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Fantasy Takeaways from Week 3 Usage

By Jared Smola 8:34am EDT 9/28/22


Arizona Cardinals

RB snap rates:

James Conner - 60%

Eno Benjamin - 27%

Darrel Williams - 17%


Route rates:

James Conner - 33%

Eno Benjamin - 21%

Darrel Williams - 16%


Marquise Brown - 95%

Greg Dortch - 86%

Andy Isabella - 37%

Andre Baccellia - 35%

A.J. Green - 35%


Zach Ertz - 87%


Takeaways:

  • Conner seemed bothered by his ankle injury in this one. Monitor his practice participation this week.
  • Green exited in the 2nd quarter with a knee injury. Isabella and Baccellia split his routes the rest of the way.
  • Ertz has registered an 89% route rate and 19.6% target share over the last 2 weeks.



Atlanta Falcons

RB snap rates:

Cordarrelle Patterson - 61%

Tyler Allgeier - 37%

Avery Williams - 7%


Route rates:

Cordarrelle Patterson - 50%

Tyler Allgeier - 29%

Avery Williams - 7%


Drake London - 79%

Olamide Zaccheaus - 68%

Frank Darby - 21%

KhaDarel Hodge - 21%


Kyle Pitts - 68%

Parker Hesse - 32%

Anthony Firkser - 18%


Takeaways:

  • Patterson’s route rate improved a bit from last week’s 37%. But he still saw just 1 target (5% share). I’m not counting on Patterson maintaining this level of rushing production and would consider selling high.
  • Good news: Pitts caught 5 balls for 87 yards on 8 targets – a huge 40% target share. Bad news: He set season lows with a 68% route rate and 67% snap rate.



Baltimore Ravens

RB snap rates:

Justice Hill - 48%

J.K. Dobbins - 43%

Mike Davis - 2%


Route rates:

J.K. Dobbins - 41%

Justice Hill - 29%

Mike Davis - 0%


Rashod Bateman - 79%

Devin Duvernay - 65%

Demarcus Robinson - 32%

Tylan Wallace - 9%


Mark Andrews - 91%

Isaiah Likely - 47%

Josh Oliver - 29%


Takeaways:

  • Dobbins returned to a limited role, as expected, and mustered just 3.3 yards per carry. It’s encouraging to see him immediately lead the backfield in pass routes. But I’ll need to see more snaps or better efficiency from Dobbins before considering him a starting option in fantasy.
  • Bateman had his worst fantasy outing of the year but set a season high with that 79% route rate – up from 71% in Week 1 and 74% in Week 2. Hopefully that upward trend continues.
  • Duvernay still isn’t a reliable fantasy play – but this 65% route rate was a season high. We’ll continue to monitor.



Buffalo Bills

RB snap rates:

Devin Singletary - 73%

Zack Moss - 17%

James Cook - 12%


Route rates:

Devin Singletary - 53%

Zack Moss - 11%

James Cook - 9%


Gabriel Davis - 96%

Stefon Diggs - 73%

Isaiah McKenzie - 55%

Jamison Crowder - 49%

Jake Kumerow - 4% (injured)


Dawson Knox - 59%

Quintin Morris - 27%


Takeaways:

  • The Bills ran a whopping 90 plays in this one. And a bunch of players were having trouble with the heat in Miami. That included Diggs, so don’t worry about his relatively low route rate.
  • Singletary set a season-high in snap rate and has now posted 65% and 53% route rates the last 2 weeks. That latter part is especially important in this pass-heavy offense.
  • Knox’s route rates by week: 66%, 60%, 59%. Not good enough. Knox is looking like a TD-or-bust fantasy play.



