Offensive Player of the Year. He further proved his athletic prowess on the baseball field and basketball court.

With Cody Kessler already in place, Darnold took a 2015 redshirt. He then opened 2016 behind Max Browne on the depth chart, watching the junior start the 1st 3 games. But Darnold took over against Utah in Week 4 and spent the rest of the year in charge. (Browne then transferred to Pittsburgh.)

After a scoreless 1st start, Darnold tossed 2+ TD passes in each of the final 9 contests, averaging 3.4 a week. He finished the campaign 9th in the country in passing efficiency.

Darnold’s numbers slipped a bit in 2017, in a Trojans offense that lost top WR JuJu Smith-Schuster. But he earned 1st-team All-Pac-12 honors from the coaches, leading the league in passing yards and yards per attempt and ranking 2nd in passing efficiency.

Darnold also led the conference with 13 INTs and prompted ball-security questions with his 22 total turnovers (9 lost fumbles among 11 total). But he overcame a 6-INT start over the season’s 1st 3 weeks to toss just 7 more over the final 11 contests.


Film Study

Games watched: Western Michigan, Arizona State, Texas, Notre Dame, Stanford, Utah (2016)

Like with Mayfield and Rosen (already profiled), it’s not hard to see the NFL upside in Darnold.

The USC passer brings plenty of arm, as evident on the 3 TDs he threw against Texas last season -- without stepping into any of them.


Darnold displayed across the games I watched the tendency to rely on his arm strength over ideal throwing mechanics to deliver his passes. It’ll be up to his pro coaches to decide whether to fix that or just let the QB do his thing. The throwing windows will get tighter in the pros, though.

That said, Darnold also brings terrific accuracy and quick decision-making, despite an elongated release. First a slow-mo of that attribute …


But now watch him zip a quick slant to his WR in stride …


And deliver a tremendous touch pass for a TD while rolling to his right …


That play seems to summarize Darnold pretty well:

-- mobility to get outside the pocket
-- arm talent to toss a perfect ball without setting his feet
-- the … (let’s go with everyone’s favorite) moxie … to attempt the difficult end zone throw instead of a safer, nearer sideline option on 1st-and-10 inside the final minute of the 2nd quarter
-- and the accuracy to deliver the ball into the only spot he could complete it.

Sure, it took a terrific catch on the other end, but coverage dictated that Darnold couldn’t have tossed that ball any shorter, deeper or further from the sideline.

That moxie, of course, can get QBs into trouble at times. It did so twice for INTs in Darnold’s surprisingly poor 2017-opening performance against Western Michigan, as well as on this ball against Arizona …


But, again, that’ll be more of a concern for Darnold’s coaches than his fantasy owners.

Finally, although his rushing production fell way off in his 2nd season, Darnold showed over the past 2 years that his mobility can do more than just move him around the pocket. He’s capable of adding some ground stats in the NFL.


Fantasy Potential

NFL.com’s Lance Zierlein likens Darnold to Andrew Luck. WalterFootball.com’s Charlie Campbell picks Philip Rivers. I don’t think Darnold sports quite as much arm as Luck, but I see that comp more than Rivers because of the mobility.

This year’s QBs look tightly packed up top, and you’ll find the names shuffled depending on which draftnik’s rankings you’re checking. I won’t pretend to know who’ll enjoy a better pro career between Darnold and Josh Rosen. If I could accurately determine that, I’d probably have a much more lucrative and stressful job. Darnold clearly isn’t as clean a prospect on the field than Rosen, for what that’s worth.

I do believe the Trojan beats the Bruin in fantasy outlook, though, because of the displayed ability and willingness to run the ball. Landing spot will matter, because I think Darnold’s flaws could become issues if he's surrounded by poor pass protection and iffy receivers.

Related Fantasy Football

Podcast: NFC West Preview 6-30-22

Podcast: NFC West Preview 6-30-22

1:45pm EDT 6/30/22

Working through fantasy football rankings and best-ball picks for the Arizona Cardinals, Los Angeles Rams, San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium Content2022 Offensive Line Almanac

2022 Offensive Line Almanac

8:43am EDT 6/30/22

Everything you need to know about all 32 offensive lines -- and how they'll impact your fantasy season.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentWhat You Need to Know About 2022 Coaching Changes

What You Need to Know About 2022 Coaching Changes

4:05pm EDT 6/27/22

The league largely favored youth when hiring HCs and OCs this offseason. So what do the moves mean for us in fantasy?

Read More »
How High Can Mike Williams' Fantasy Ceiling Climb in 2022?

How High Can Mike Williams' Fantasy Ceiling Climb in 2022?

10:28am EDT 6/27/22

Mike Williams is coming off a career year, finishing as a top-14 WR across fantasy scoring formats. Does he have upside beyond that in 2022?

Read More »
Marquise Brown a Perfect Fit in Arizona

Marquise Brown a Perfect Fit in Arizona

10:00am EDT 6/16/22

Marquise Brown reunites with his former college QB in Arizona and has a shot to post the best fantasy season of his career.

Read More »
Nothing Fluky About Cooper Kupp's Big 2021 Season

Nothing Fluky About Cooper Kupp's Big 2021 Season

11:22am EDT 6/13/22

Will Cooper Kupp match last year's insane production in 2022? Probably not. But here's why we're not expecting a big decline ...

Read More »
2022 Looks Like a Make or Break Year for Cole Kmet

2022 Looks Like a Make or Break Year for Cole Kmet

2:00pm EDT 6/10/22

Is Kmet someone you should trust in summer fantasy football drafts?

Read More »

Dominate your Fantasy League with

the Ultimate Tool Stack

In the heat of a draft, you want as much intel as possible. The key is integrating that into one simple, powerful tool.

Dominate your Fantasy League with

the Ultimate Tool Stack

In the heat of a draft, you want as much intel as possible. The key is integrating that into one simple, powerful tool.
3D Projections

3D Projections

3D Projections: True Dimension of Every Player’s Potential

Based on our award-winning projections, an axis of data points give insights far deeper than a ranking

View Our Accuracy Awards View Our Accuracy Awards »

Advice Draft Strategy

Advice That’s Actionable on Draft Day

Round-by-Round Draft Strategy Guides, Sleepers, Undervalued Players, Busts and Handcuffs

3D Projections

Draft War Room

Draft War Room: Intel Turned Into Killer Picks

Command your entire draft with a dynamic tool synced to your league. Updating and adapting in real time.

3D Projections

Keep Dominating Throughout The Season

Quickly find the free-agent gems, pull the trigger on the perfect trade & make the right start/sit decisions.

Keep Dominating
Draft Sharks

$6/month thereafter, billed semi-annually, one-click cancel anytime.

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Get It on Google Play