Fantasy Takeaways from Week 11 Usage

By Jared Smola 8:58am EST 11/23/22

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Arizona Cardinals

RB snap rates:

James Conner - 77%
Keaontay Ingram - 25%

Route rates:

James Conner - 68%
Keaontay Ingram - 18%

Greg Dortch - 94%
A.J. Green - 78%
DeAndre Hopkins - 74%
Robbie Anderson - 52%
Rondale Moore - 2% (injured)

Trey McBride - 72%
Stephen Anderson - 16%
Maxx Williams - 4%

Takeaways:

• The Cardinals pulled some starters early in the 4th quarter, but Conner was again dominating backfield work before that.
• Dortch stepped right into the Rondale Moore role, drawing 10 targets for a 23% share. (Although he hurt his thumb at some point during this game.)
• Nice route rate for McBride, but he tallied just 4 targets for a 9% share. Consider him a TE2 until we see him earn targets at a higher rate.

Atlanta Falcons

RB snap rates:

Tyler Allgeier - 55%
Cordarrelle Patterson - 49%
Caleb Huntley - 4%

Route rates:

Tyler Allgeier - 46%
Cordarrelle Patterson - 38%
Caleb Huntley - 4%

Drake London - 92%
Olamide Zaccheaus - 85%
Damiere Byrd - 50%
KhaDarel Hodge - 4%

Kyle Pitts - 65% (injured)
Parker Hesse - 27%
MyCole Pruitt - 23%

Takeaways:

• This was Patterson’s highest snap rate since returning from injury, although the volume (10 carries and 2 targets) was still underwhelming.
• Pitts’ absence leaves behind 5.9 targets per game. London should soak up a chunk of that, potentially getting him back into WR3 territory.

Baltimore Ravens

RB snap rates:

Kenyan Drake - 51%
Justice Hill - 41%
Mike Davis - 1%

Route rates:

Kenyan Drake - 31%
Justice Hill - 31%
Mike Davis - 3%

Devin Duvernay - 95%
Demarcus Robinson - 79%
James Proche - 33%
Tylan Wallace - 3%

Mark Andrews - 97%
Isaiah Likely - 44%
Josh Oliver - 18%

Takeaways:

• Drake tallied 10 carries and 4 targets to Hill’s 7 carries and 3 targets. RB Gus Edwards figures to be back for Week 12.
• Robinson hogged 27% of Ravens targets in this one. He totaled 12 targets on a 20% share over the previous 2 games. He’s certainly the best fantasy bet in this WR corps but should be considered just a WR4.
• Andrews didn’t have a huge fantasy outing but posted an elite 97% route rate and strong 24% target share.

Buffalo Bills

RB snap rates:

Devin Singletary - 72%
James Cook - 25%
Nyheim Hines - 15%

Routes rates:

Devin Singletary - 72%
James Cook - 9%
Nyheim Hines - 6%

Gabriel Davis - 94%
Stefon Diggs - 88%
Isaiah McKenzie - 53%
Khalil Shakir - 19%
Tanner Gentry - 6%

Dawson Knox - 84%
Quintin Morris - 28%

Takeaways:

• The Bills posted a -5% Pass Rate Over Expected – the first time all season they’ve been below 0.
• Cook was the biggest beneficiary of that play-calling, matching a season-high with 11 carries, despite his snap rate staying in line with where it’d been the previous 3 games. I’m not ready to bank on that level of volume going forward.
• Davis drew 7 targets for a 26% share, bringing him up to a 22.5% share over his last 4 outings.
• Knox set season highs with 7 targets and a 26% target share in this one.

Carolina Panthers

RB snap rates:

Chuba Hubbard - 40%
D’Onta Foreman - 39%
Raheem Blackshear - 19%

Route rates:

Chuba Hubbard - 29%
D’Onta Foreman - 26%
Raheem Blackshear - 26%

D.J. Moore - 98%
Terrace Marshall - 93%
Shi Smith - 69%
Laviska Shenault - 24%

Tommy Tremble - 38%
Ian Thomas - 36%
Stephen Sullivan - 36%

Takeaways:

• Foreman out-carried Hubbard 11 to 4 – but Hubbard actually played 1 more snap. And Blackshear turned it into a 3-way split on passing downs.