Carolina Panthers

RB snap rates:

Christian McCaffrey - 80%

Chuba Hubbard - 11%

D'Onta Foreman - 7%


Route rates:

Christian McCaffrey - 66%

D'Onta Foreman - 14%

Chuba Hubbard - 7%


D.J. Moore - 100%

Robbie Anderson - 86%

Shi Smith - 45%

Laviska Shenault - 21%

Rashard Higgins - 14%


Tommy Tremble - 41%

Ian Thomas - 38%

Giovanni Ricci - 24%


Takeaways:

  • McCaffrey’s usage rates are elite: 84% snaps, 69% routes, 68% carry share, 18% target share. Now he just needs NFL-caliber QB play.
  • Ditto for D.J. Moore, who’s sitting on a 23.4% target share.
  • We’ll see if Shenault’s role expands after he scored just Carolina’s 5th offensive TD of the season.



Chicago Bears

RB snap rates:

Khalil Herbert - 60%

Trestan Ebner - 24%

David Montgomery - 17% (injured)


Route rates:

Khalil Herbert - 54%

Trestan Ebner - 23%

David Montgomery - 15%


Darnell Mooney - 96%

Equanimeous St. Brown - 88%

Dante Pettis - 73%


Cole Kmet - 81%


Takeaways:

  • Bears backfield opportunities after Montgomery left in the 1st quarter:
    • Herbert - 20 carries, 2 targets
    • Ebner - 7 carries, 1 target
  • The Bears once again ranked dead last in situation-neutral pass rate this week at 39.5%.



Cincinnati Bengals

RB snap rates:

Joe Mixon - 66%

Samaje Perine - 34%

Chris Evans - 3%


Route rates:

Joe Mixon - 63%

Samaje Perine - 17%

Chris Evans - 2%


Ja’Marr Chase - 100%

Tee Higgins - 90%

Tyler Boyd - 83%


Hayden Hurst - 51%

Mitchell Wilcox - 34%


Takeaways:

  • Dealing with a minor ankle injury and with the Bengals holding a comfortable lead, Mixon played just 2 snaps in the 4th quarter. Through 3 quarters, he tallied 12 carries and 7 targets to Perine’s 0 carries and 2 targets.
  • This was easily Hurst’s lowest route rate of the season. My guess is it was due to the groin injury that had him questionable coming in. I wouldn’t trust him in fantasy lineups until he’s removed from the injury report.



Cleveland Browns

RB snap rates:

Nick Chubb - 63%

Kareem Hunt - 44%


Route rates:

Kareem Hunt - 50%

Nick Chubb - 41%


Amari Cooper - 97%

Donovan Peoples-Jones - 82%

David Bell - 56%

Anthony Schwartz - 6%


David Njoku - 82%

Harrison Bryant - 44%


Takeaways:

  • Cooper has registered huge 37.0% and 35.5% target shares the past 2 weeks.
  • Bell has grown his route rate each week and now looks like Cleveland’s clear #3 WR. Of course, that’s probably not worth anything in fantasy until QB Deshaun Watson returns from suspension.
  • Njoku has been posting nice route rates all season and parlayed that into big fantasy production in Week 3. He’ll remain inconsistent in this run-heavy offense, but he’ll have some more strong outings.



Dallas Cowboys

RB snap rates:

Ezekiel Elliott - 64%

Tony Pollard - 44%


Route rates:

Ezekiel Elliott - 68%

Tony Pollard - 29%


CeeDee Lamb - 100%

Noah Brown - 87%

Jalen Tolbert - 45%


Peyton Hendershot - 48%

Jake Ferguson - 45%


Takeaways:

  • This was a season-high in route rate for Elliott … and a season-low for Pollard.
  • Tolbert operated as the #3 WR in this one after being a healthy scratch the first 2 weeks. Unfortunately for him, WR Michael Gallup is expected to make his 2022 debut in Week 4.



