FootballGuys Draft Recap
I made the decision to cut down on the amount of FootballGuys drafts I’d enter this season and play more high-stakes leagues instead.
Quality over quantity, right? Not so much…
Naturally, I entered the very first FootballGuys draft of the year. I liked the idea because I wanted to try and help set the ADP for what will be a long spring, summer and maybe fall of drafting.
I came into this draft OK with not knowing all the answers. RB battles, WR target shares and where rookies will land on depth charts are some of the questions that will be answered over the next few months.
I drafted using gut feel combined with talent evaluation and whatever knowledge I think I have for the upcoming season. I think I made some mistakes (see Rounds 7 and 14), but it was fun and a learning experience for what should be a great few months of drafting.
This is an FFPC league, meaning 1.5 PPR for TEs and the following starting lineups:
It’s an 11-week regular season followed by a 2-week league playoff. Weeks 14-16 is the Championship Round, where league qualifiers compete for a cool $500K.
Here's my first team of the year…
1.04 - Michael Thomas, WR, Saints
I really wanted one the RBs here (CMC, Zeke or Saquon), but I’m ok with taking Thomas. He’s super safe — and if there’s a shortened offseason, he and Brees will still be able to hit the ground running due to their chemistry.
2.09 - George Kittle, TE, 49ers
I was deciding between my guy Mike Evans and Kittle here — and I thought Evans would be there in the 3rd. I love taking an elite TE in these formats and was surprised Kittle fell this far as he went at the 1.11 in a FBG draft that started later in the day. Another safe pick here. Kittle has only scored 12 TDs in 3 seasons, so I expect a scoring explosion this year after losing 3 to penalty in 2019.
3.04 - Jonathan Taylor, RB, Colts
Well, Evans was not available here and my heart is broken. Taylor was the pick and I love the upside of the young stud in the Colts offense. He should win the starting job easily over Marlon Mack. JT should be involved in the pass game, as well… Think Melvin Gordon from his time with Philip Rivers.
4.09 - Raheem Mostert, RB, 49ers
He should be the starter in San Francisco after the trade of Matt Breida to Miami. Mostert was the team’s best back last season, averaging 5.6 yards per carry and coming in 1st and 7th in Football Outsiders’ 2 primary rushing metrics. The run game isn’t going anywhere in the Bay Area and Mostert should be the guy.
5.04 - Calvin Ridley, WR, Falcons
I was really torn between Ridley and Stefon Diggs here. I went with the better passing offense in Atlanta as I’m not sure how the target shares are going to look in Buffalo. Austin Hooper and Mohamed Sanu are both gone and Julio Jones is 31. That could mean a huge leap for Ridley in his 3rd NFL season.
6.09 - Tyler Boyd, WR, Bengals
Boyd finished 15th and 17th among WRs in this scoring system the past 2 seasons. I took him as WR30 in this draft. I’m assuming this is because of the addition of rookie WR Tee Higgins. Boyd should continue to be elite in the slot and Higgins should not impact his targets playing primarily on the outside. I will be taking Boyd ALLLL summer at this price.
7.04 - Matt Breida, RB, Dolphins
Got sniped on Will Fuller here — another heart breaker. I don’t love this pick as of right now, but we will see how the preseason plays out. Breida will compete with Jordan Howard for touches in Miami. I think that Breida is the more talented back and is definitely the better receiver. This may be a bit early for him, but I’m excited to see this speedster get more work in South Beach.
8.09 - Allen Lazard, WR, Packers
I may have set the ADP here with Lazard. I have a slight obsession with taking Aaron Rodgers’ #2 WR. The Packers added nothing at WR in the draft and Lazard has A-A-ron’s trust. Breakout coming.
9.04 - Zack Moss, RB, Bills
I’m betting on talent here. Moss is a beast that fell to the Bills in the 3rd round of the draft. I don’t think that RB Devin Singletary is that talented and Bills GM Brandon Beane said that drafting a RB was a “need.” At the very least, Moss is the goal-line back will fill Frank Gore’s role from 2019 that leaves behind 166 carries.
10.09 - Latavius Murray, RB, Saints
I wanted Jonnu Smith or Alexander Mattison here, but they both got gobbled up right in front of me. Murray is more of a true “handcuff,” but he’s one of the elite ones. If Alvin Kamara goes down, Murray is an RB1. In Weeks 7 and 8 last year when Kamara was out, Murray had 32 and 36 PPR points.
11.04 - Jalen Reagor, WR, Eagles
I’m not a huge Reagor fan, but he may be Philly’s #1 WR. Word on the street is that Alshon Jeffery is going to get cut, and we all know DeSean Jackson can’t stay healthy. Need some things to go right here, but I think Reagor can be a good flex fill-in as my #5 WR.
12.09 - Dawson Knox, TE, Bills
I love this young TE. I also love pairing pre-breakout TEs with another stud TE in the FFPC format. That’s what I did with Kittle and Knox. He showed some explosive play making on this catch-and-run vs. the Bengals last year. He has that “Get off me” stiff arm that leads to a ton of YAC. The Bills added nothing at TE this offseason, so look for the youngster to out-produce this price tag. Knox will be on a bunch of my teams as long as he keeps lasting until TE22.
13.04 - Baker Mayfield, QB, Browns
I took Baker as the QB13 and really like him in that spot. The Browns added TE Austin Hooper in the offseason and also drafted OT Jedrick Wills in the 1st round to protect their QB. The loss of HC Freddie Kitchens will be the biggest gain for Mayfield in 2020.
14.09 - Michael Pittman, WR, Colts
I’m taking a stab on Pittman here as I didn’t love the rest of the WRs available. I’ll take a shot on the upside of the rookie quickly building a rapport with Philip Rivers.
15.04 - Teddy Bridgewater, QB, Panthers
Teddy B could not have asked for more weapons: 3 good, young WRs and the game’s best all-around RB. In hindsight, I should have passed on Baker and just waited for Bridgewater here.
16.09 - Miles Boykin, WR, Ravens
Boykin is one of my sleeper WRs this season. He’s a size/speed freak that should blossom in his 2nd year with the NFL MVP.
17.04 - Gerald Everett, TE, Rams
I think that the Rams are moving toward more 2-TE sets in 2020. Everett popped off for games of 17, 24, 17 and 18 fantasy points before getting hurt Week 12 last year. I’m not so sure Tyler Higbee is the clear TE1 on the Rams. And even if he is, Everett is an elite backup.
18.09 - Jake Elliott, K, Eagles
19.04 - Devin Funchess, WR, Packers
Like I said… gotta make sure I get the Packers' #2 WR.
20.09 - Titans DST
Well, I don’t love this team. My entire backfield is a question mark… but I also may have 3 #1 RBs to support Thomas and Kittle. The 2 players to watch for this team are Jonathan Taylor and Allen Lazard. If Taylor can have a Zeke or Saquon-like rookie year and Lazard can lock down the #2 WR role in Green Bay, this team will be tough to beat.