Chicago Bears

RB snap rates:

David Montgomery - 80%
Trestan Ebner - 22%
Darrynton Evans - 3%

Route rates:

David Montgomery - 76%
Trestan Ebner - 18%
Darrynton Evans - 6%

Darnell Mooney - 88%
Equanimeous St. Brown - 68%
Chase Claypool - 53%
Dante Pettis - 26%
Byron Pringle - 21%
Velus Jones - 6%

Cole Kmet - 82%
Ryan Griffin - 9%
Trevon Wesco - 9%

Takeaways:

• As expected, Montgomery dominated backfield work with Khalil Herbert out. Montgomery handled 17 of 23 RB carries (74%) and saw 4 targets (19% share).
• This was Claypool’s highest route rate as a Bear – but still not a level that makes him a viable fantasy play.

Cincinnati Bengals

RB snap rates:

Samaje Perine - 70%
Joe Mixon - 21% (injured)
Trayveon Williams - 12%

Route rates:

Samaje Perine - 55%
Joe Mixon - 17% (injured)
Trayveon Williams - 7%

Tyler Boyd - 98%
Tee Higgins - 90%
Trenton Irwin - 79%
Trent Taylor - 17%
Mike Thomas - 14%
Stanley Morgan - 2%

Hayden Hurst - 81%
Mitchell Wilcox - 17%

Takeaways:

• Expect workhorse usage for Perine if Mixon’s concussion keeps him out. Note that RB Chris Evans missed this game with a knee injury.
• Boyd has averaged just 6.0 targets on a 17% share over the past 3 games without WR Ja’Marr Chase. He averaged 5.4 targets on a 14% share over his first 7 games.

Cleveland Browns

RB snap rates:

Nick Chubb - 55%
Kareem Hunt - 43%

Route rates:

Nick Chubb - 38%
Kareem Hunt - 33%

Donovan Peoples-Jones - 98%
Amari Cooper - 87%
David Bell - 62%
Anthony Scwartz - 13%
Michael Woods - 10%

Harrison Bryant - 58%
David Njoku - 40%
Pharaoh Brown - 12%

Takeaways:

• Even in trailing game script, Hunt ran fewer routes than Chubb and finished with just 5 carries and 2 targets. He’s failed to top 7 opportunities in 4 of his last 5 games now.
• Njoku was clearly limited in his return from that high-ankle sprain. His playing time should climb going forward, but he’s best left on fantasy benches in Week 12.

Dallas Cowboys

RB snap rates:

Tony Pollard - 54%
Ezekiel Elliott - 29%
Malik Davis - 18%

Route rates:

Tony Pollard - 56%
Malik Davis - 18%
Ezekiel Elliott - 15%

Noah Brown - 74%
CeeDee Lamb - 71%
Michael Gallup - 68%
Jalen Tolbert - 21%
KaVontae Turpin - 18%

Dalton Schultz - 68%
Peyton Hendershot - 29%
Jake Ferguson - 26%
Sean McKeon - 9%

Takeaways:

• The Cowboys pulled starters in the 4th quarter of this blowout win.
• Pollard matched Elliott with 15 carries and out-targeted Zeke 6 to 1.

Denver Broncos

RB snap rates:

Latavius Murray - 50%
Melvin Gordon - 45%
Chase Edmonds - 5% (injured)

Route rates:

Melvin Gordon - 38%
Latavius Murray - 30%
Chase Edmonds - 3% (injured)

Courtland Sutton - 97%
Kendall Hinton - 86%
Brandon Johnson - 38%
Montrell Washington - 16%
Jalen Virgil - 8%

Greg Dulcich - 84%
Eric Saubert - 32%
Eric Tomlinson - 22%

Takeaways:

• With Gordon released and Edmonds placed on IR with a high-ankle sprain, Murray suddenly finds himself as a potential workhorse back. Marlon Mack and Devize Ozigbo are the only other RBs on Denver’s roster. Mike Boone is eligible to come off IR in Week 13.
• Dulcich underwhelmed with a 4-30 line but posted nice usage metrics again: 84% route rate and a 16% target share.

Detroit Lions

RB snap rates:

Jamaal Williams - 48%
Justin Jackson - 37%
D’Andre Swift - 31%

Route rates:

Justin Jackson - 32%
D’Andre Swift - 32%
Jamaal Williams - 23%

Amon-Ra St. Brown - 94%
Kalif Raymond - 84%
Tom Kennedy - 35%
D.J. Chark - 19%

Brock Wright - 48%
Shane Zylstra - 19%
James Mitchell - 16%

Takeaways:

• Swift trailed both Williams and Jackson in snaps. He’s now played 16%, 31% and 31% of Lions offensive snaps over the past 3 weeks – after playing 55% in his 1st game back from injury.
• Chark played 11 snaps and ran 6 routes in his return from his ankle injury.

