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Draft Strategy

Perfect Draft: 14-Team Non-PPR (Updated Sept. 3)

By Kevin English 11:09am EDT 9/3/21


You should go into every fantasy draft with a general plan of attack.

Of course, you’ll need to be able to adjust throughout the draft and pounce on value wherever it presents itself. That’s where the all new Draft War Room comes in.

But building a round-by-round strategy beforehand certainly helps. That’s exactly what we’re doing with the Perfect Draft series — using the Draft War Room and ADP to get an idea of where the value will be in each round.

This is the 14-Team non-PPR Perfect Draft. Each strategy guide assumes 16-round drafts and starting lineups of 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, 1 TE, 1 Flex, 1 K and 1 DEF. The Draft War Room will help you adjust your strategy if your league settings are different.

Note: Sept. 3 updates in bold.


PICK 1, 2 OR 3

Round 1

QB:

RB: Christian McCaffrey, Dalvin Cook, Derrick Henry

WR:

TE:

There’s no debate up top this year. CMC is projected for 35.8 more non-PPR points than Cook.

Note that Henry jumps up to #3 in non-PPR. We have him leading the league in carries and rushing yards; tied for the league-lead in rushing scores.


Round 2

QB:

RB: Chris Carson, James Robinson

WR: A.J. Brown, Justin Jefferson, D.K. Metcalf, Allen Robinson

TE: Darren Waller

The RBs will likely pop up here because of the rapid drop-off at the position. But the WRs look stronger, especially if you value a balanced start (or are required to start 3). Brown jumps up to WR3 in non-PPR.

Waller sits 9.8 points ahead of our TE3 George Kittle; 26.5 ahead of our TE4 Mark Andrews. Beyond that, there’s a clear drop-off after our TE6, T.J. Hockenson, who sits 20 points ahead of TE7 Mike Gesicki. Bottom line: Locking in a top-tier TE has its advantages, especially this season.


Round 3

QB:

RB: David Montgomery, Josh Jacobs, D’Andre Swift, Miles Sanders

WR: Allen Robinson, Mike Evans, Keenan Allen, Robert Woods, CeeDee Lamb, Terry McLaurin

TE: Darren Waller, George Kittle

Montgomery gets a boost with Tarik Cohen joining the PUP list. But the strength here remains at WR.

We love Robinson’s consistency; it should remain with perhaps the best QB situation of his career. Lamb’s shot up draft boards this summer for his training camp dominance, but the situation in Dallas remains crowded. He still has the rare talent to pay off as a Round 3 pick.

Waller and Kittle each supply considerable positional advantages and slot nicely in the 3rd.


Round 4

QB:

RB: Gus Edwards, Damien Harris

WR: Chris Godwin, Adam Thielen, Cooper Kupp, Tyler Lockett, Julio Jones

TE:

Edwards brings solid RB2 value following J.K. Dobbins' ACL tear. But if you have 2 RBs already, dig into a deep crop of WRs. Godwin and Jones bring bounce-back appeal. Kupp made the cut as our 2021 Comeback pick.


Round 5

QB: Dak Prescott

RB: Damien Harris

WR: Tyler Lockett, D.J. Moore, Tee Higgins, Chase Claypool, Jerry Jeudy

TE: Mark Andrews, T.J. Hockenson

Dak’s shoulder remains something to monitor. But we’re not overly concerned, as he’s our QB5, 22 points ahead of Russell Wilson.

RB will look pretty weak by this point. So if you have 2 RBs and 2 WRs already, consider pivoting to a 3rd WR or 1 of the TEs if available.

You know we love Jeudy, our 2021 Breakout pick. Claypool looks to have dodged a major injury after going down in practice on August 17.

The TEs get a boost in value with so many others at the position losing value (Dallas Goedert, Irv Smith, Adam Trautman, etc.). A banged up Baltimore WR corps figures to shift more work to Andrews early on. Hockenson could push for 130 targets.


Round 6

QB: Tom Brady

RB: Darrell Henderson, Trey Sermon

WR: Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton, Robby Anderson

TE:

Current projections have Brady for 38 passing scores — 2nd most league-wide. Getting a full season out of Antonio Brown will be key, but Brady looks relatively safe as the leader of a high-volume pass offense.