Denver Broncos

RB snap rates:

Javonte Williams - 45%

Melvin Gordon - 38%

Mike Boone - 19%


Route rates:

Javonte Williams - 34%

Melvin Gordon - 32%

Mike Boone - 25%


Courtland Sutton - 95%

Jerry Jeudy - 75%

Kendall Hinton - 59%

K.J. Hamler - 25%

Montrell Washington - 18%


Albert Okwuegbunam - 52%

Eric Saubert - 25%

Eric Tomlinson - 18%

Andrew Beck - 9%


Takeaways:

  • Denver for some reason decided to get Boone involved this week, particularly on passing downs. Williams’ 34% route rate was a season low.
  • Jeudy registered a 91% route rate in the opener, so it looks like he was a bit limited in this one by his rib and shoulder injuries.
  • Hamler clearly isn’t ready for a big role coming off last year’s torn ACL and dislocated hip.
  • Okwuegbunam’s route rate has dropped each week, from 74% to 59% to 52%.



Detroit Lions

RB snap rates:

Jamaal Williams - 45%

D'Andre Swift - 41%

Craig Reynolds - 17%


Route rates:

D'Andre Swift - 49%

Jamaal Williams - 22%

Craig Reynolds - 11%


D.J. Chark - 87%

Josh Reynolds - 82%

Amon-Ra St. Brown - 76%

Kalif Raymond - 18%

Quintez Cephus - 7%


T.J. Hockenson - 71%

Brock Wright - 16%


Takeaways:

  • Swift entered this game on a still-less-than-100% ankle and left it with a left shoulder injury. It sounds like he’ll miss the next 2 games.
  • Reynolds has worked his way into this backfield rotation the past 2 weeks and figures to get even more with Swift out. I’m expecting something around a 2-to-1 backfield split in favor of Williams over Reynolds.
  • St. Brown missed a handful of snaps in this one with an ankle injury.



Green Bay Packers

RB snap rates:

Aaron Jones - 63%

A.J. Dillon - 53%


Route rates:

Aaron Jones - 59%

A.J. Dillon - 38%


Romeo Doubs - 95%

Allen Lazard - 92%

Randall Cobb - 51%

Juwann Winfree - 19%


Robert Tonyan - 62%

Tyler Davis - 19%

Marcedes Lewis - 19%

Josiah Deguara - 8%


Takeaways:

  • The snap and route breakdown between Jones and Dillon has been pretty consistent from week to week. Here’s where they stand as far as opportunities through 3 games:
    • Jones - 32 carries, 12 targets
    • Dillon - 40 carries, 12 targets
  • Doubs led Packers WRs in routes, targets (8), catches (8) and yards (73) in the win over the Bucs. Don’t be surprised if the rookie plays a big role from here on out.
  • Tonyan’s route rate has climbed steadily, from 44% to 50% to 62%. He’s nearing fantasy useability territory.



Houston Texans

RB snap rates:

Dameon Pierce - 59%

Rex Burkhead - 41%


Route rates:

Rex Burkhead - 46%

Dameon Pierce - 26%


Brandin Cooks - 97%

Nico Collins - 77%

Chris Moore - 60%

Phillip Dorsett - 14%


Pharaoh Brown - 54%

Jordan Akins - 40%

O.J. Howard - 9%


Takeaways:

  • Pierce ceded a bunch of passing-down work again to Burkhead in this one but at least out-carried the veteran 20 to 3.
  • Cooks has been 1 of the biggest underachievers in fantasy football in terms of usage vs. production. He’s sitting on a 93% route rate and 27% target share (29 targets) but has totaled just 13 catches for 158 scoreless yards. QB Davis Mills is struggling, but Cooks’ efficiency (45% catch rate, 5.4 yards per target) is a lock to improve going forward.
  • Brown and Akins took on expanded roles with TE Brevin Jordan out. Howard did not.



Indianapolis Colts

RB snap rates:

Jonathan Taylor - 76%

Nyheim Hines - 45%


Route rates:

Jonathan Taylor - 58%

Nyheim Hines - 51%


Michael Pittman - 98%

Parris Campbell - 89%

Alec Pierce - 47%

Ashton Dulin - 22%

Michael Strachan - 9%


Mo Alie-Cox - 51%

Kylen Granson - 29%

Jelani Woods - 27%


Takeaways:

  • Pittman returned as Indianapolis’ alpha, with a 98% route rate and 24% target share.
  • Campbell continues to run a lot of routes and return very little production. The Colts need to start scaling back his playing time in favor of Pierce and Dulin.
  • 2 TDs on 3 targets and 12 targets for Woods. We’ll see if his role grows from here, but he’s not a viable Week 4 fantasy play.