Green Bay Packers

RB snap rates:

Aaron Jones - 66%
A.J. Dillon - 48%

Route rates:

Aaron Jones - 59%
A.J. Dillon - 44%

Allen Lazard - 98%
Christian Watson - 78%
Randall Cobb - 63%
Sammy Watkins - 34%
Samori Toure - 7%

Robert Tonyan - 71%
Josiah Deguara - 15%
Marcedes Lewis - 10%
Tyler Davis - 5%

Takeaways:

• Watson has scored on 5 of 8 receptions over the past 2 weeks. His 6 targets were just 15% of Green Bay’s total on Thursday night – although the route rate remained solid.

Houston Texans

RB snap rates:

Dameon Pierce - 77%
Rex Burkhead - 16%
Dare Ogunbowale - 7%

Route rates:

Dameon Pierce - 55%
Rex Burkhead - 21%
Dare Ogunbowale - 10%

Nico Collins - 83%
Brandin Cooks - 81%
Chris Moore - 62%
Phillip Dorsett - 29%

Jordan Akins - 57%
Teagan Quitoriano - 48%
O.J. Howard - 21%

Takeaways:

• Pierce was crushed by a total dud from the Texans, but his usage remained strong. He handled all 10 RB carries and drew 3 targets for a 9% share.
• Cooks got back to his usual playing time after being limited last week. He saw 6 targets for an 18% share.

Indianapolis Colts

RB snap rates:

Jonathan Taylor - 75%
Deon Jackson - 20%
Zack Moss - 6%

Route rates:

Jonathan Taylor - 65%
Deon Jackson - 24%
Zack Moss - 3%

Michael Pittman - 100%
Alec Pierce - 89%
Parris Campbell - 78%
Ashton Dulin - 22%

Kylen Granson - 49%
Mo Alie-Cox - 46%

Takeaways:

• Taylor lost some passing-down work to Jackson, but you can’t complain about 22 carries and 4 targets.
• Pierce ran more routes than Campbell for the 1st time this season and led the Colts with 8 targets (25% share). The rookie is an intriguing waiver-wire target in deeper leagues. Week 12 brings a plus matchup vs. the Steelers

Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars had a Week 11 bye.

Kansas City Chiefs

RB snap rates:

Jerick McKinnon - 52%
Isiah Pacheco - 40%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire - 8% (injured)

Route rates:

Jerick McKinnon - 49%
Isiah Pacheco - 24%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire - 5% (injured)

Justin Watson - 98%
Marquez Valdes-Scantling - 78%
Skyy Moore - 46%
Kadarius Toney - 22% (injured)
Marcus Kemp - 2%

Travis Kelce - 76%
Noah Gray - 46%
Jody Fortson - 22%

Takeaways:

• Edwards-Helaire’s high-ankle sprain should turn this into a 2-man backfield. (Although we’ll see if Ronald Jones is active going forward.)
• Pacheco has handled 31 of 40 RB carries (78%) over the past 2 weeks. He didn’t see a target in either game but ran 25 total routes.
• Moore ran a route on 9 of 15 pass plays (60%) in the 2nd half of this game, according to CBS’ Jacob Gibbs. The rookie drew 6 targets, which was 18% of the Chiefs’ total and a huge 32% target-per-route rate.
• Watson will be a viable Week 12 fantasy play if JuJu Smith-Schuster and Toney miss.

Las Vegas Raiders

RB snap rates:

Josh Jacobs - 80%
Ameer Abdullah - 17%
Brandon Bolden - 5%

Route rates:

Josh Jacobs - 46%
Ameer Abdullah - 17%
Brandon Bolden - 7%

Davante Adams - 100%
Mack Hollins - 100%
Keelan Cole - 83%

Foster Moreau - 61%

Takeaways:

• Adams over the past 2 weeks with TE Darren Waller and WR Hunter Renfrow out:
  • 27 targets (36.5% share)
  • 16 catches
  • 267 yards
  • 3 TDs
• This was easily Moreau’s lowest route rate in a game without TE Darren Waller. He pass blocked 16 times after doing so on no more than 8 snaps in any previous game this season.

Los Angeles Chargers

RB snap rates:

Austin Ekeler - 69%
Isaiah Spiller - 25%
Sony Michel - 8%

Route rates:

Austin Ekeler - 50%
Isaiah Spiller - 24%
Sony Michel - 11%

Josh Palmer - 95%
DeAndre Carter - 89%
Keenan Allen - 74%
Michael Bandy - 13%
Mike Williams - 11% (injured)

Stone Smartt - 39%
Tre McKitty - 32%
Richard Rodgers - 11%

Takeaways:

• This matched Ekeler’s lowest route rate since Week 1. His 2 targets were a season low.
• Allen’s playing time was a bit limited in his return, but he drew 8 targets for a 27% share.