You generally want to bet on Kyle Shanahan RBs, which is why Sermon's not coming at a discount. Even if he starts slowly, he'll be a candidate to have a Cam Akers-like run down the stretch.


Round 7

QB:

RB: Leonard Fournette, Ronald Jones, Sony Michel

WR: D.J. Chark, Mike Williams, Laviska Shenault, Antonio Brown

TE:

QB/TE values simply aren’t attractive at this point. So pound RB/WR some more. The Bucs and new Ram Michel profile as potentially high TD producers.

Each of the WRs bring downfield playmaking ability, raising their weekly fantasy ceiling. Williams is due for a rebound in the TD department after experiencing some bad luck in 2020.


Round 8

QB: Ryan Tannehill

RB: James Conner, Jamaal Williams

WR: Brandin Cooks, Michael Gallup, Elijah Moore, Michael Pittman

TE: Tyler Higbee

Tannehill’s only real question for 2021 is just how critical former OC Arthur Smith was to his success. With Julio Jones in town, though, you have to love Tannehill’s upside.

Elsewhere, Higbee enters the TE1 mix. He’s projected for the same number of points as Mike Gesicki, but the Ram holds edges in TD upside and QB play.


Round 9

QB: Ryan Tannehill

RB: Jamaal Williams, Kenyan Drake

WR: Michael Pittman, Marvin Jones, Darnell Mooney, Mecole Hardman

TE:

If available, Pittman stands out as a value. He checks boxes for size (6’4, 223), athleticism and opportunity, while Carson Wentz looks likely to return by Week 1 or Week 2.

Hardman enters a make-or-break year looking to shed a boom/bust label. He might need a Tyreek Hill injury to really shine, but he’s low-risk at this point.


Round 10

QB: Trey Lance, Kirk Cousins

RB: Alexander Mattison

WR: Elijah Moore, Darnell Mooney, Henry Ruggs, Marquez Callaway

TE: Jonnu Smith

Lance would be a QB1 if we had confirmation he’d start right away. Regardless, we expect him to hit the field early on. So you’ll just need to secure a backup — like the Viking below — while the SF QB battle plays out.

Mattison and Penny look like upside handcuffs.

Moore and Mooney supply the sizzle. Both guys have excelled in training camp, with only a recent quad injury slowing down the rookie.


Round 11

QB: Kirk Cousins, Justin Fields

RB: Tevin Coleman, Damien Williams, Rashaad Penny, Darrel Williams

WR: Marvin Jones, Bryan Edwards, Emmanuel Sanders, Sterling Shepard, Terrace Marshall

TE: Jonnu Smith

At this point in the draft, we’re hunting for upside. (Around this time in your draft, Upside Mode will automatically toggle on inside the Draft War Room.)

ADP says this is your last chance to get Cousins. Ditto on Fields. Cousins’ early-season schedule looks awesome, making him a strong pairing with Lance or Fields.

Williams looks like a strong target with Tarik Cohen hitting the PUP list. Marshall's shot up draft boards for his strong preseason performances.


Round 12

QB: Tua Tagovailoa

RB: Damien Williams, Tony Jones, Ty'Son Williams

WR: Emmanuel Sanders, Nelson Agholor, A.J. Green

TE: Gerald Everett, Austin Hooper

When you take your 2nd QB will depend on the strength of your #1. Take a top-5 or 6 guy and roll with just 1 at the position until the bye week hits.

Of course, look around and evaluate the QB needs of your league-mates throughout the draft.

Beyond that, identify any spots you’re thin at and draft accordingly.


Round 13

QB: Ryan Fitzpatrick

RB: Tony Jones, Ty'Son Williams

WR: Marquez Valdez-Scantling, Tyrell Williams, Sammy Watkins

TE: Cole Kmet

This guy probably won’t last long on your roster — so swing for the fences.


Round 14-16

In most cases, your final 3 turns should include your kicker and D/ST picks, along with picks at any position you still need to fill in. You’re likely entering Week 1 with something like 2 QBs, 5 RBs, 5 WRs, 2 TEs, 1 K and 1 D.