Jacksonville Jaguars

RB snap rates:

James Robinson - 58%

Travis Etienne - 43%


Route rates:

James Robinson - 54%

Travis Etienne - 34%


Christian Kirk - 98%

Marvin Jones - 83%

Zay Jones - 80%

Jamal Agnew - 10%


Evan Engram - 80%

Chris Manhertz - 20%

Dan Arnold - 5%


Takeaways:

  • Etienne received the final 4 carries and 1 target in Jacksonville’s blowout win. Prior to that, Robinson out-carried Etienne 17 to 9 and out-targeted him 3 to 2.
  • WR/TE target shares through 3 games:
    • Kirk - 24.3%
    • Zay Jones - 21.6%
    • Marvin Jones - 16.2%
    • Evan Engram - 13.5%
  • Engram hasn’t popped yet, but an 81% route rate keeps him in the low-end TE1 mix.



Kansas City Chiefs

RB snap rates:

Jerick McKinnon - 52%

Clyde Edwards-Helaire - 40%

Isiah Pacheco - 8%


Route rates:

Jerick McKinnon - 47%

Clyde Edwards-Helaire - 36%

Isiah Pacheco - 4%


Marquez Valdes-Scantling - 81%

JuJu Smith-Schuster - 79%

Mecole Hardman - 64%

Justin Watson - 17%

Skyy Moore - 9%


Travis Kelce - 85%

Noah Gray - 28%

Jody Fortson - 15%


Takeaways:

  • Edwards-Helaire remains a prime sell-high candidate. He’s currently 4th among RBs in PPR points – despite a 40% snap rate and 36% route rate.
  • 79 WRs have seen 10+ targets through 3 weeks. Here's where the Chiefs' top 3 WRs rank among those 79 in yards per route run:
    • Smith-Schuster - 30th
    • Valdes-Scantling - 66th
    • Hardman - 68th
  • It’s time to get Moore – and maybe even Watson – more playing time.



Las Vegas Raiders

RB snap rates:

Josh Jacobs - 64%

Brandon Bolden - 36%


Route rates:

Josh Jacobs - 57%

Brandon Bolden - 40%


Davante Adams - 98%

Mack Hollins - 96%

Keelan Cole - 62%


Darren Waller - 87%

Foster Moreau - 32%


Takeaways:

  • Jacobs continues to see strong usage in the running game – and he set a season high with that 57% route rate this week. He’s a buy-low target.
  • Hollins has now run a route on 93% of pass plays through 3 weeks. His current 15.7% target share is sustainable. Hollins has a chance at WR4 production the rest of the way.
  • Frustrating to see Moreau out-produce Waller on a matching 5 targets. But Waller’s 87% route rate is elite and portends big things going forward. Moreau just picked up some of WR Hunter Renfrow’s work in this one.



Los Angeles Chargers

RB snap rates:

Austin Ekeler - 56%

Sony Michel - 23%

Josh Kelley - 21%


Route rates:

Austin Ekeler - 52%

Josh Kelley - 16%

Sony Michel - 14%


Josh Palmer - 94%

Mike Williams - 90%

DeAndre Carter - 74%

Jalen Guyton - 26% (injured)


Gerald Everett - 72%

Tre’ McKitty - 24%


Takeaways:

  • Another worrisome game for Ekeler. The 52% route rate and 17.8% target share are fine. But he handled just 40% of Chargers RB carries and is losing short-yardage work to Michel and Kelley. Maybe we can chalk this one up to the blowout loss, but we also saw lower-than-expected usage from Ekeler in Week 1.
  • Everett turned in his worst fantasy line of the year but set a season high in route rate. He remains a low-end TE1 going forward.