Los Angeles Rams

RB snap rates:

Kyren Williams - 55%
Cam Akers - 39%
Darrell Henderson - 6%

Route rates:

Kyren Williams - 65%
Cam Akers - 19%
Darrell Henderson - 3%

Allen Robinson - 89%
Van Jefferson - 84%
Ben Skowronek - 78%
Brandon Powell - 35%
Lance McCutcheon - 11%
Tutu Atwell - 3%

Tyler Higbee - 89%
Bryce Hopkins - 8%

Takeaways:

• Henderson’s release should turn this into a 2-man backfield, with Akers leading in carries and Williams handling most of the passing-game work. It’s still an unattractive situation in a bad offense.
• Target shares in the 1st full game without WR Cooper Kupp:
  • Higbee - 29%
  • Robinson - 18%
  • Jefferson - 18%
  • Skowronek - 14%

Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins had a Week 11 bye.

Minnesota Vikings

RB snap rates:

Dalvin Cook - 60%
Alexander Mattison - 28%
Kene Nwangwu - 12%

Route rates:

Dalvin Cook - 53%
Alexander Mattison - 30%
Kene Nwangwu - 5%

Justin Jefferson - 83%
Adam Thielen - 80%
K.J. Osborn - 78%
Jalen Reagor - 18%
Jalen Nailor - 18%

T.J. Hockenson - 78%
Johnny Mundt - 28%

Takeaways:

• The Vikings pulled starters in the 4th quarter of this blowout loss.
• More absurd usage for Hockenson, who drew 39% of QB Kirk Cousins’ targets.

New England Patriots

RB snap rates:

Rhamondre Stevenson - 78%
Damien Harris - 24%

Route rates:

Rhamondre Stevenson - 79%
Damien Harris - 15%

Jakobi Meyers - 97%
Nelson Agholor - 65%
Kendrick Bourne - 35%
DeVante Parker - 32%
Tyquan Thornton - 29%

Hunter Henry - 76%
Jonnu Smith - 35%

Takeaways:

• Stevenson out-carried Harris 15 to 8, out-targeted him 6 to 2 and dominated him in snaps and routes.
• The Patriots came out of their bye with a 4-man WR committee behind Meyers. Meyers remains the only viable fantasy play there.

New Orleans Saints

RB snap rates:

Alvin Kamara - 70%
David Johnson - 18%
Dwayne Washington - 11%

Route rates:

Alvin Kamara - 69%
David Johnson - 22%
Dwayne Washington - 33%

Rashid Shaheed - 66%
Chris Olave - 63%
Jarvis Landry - 59%
Marquez Callaway - 25%
Tre’Quan Smith - 9%
Kevin White - 3%

Juwan Johnson - 69%
Adam Trautman - 44%
Taysom Hill - 28%

Takeaways:

• This was Olave’s lowest route rate in a healthy game this season.
• Hill played a season-high 24 offensive snaps in this one. His 9 carries were his 2nd most of the season.
• Johnson has 5 TDs over his last 5 games. He’s averaged 4.4 targets on a 13% share during that stretch. Be careful.

New York Giants

RB snap rates:

Saquon Barkley - 76%
Matt Breida - 20%
Gary Brightwell - 9%

Route rates:

Saquon Barkley - 62%
Matt Breida - 19%
Gary Brightwell -13%

Darius Slayton - 87%
Wan’Dale Robinson - 67% (injured)
Isaiah Hodgins - 56%
Kenny Golladay - 44%
Richie James - 29%
Marcus Johnson - 6%

Lawrence Cager - 73%
Tanner Hudson - 19%
Chris Myarick - 6%

Takeaways:

• It’s maybe worth noting that Barkley’s 76% snap rate was his 2nd lowest mark of the season. Of course, that’s a mark most other RBs would love to even sniff.
• Slayton has averaged 6.5 targets on a 21% share over his last 4 games.
• James figures to take over as New York’s primary slot receiver with Robinson out for the season. He averaged 4.0 targets, 3.0 catches, 28 yards and 0 TDs in 4 games with Robinson out earlier this season.
• Cager is your disgusting, low-owned DFS tournament play on the Thanksgiving slate.