Here are some Ks and DSTs with nice Week 1 matchups:

Matt Gay (vs. Bears)

Robbie Gould (at Lions)

Jason Myers (at Colts)

Rams (vs. Bears)

49ers (at Lions)



PICK 4, 5, 6 OR 7

Round 1

QB:

RB: Derrick Henry, Ezekiel Elliott, Alvin Kamara, Nick Chubb, Aaron Jones

WR:

TE: Travis Kelce

ADP says to expect the top-5 picks to go:

McCaffrey

Cook

Henry

Kamara

Elliott

Selecting Chubb 6th or 7th might seem odd if you’re not used to playing non-PPR. But that’s what the board recommends — and his TD projection (13) certainly adds value in the format.


Round 2

QB:

RB: Joe Mixon, Chris Carson, Clyde Edwards-Helaire

WR: A.J. Brown, Calvin Ridley, Justin Jefferson, D.K. Metcalf

TE: Darren Waller

A RB-RB start is desirable given the format and drop-off in supply. You’re in great shape if Mixon or CEH make it this far; if not, consider a high-end WR. Brown jumps up to WR3 in non-PPR — 1 point ahead of Calvin Ridley.

Waller sits 9.8 points ahead of our TE3 George Kittle; 26.5 ahead of our TE4 Mark Andrews. Beyond that, there’s a clear drop-off after our TE6, T.J. Hockenson, who sits 20 points ahead of TE7 Mike Gesicki. Bottom line: Locking in a top-tier TE has its advantages.


Round 3

QB:

RB: James Robinson, David Montgomery, Josh Jacobs, D'Andre Swift

WR: Allen Robinson, Mike Evans, Keenan Allen, Robert Woods, Terry McLaurin

TE:

It’s early to consider a QB, and there’s not a TE worthy of selecting here (barring a surprise fall from George Kittle). So grab the best available RB or WR here, prioritizing RB if you have just 1 to this point. Robinson's workload certainly looks safe with Travis Etienne out for the season.

Allen Robinson looks like 1 of the safest picks in all of fantasy.


Round 4

QB:

RB: Gus Edwards, Damien Harris

WR: Chris Godwin, Adam Thielen, Cooper Kupp, Tyler Lockett

TE:

You're either adding a RB flex here or a WR. Edwards and Harris take priority as high upside TD producers. Godwin brings bounce-back appeal for the pass-happy Bucs. Lockett and Thielen benefit from thin target trees and efficient passing games. Kupp, meanwhile, made the cut as our 2021 Comeback pick.


Round 5

QB: Dak Prescott

RB: Damien Harris

WR: Tyler Lockett, D.J. Moore, Tee Higgins, Chase Claypool

TE: Mark Andrews, T.J. Hockenson

Dak’s shoulder remains something to monitor. But we’re not overly concerned, as he’s our QB5, 22 points ahead of Russell Wilson.

The TEs might be unavailable, but note the gap between this duo and our TE7, Noah Fant. It’s 25 points, 1 of the largest side-by-side disparities in our ranks across all positions.


Round 6

QB:

RB: Darrell Henderson, Trey Sermon

WR: Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton, Robby Anderson

TE:

Unless Russell Wilson falls here, Round 6 looks like a tough spot.

Sermon can pass as an RB2, but out of the gate, he’s best suited as an RB3. We don’t see him immediately discarding Raheem Mostert. Henderson's value took a hit following the trade for Sony Michel.

A 2nd/3rd WR looks like your best bet here, with no value TE in sight.


Round 7

QB: Tom Brady

RB: Leonard Fournette, Ronald Jones, Sony Michel

WR: D.J. Chark, Mike Williams, Laviska Shenault, Antonio Brown

TE:

We’re not particularly high on any of the RBs. (You see now why a RB heavy start sets you up nicely going forward.) Fournette at least ended 2021 strong and looks poised to enter the year as his team’s lead back. Michael does bring some TD upside with the Rams

Each of the WRs bring downfield playmaking ability, raising their weekly fantasy ceiling. Williams is due for a rebound in the TD department after experiencing some bad luck in 2020. Chark needs to rebound quickly from hand surgery.