Los Angeles Rams

RB snap rates:

Cam Akers - 50%

Darrell Henderson - 50%


Route rates:

Darrell Henderson - 56%

Cam Akers - 15%


Cooper Kupp - 100%

Allen Robinson - 93%

Ben Skowronek - 78%

Brandon Powell - 19%

Tutu Atwell - 11%


Tyler Higbee - 85%


Takeaways:

  • In this week’s edition of How the Rams Backfield Turns, Henderson tallied 4 carries and 1 target in the 1st half to Akers’ 2 carries and 0 targets. Henderson didn’t get a single touch in the 2nd half, while Akers racked up 10 carries. Akers then fumbled on his final carry of the day. We’re projecting Akers to lead the backfield in Week 4 – but it’s not a confident projection.
  • Robinson’s target shares by week:
    • Week 1 - 4.9%
    • Week 2 - 13.9%
    • Week 3 - 20.0%



Miami Dolphins

RB snap rates:

Raheem Mostert - 56%

Chase Edmonds - 44%


Route rates:

Raheem Mostert - 48%

Chase Edmonds - 40%


Tyreek Hill - 92%

Jaylen Waddle - 76%

Trent Sherfield - 76%

River Cracraft - 24%

Cedrick Wilson - 8%


Durham Smythe - 48%

Mike Gesicki - 36%


Takeaways:

  • Miami’s production was muted by the fact that they ran just 39 offensive plays – about 60% of a normal game.
  • The Dolphins’ 1st carry inside the 5-yard line came in Week 2 and went to FB Alec Ingold. Carries #2 and #3 came in Week 3 – and both went to Edmonds.
  • Gesicki popped back up for a fantasy-relevant game in heavy negative game script last week. He dropped back to irrelevance in this one, running fewer routes than Smythe.



Minnesota Vikings

RB snap rates:

Dalvin Cook - 61% (injured)

Alexander Mattison - 39%


Route rates:

Dalvin Cook - 32% (injured)

Alexander Mattison - 28%


Justin Jefferson - 100%

Adam Thielen - 94%

K.J. Osborn - 79%


Irv Smith - 55%

Johnny Mundt - 17%

Ben Ellefson - 9%


Takeaways:

  • Mattison received all 4 RB opportunities (3 carries, 1 target) after Cook exited.
  • Smith’s route rate by week:
    • Week 1 - 44%
    • Week 2 - 60%
    • Week 3 - 55%



New England Patriots

RB snap rates:

Rhamondre Stevenson - 62%

Damien Harris - 38%


Route rates:

Rhamondre Stevenson - 62%

Damien Harris - 29%


DeVante Parker - 100%

Nelson Agholor - 74%

Lil’Jordan Humphrey - 74%

Kendrick Bourne - 36%


Hunter Henry - 69%

Jonnu Smith - 38%


Takeaways:

  • We noted last week that Stevenson had replaced Ty Montgomery as New England’s primary pass-catching back. That led to a 4-28 receiving line on 5 targets (15.6% share) in this one.
  • It doesn’t mean much for as long as Brian Hoyer is under center, but a 100% route rate and 31% target share for Parker is noteworthy.
  • Humphrey replaced Jakobi Meyers as New England’s primary slot receiver.
  • Henry has run a route on 70% of Patriots pass plays through 3 weeks but been targeted on just 6.1% of those routes. Henry ran a route on 70% of pass plays last year and was targeted on 16.2% of them.



New Orleans Saints

RB snap rates:

Alvin Kamara - 70%

Mark Ingram - 33%


Route rates:

Alvin Kamara - 61%

Mark Ingram - 15%


Chris Olave - 93%

Michael Thomas - 67% (injured)

Tre’Quan Smith - 57%

Jarvis Landry - 35% (injured)

Marquez Callaway - 24%


Juwan Johnson - 59%

Adam Trautman - 26%

Nick Vannett - 4%


Takeaways:

  • It didn’t show up in the box score, but this was an encouraging game for Kamara. He handled 15 of 20 RB carries (75%) and saw 7 targets (17.1% share). Consider buying low this week.
  • Olave followed a 33% target share in Week 2 with a 32% share in this one.
  • After registering a 75% route rate and 16% target share over the season’s first 2 games, Johnson sunk to a 59% route rate and 2.4% share in Week 3.