New York Jets

RB snap rates:

Michael Carter - 46%
Ty Johnson - 32%
James Robinson - 22%

Route rates:

Michael Carter - 37%
Ty Johnson - 20%
James Robinson - 10%

Garrett Wilson - 100%
Denzel Mims - 90%
Elijah Moore - 57%
Braxton Berrios - 10%
Jeff Smith - 3%

Tyler Conklin - 73%
C.J. Uzomah - 53%

Takeaways:

• The Jets came out of their bye with Carter leading an ugly 3-RB committee. Carter handled 8 of 19 RB carries (42%) and saw 2 targets (9% share).
• Moore played 67% of his snaps in the slot and actually ranked 2nd on the Jets with 4 targets (18% share). There’s still a slim chance he’s a fantasy factor this season if New York goes back to QB Joe Flacco.

Philadelphia Eagles

RB snap rates:

Miles Sanders - 65%
Boston Scott - 19%
Kenneth Gainwell - 16%

Route rates:

Miles Sanders - 57%
Boston Scott - 17%
Kenneth Gainwell - 14%

DeVonta Smith - 100%
A.J. Brown - 91%
Quez Watkins - 63%
Zach Pascal - 37%

Jack Stoll - 71%
Grant Calcaterra - 20%
Tyree Jackson - 11%

Takeaways:

• Smith (36%) and Brown (28%) combined for 64% of Eagles targets in the 1st game without TE Dallas Goedert.
• Stoll dominated pass routes at TE but saw just 1 target. Calcaterra and Jackson combined for 0.

Pittsburgh Steelers

RB snap rates:

Najee Harris - 92%
Jaylen Warren - 4% (injured)
Benny Snell - 4%

Route rates:

Najee Harris - 79%
Jaylen Warren - 6% (injured)
Benny Snell - 2%

Diontae Johnson - 96%
George Pickens - 94%
Gunner Olszewski - 42%
Steven Sims - 40%
Miles Boykin - 6%

Pat Freiermuth - 83%
Zach Gentry - 23%
Connor Heyward - 8%

Takeaways:

• Harris was a workhorse after Warren exited early with a hamstring injury, racking up 20 carries and 6 targets. Warren is iffy for Week 12, per HC Mike Tomlin.
• Freiermuth led the Steelers with 12 targets on a huge 29% share. He’s averaging 8.8 targets on a 22% share over his last 4 games.

San Francisco 49ers

RB snap rates:

Christian McCaffrey - 66%
Elijah Mitchell - 22%
Jordan Mason - 12%

Route rates:

Christian McCaffrey - 93%
Elijah Mitchell - 7%
Jordan Mason - 0%

Brandon Aiyuk - 93%
Deebo Samuel - 77%
Jauan Jennings - 57%
Ray-Ray McCloud - 17%
Danny Gray - 7%

George Kittle - 83%
Tyler Kroft - 20%
Charlie Woerner - 7%

Takeaways:

• McCaffrey dominated backfield work in the 1st half, tallying 5 carries and 5 targets to Mitchell’s 1 carry and 0 targets. Mitchell got more run in the 2nd half with San Francisco nursing a big lead.

Seattle Seahawks

The Seahawks had a Week 11 bye.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Bucs had a Week 11 bye.

Tennessee Titans

RB snap rates:

Derrick Henry - 71%
Dontrell Hilliard - 18%
Hassan Haskins - 11%

Route rates:

Derrick Henry - 38%
Dontrell Hilliard - 21%
Hassan Haskins - 15%

Robert Woods - 85%
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine - 85%
Treylon Burks - 68%

Chig Okonkwo - 44%
Austin Hooper - 41%
Geoff Swaim - 32%

Takeaways:

• Burks’ route rate actually sunk from 75% in his Week 10 return. But the rookie led the Titans with 8 targets – a big 28% share.

Washington Commanders

RB snap rates:

Antonio Gibson - 68%
Brian Robinson - 34%

Route rates:

Antonio Gibson - 62%
Brian Robinson - 14%

Terry McLaurin - 83%
Jahan Dotson - 79%
Curtis Samuel - 76%
Cam Sims - 17%
Dyami Brown - 14%
Dax Milne - 3%

Logan Thomas - 69%
Cole Turner - 17%
John Bates - 14%

Takeaways:

• Even in positive game script, Gibson dominated playing time in the backfield. He finished with 18 carries and 3 targets to Robinson’s 15 carries and 0 targets.
• Dotson’s route rate spiked in his 2nd game back, but he saw just 2 targets (7% share).
• I noted last week that Thomas’ route rate had rebounded to pre-injury levels. That led to a 5-65 line on 6 targets (22% share) in this one.