Round 8

QB: Ryan Tannehill

RB: Jamaal Williams

WR: Mike Williams, Brandin Cooks, Michael Gallup

TE: Tyler Higbee

Tannehill’s only real question for 2021 is just how critical former OC Arthur Smith was to his success. But with Julio Jones in town, you have to love Tannehill’s upside.

Elsewhere, Higbee enters the TE1 mix. He’s projected for the same number of points as Mike Gesicki, but the Ram holds edges in TD upside and QB play.


Round 9

QB: Ryan Tannehill

RB: Kenyan Drake

WR: Michael Pittman, Marvin Jones, Darnell Mooney, Mecole Hardman

TE:

If available, Pittman stands out as a value. He checks boxes for size (6’4, 223), athleticism and opportunity, while Carson Wentz looks likely to return by Week 1 or Week 2.

Hardman enters a make-or-break year looking to shed a boom/bust label. He might need a Tyreek Hill injury to really shine, but he’s low-risk at this point.


Round 10

QB: Trey Lance

RB: Alexander Mattison

WR: Elijah Moore, Darnell Mooney, Corey Davis, Henry Ruggs, Marquez Callaway, Bryan Edwards

TE: Jonnu Smith

Lance would be a QB1 if we had confirmation he’d start right away. Regardless, we expect him to hit the field early on. So you’ll just need to secure a backup — like the Viking below — while the SF QB battle plays out.

Mattison and Penny look like upside handcuffs.

Moore and Mooney supply the sizzle. Both guys have excelled in training camp, with only a recent quad injury slowing down the rookie.


Round 11

QB: Kirk Cousins, Justin Fields

RB: Tevin Coleman, Rashaad Penny, Darrel Williams, Damien Williams

WR: Marvin Jones, Bryan Edwards, Emmanuel Sanders, Sterling Shepard, Terrace Marshall

TE:

At this point in the draft, we’re hunting for upside. (Around this time in your draft, Upside Mode will automatically toggle on inside the Draft War Room.)

ADP says this is your last chance to get Cousins. Ditto on Fields. Cousins’ early-season schedule looks awesome, making him a strong pairing with Lance or Fields.

Edwards and Marshall stick out as young bets on talent.


Round 12

QB: Tua Tagovailoa

RB: Damien Williams, Tony Jones, Ty'Son Williams

WR: Emmanuel Sanders, A.J. Green, Jalen Reagor

TE: Austin Hooper, Gerald Everett

When you take your 2nd QB will depend on the strength of your #1. Take a top-5 or 6 guy and roll with just 1 at the position until the bye week hits.

Of course, look around and evaluate the QB needs of your league-mates throughout the draft. Too enters a critical season with a much improved supporting cast.

Beyond that, identify any spots you’re thin at and draft accordingly.


Round 13

QB: Ryan Fitzpatrick

RB: Tony Jones, Ty'Son Williams

WR: Marquez Valdez-Scantling, Tyrell Williams, Sammy Watkins, Parris Campbell

TE: Cole Kmet

This guy probably won’t last long on your roster — so swing for the fences.


Round 14-16

In most cases, your final 3 turns should include your kicker and D/ST picks, along with picks at any position you still need to fill in. You’re likely entering Week 1 with something like 2 QBs, 5 RBs, 5 WRs, 2 TEs, 1 K and 1 D.

Here are some Ks and DSTs with nice Week 1 matchups:

Matt Gay (vs. Bears)

Robbie Gould (at Lions)

Jason Myers (at Colts)

Rams (vs. Bears)

49ers (at Lions)



PICK 8, 9, 10 OR 11

Round 1

QB:

RB: Nick Chubb, Aaron Jones, Saquon Barkley

WR: Tyreek Hill, Davante Adams

TE: Travis Kelce

Chubb’s probably out of play here. But if he makes it to you at 8 or 9…make the pick.

More likely, the board will have you selecting Jones or Barkley, with Kelce not too far behind. A strong foundational RB is ideal in non-PPR. But Kelce’s massive edge over the TE field is tempting.


Round 2

QB:

RB: Joe Mixon, Najee Harris, Antonio Gibson, Austin Ekeler

WR: A.J. Brown, Calvin Ridley, Justin Jefferson, DeAndre Hopkins, D.K. Metcalf

TE: Travis Kelce

Ekeler isn’t undraftable where he’s going in non-PPR. Clearly, though, he takes a noticeable hit in the format.