New York Giants

RB snap rates:

Saquon Barkley - 92%

Matt Breida - 11%


Route rates:

Saquon Barkley - 72%

Matt Breida - 6%


Sterling Shepard - 85%

Richie James - 81%

David Sills - 57%

Kenny Golladay - 39%

Darius Slayton - 17%


Daniel Bellinger - 46%

Tanner Hudson - 44%

Chris Myarick - 13%


Takeaways:

  • The Giants have a huge hole to fill (26% target share) after Shepard’s season-ending torn ACL. Fingers crossed Kadarius Toney can take advantage of the opportunity.
  • Bellinger set season highs with 5 targets, 4 catches and 40 yards this week. He seems to be trending up, but we still need that route rate to grow quite a bit before we can trust him in fantasy lineups.



New York Jets

RB snap rates:

Breece Hall - 51%

Michael Carter - 49%

Ty Johnson - 1%


Route rates:

Breece Hall - 48%

Michael Carter - 34%

Ty Johnson - 2%


Elijah Moore - 95%

Corey Davis - 86%

Garrett Wilson - 66%

Braxton Berrios - 29%


Tyler Conklin - 74%

C.J. Uzomah - 22%


Takeaways:

  • Hall set season highs in snap rate, route rate, carries (8) and targets (11) this week. Don’t be surprised if the rookie remains this backfield’s leader in snaps and routes the rest of the way.
  • Wilson missed a chunk of this game with a rib injury but eventually returned.
  • Moore set a season high with a 19.2% target share in this game. We’ll see what QB Zach Wilson’s return means for the WR corps.
  • Conklin still leads all TEs in pass routes and ranks 3rd with 24 targets. It’s worth noting, though, that he’s benefitted from the Jets throwing 11 more passes than any other team through 3 weeks.



Philadelphia Eagles

RB snap rates:

Miles Sanders - 59%

Kenneth Gainwell - 31%

Boston Scott - 10%


Route rates:

Miles Sanders - 49%

Kenneth Gainwell - 37%

Boston Scott - 9%


A.J. Brown - 93%

DeVonta Smith - 93%

Quez Watkins - 58%

Zach Pascal - 35%


Dallas Goedert - 60%

Jack Stoll - 37%

Grant Calcaterra - 12%


Takeaways:

  • Sanders disappointed in the box score, but his usage was right in with where it was the first 2 weeks.
  • Smith has hogged 28.8% of Eagles targets over the past 2 games.
  • Brown has still seen a 27.3% share over that span.
  • Goedert missed some time in this game with a shin injury but eventually returned.



Pittsburgh Steelers

RB snap rates:

Najee Harris - 80%

Jaylen Warren - 20%


Route rates:

Najee Harris - 43%

Jaylen Warren - 14%


Diontae Johnson - 100%

Chase Claypool - 97%

George Pickens - 89%


Pat Freiermuth - 68%

Zach Gentry - 11%


Takeaways:

  • Harris has registered 53% and 43% route rates the last 2 weeks. He was at 63% last year.
  • Johnson’s target shares by week:
    • Week 1 - 31.6%
    • Week 2 - 30.3%
    • Week 3 - 34.4%



San Francisco 49ers

RB snap rates:

Jeff Wilson - 73%

Jordan Mason - 9%


Route rates:

Jeff Wilson - 57%

Jordan Mason - 6%


Brandon Aiyuk - 91%

Deebo Samuel - 89%

Jauan Jennings - 54%

Ray-Ray McCloud - 20%

Danny Gray - 9%


George Kittle - 86%


Takeaways:

  • Really strong usage for Wilson in the 1st game without Elijah Mitchell and Ty Davis-Price. He handled 12 of 13 RB carries (92%) and even saw 3 targets (10.3% share).
  • Deebo Samuel (25.9%) and Brandon Aiyuk (23.5%) have accounted for nearly half of San Francisco’s targets through 3 games.
  • Kittle came away from his 2022 debut with just 4 catches for 28 yards on 5 targets – a 17.2% share. But the 86% route rate is elite. Big games are coming if that keeps up.