Even in his breakout 2019, the undersized back handled just 27.6% of the Chargers’ red zone rushes. (That placed him outside the top-30 league-wide.) Expect the new coaching staff to spare Ekeler at times at the goal line.

Ideally, you’d get 1 of the 3 backs ahead of Ekeler for an RB-RB or TE-RB start.


Round 3

QB:

RB: James Robinson, Josh Jacobs

WR: Mike Evans, Robert Woods, Chris Godwin, Adam Thielen, Cooper Kupp

TE:

Here’s why you load up on RBs early. The supply simply dries up to this point — and the strength shifts to WR. Lock in a WR1 and move along.


Round 4

QB:

RB: Gus Edwards, Damien Harris, Mike Davis

WR: Chris Godwin, Adam Thielen, Cooper Kupp, Tyler Lockett

TE:

If you have 2 RBs already, dig into a deep crop of WRs. Godwin brings bounce-back appeal for the pass-happy Bucs. Lockett and Thielen benefit from thin target trees and efficient passing games. Kupp, meanwhile, made the cut as our 2021 Comeback pick.


Round 5

QB: Dak Prescott, Russell Wilson

RB:

WR: D.J. Moore, Tee Higgins, Chase Claypool, Jerry Jeudy

TE:

Here’s the time to consider a QB. Prescott’s shoulder will be worth watching into the season, but it seems as if Dallas is playing things safe with their franchise passer. Wilson’s projected to score 18 fewer fantasy points, but we see a path for him delivering as a top-5 passer. Hopes are high for new OC Shane Waldron and new TE Gerald Everett.

Harris checks boxes for youth and talent. But he might need Mac Jones under center to realize his TD upside. Fortunately, word out of Patriots camp is that Jones is quickly closing the starting gap.

Moore, Higgins and Claypool are bets on explosive young talents.


Round 6

QB:

RB: Trey Sermon

WR: Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton, Robby Anderson

TE:

Sermon can pass as an RB2, but out of the gate, he’s best suited as an RB3. We don’t see him immediately discarding Raheem Mostert. And there’s just not much to like at RB beyond the rookie.

A 3rd WR looks like your best bet here, with no value TE in sight. (No QB, either, assuming you’re still needy.)


Round 7

QB:

RB: Leonard Fournette, Ronald Jones, Sony Michel

WR: Mike Williams, D.J. Chark

TE:

Both WRs bring downfield playmaking ability, raising their weekly fantasy ceiling. Williams is due for a rebound in the TD department after experiencing some bad luck in 2020. Chark needs to overcome recent hand surgery and earn a top-2 spot in Urban Meyer’s offense.


Round 8

QB: Ryan Tannehill

RB: Jamaal Williams

WR: Mike Williams, Brandin Cooks, Michael Gallup, Michael Pittman

TE: Tyler Higbee, Noah Fant

Tannehill’s only real question for 2021 is just how critical former OC Arthur Smith was to his success. But with Julio Jones in town, you have to love Tannehill’s upside.

You’re hunting for TDs with Edwards and Murray. Williams’ receiving role might raise his floor a bit, but we’re just talking about matchup flex options with this trio.

Elsewhere, Higbee enters the TE1 mix. He’s projected for the same number of points as Mike Gesicki, but the Ram holds edges in TD upside and QB play.


Round 9

QB: Ryan Tannehill

RB: Jamaal Williams, Kenyan Drake

WR: Michael Pittman, Marvin Jones, Darnell Mooney, Mecole Hardman

TE:

If available, Pittman stands out as a value. He checks boxes for size (6’4, 223), athleticism and opportunity, while Carson Wentz looks likely to return by Week 1 or Week 2.

Hardman enters a make-or-break year looking to shed a boom/bust label. He might need a Tyreek Hill injury to really shine, but he’s low-risk at this point.


Round 10

QB: Trey Lance

RB: Alexander Mattison, Rashaad Penny

WR: Elijah Moore, Darnell Mooney, Henry Ruggs

TE: Jonnu Smith

Lance would be a QB1 if we had confirmation he’d start right away. Regardless, we expect him to hit the field early on. So you’ll just need to secure a backup — like the Viking below — while the SF QB battle plays out.