Seattle Seahawks

RB snap rates:

Rashaad Penny - 69%

DeeJay Dallas - 21%

Ken Walker - 13%

Travis Homer - 3% (injured)


Route rates:

Rashaad Penny - 55%

DeeJay Dallas - 17%

Ken Walker - 9%

Travis Homer - 0% (injured)


D.K. Metcalf - 96%

Tyler Lockett - 85%

Marquise Goodwin - 47%

D’Wayne Eskridge - 13%

Penny Hart - 6%


Noah Fant - 49%

Will Dissly - 43%

Colby Parkinson - 40%


Takeaways:

  • After a 41% snap rate and 31% route rate last week, Penny took control of the backfield again in this one. He handled 14 of 21 RB carries (67%) and saw 1 target.
  • Walker, meanwhile, took a step back from a 24% snap rate and 17% route rate in his debut last week.



Tampa Bay Buccaneers

RB snap rates:

Leonard Fournette - 91%

Rachaad White - 9%


Route rates:

Leonard Fournette - 72%

Rachaad White - 12%


Russell Gage - 84%

Scotty Miller - 82%

Breshad Perriman - 66%

Jaelon Darden - 34%

Cole Beasley - 16%


Cameron Brate - 86%

Kyle Rudolph - 8%

Ko Kieft - 6%


Takeaways:

  • Fournette continues to see ELITE usage. But it’s not turning into fantasy production because Tampa Bay’s offense – and offensive line – is struggling. I’d expect it to improve and would try to buy low on Fournette.
  • Beasley saw 4 targets on 8 pass routes.
  • I wouldn’t buy into Brate’s 86% route rate and 5-52 line on 6 targets in this one. His usage figures to sink as the Bucs get their WRs back.



Tennessee Titans

RB snap rates:

Derrick Henry - 74%

Dontrell Hilliard - 24%

Hassan Haskins - 7%


Route rates:

Derrick Henry - 50%

Dontrell Hilliard - 23%

Hassan Haskins - 7%


Treylon Burks - 97%

Robert Woods - 87%

Nick Westbrook-Ikhine - 63%

Cody Hollister - 7%

Josh Gordon - 7%


Austin Hooper - 40%

Geoff Swaim - 40%

Kevin Rader - 7%


Takeaways:

  • Henry’s 6 targets in this one tied a career high. His 50% route rate was up considerably from 38% and 27% marks the first 2 weeks. We’ll see if this is a trend or a 1-week blip. (I’d bet on the latter.)
  • The Burks breakout is coming if he continues to lead Titans WRs in routes. Buy now.



Washington Commanders

RB snap rates:

J.D. McKissic - 53%

Antonio Gibson - 44%


Route rates:

J.D. McKissic - 55%

Antonio Gibson - 28%


Terry McLaurin - 90%

Jahan Dotson - 88%

Curtis Samuel - 86%

Dyami Brown - 14%

Cam Sims - 10%

Dax Milne - 7%


Logan Thomas - 62%

Armani Rogers - 16%

John Bates - 14%


Takeaways:

  • McKissic out-snapped Gibson for the 1st time this season in Washington’s 24-8 loss to the Eagles. The more negative game script, the more playing time for McKissic.
  • Samuel led the Commanders in targets for the 3rd straight game. Shares by week:
    • Week 1 - 27%
    • Week 2 - 20%
    • Week 3 - 23%
  • Thomas’ route rates have gone 60%, 58%, 62% over the first 3 games. He’s drawn just a 10.8% target share.




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Week 12 IDP Hits

Week 12 IDP Hits

3:39pm EST 11/26/22

Von Miller injury highlights a season of woe among Buffalo Bills IDPs. Let's look at that, which LBs might be ready to help you most in the fantasy football playoffs ... and much more.

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