Mattison and Penny look like upside handcuffs. Moore and Mooney supply the sizzle. Both guys have excelled in training camp, with only a recent quad injury slowing down the rookie.


Round 11

QB: Kirk Cousins, Justin Fields

RB: Tevin Coleman, Rashaad Penny, Darrel Williams

WR: Marvin Jones, Bryan Edwards, Emmanuel Sanders, Sterling Shepard, Terrace Marshall

TE:

At this point in the draft, we’re hunting for upside. (Around this time in your draft, Upside Mode will automatically toggle on inside the Draft War Room.)

ADP says this is your last chance to get Cousins. Ditto on Fields. Cousins’ early-season schedule looks awesome, making him a strong pairing with Lance or Fields.

Edwards and Marshall stick out as young bets on talent.


Round 12

QB: Tua Tagovailoa

RB: Damien Williams, Tony Jones, Ty'Son Williams

WR: Emmanuel Sanders, Nelson Agholor, A.J. Green

TE: Gerald Everett, Austin Hooper

When you take your 2nd QB will depend on the strength of your #1. Take a top-5 or 6 guy and roll with just 1 at the position until the bye week hits.

Of course, look around and evaluate the QB needs of your league-mates throughout the draft. Tua enters a critical season with a much improved supporting cast.

Beyond that, identify any spots you’re thin at and draft accordingly.


Round 13

QB: Ryan Fitzpatrick

RB: Tony Jones, Ty'Son Williams

WR: Marquez Valdez-Scantling, Sammy Watkins, Parris Campbell

TE: Cole Kmet

This guy probably won’t last long on your roster — so swing for the fences.


Round 14-16

In most cases, your final 3 turns should include your kicker and D/ST picks, along with picks at any position you still need to fill in. You’re likely entering Week 1 with something like 2 QBs, 5 RBs, 5 WRs, 2 TEs, 1 K and 1 D.

Here are some Ks and DSTs with nice Week 1 matchups:

Matt Gay (vs. Bears)

Robbie Gould (at Lions)

Jason Myers (at Colts)

Rams (vs. Bears)

49ers (at Lions)



PICK 12, 13 OR 14

Round 1

QB:

RB: Aaron Jones, Saquon Barkley, Joe Mixon, Najee Harris, Antonio Gibson

WR: Tyreek Hill, Davante Adams

TE: Travis Kelce

The top-3 RBs likely appear atop your board here, with Kelce coming in 4th. Hill and Harris follow that group.


Round 2

QB:

RB: Joe Mixon, Najee Harris, Antonio Gibson, Austin Ekeler

WR: A.J. Brown, Calvin Ridley

TE: Travis Kelce

Ekeler isn’t undraftable where he’s going in non-PPR. Clearly, though, he takes a noticeable hit in the format.

Even in his breakout 2019, the undersized back handled just 27.6% of the Chargers’ red zone rushes. (That placed him outside the top-30 league-wide.) Expect the new coaching staff to spare Ekeler at times at the goal line.

Ideally you’d get 1 of the 3 backs ahead of Ekeler for an RB-RB start.


Round 3

QB:

RB: James Robinson, David Montgomery

WR: Mike Evans, Robert Woods, Chris Godwin, Adam Thielen, Cooper Kupp

TE:

Robinson and Montgomery are probably off the board, but they're solid RB2s and strong RB3s if available.

TE isn’t in play with Waller and Kittle off the board. So you're zeroing in on best-available RB/WR.


Round 4

QB:

RB: Gus Edwards, Damien Harris

WR: Chris Godwin, Adam Thielen, Cooper Kupp, Tyler Lockett

TE:

To this point, you’re likely sitting on 2 RBs and 1 WR. QB/TE still doesn't present much value here, so it’s down to Edwards, Harris or a WR.

In a non-PPR format, filling your flex spot with a RB is advisable. But it’s also not something you should force. We certainly like the TD potential for each of the WRs above. Each player’s hit 9+ TDs at least once in their careers. As always, let the Draft War Room (and your draft's trends) be a guide.


Round 5

QB: Russell Wilson

RB: Trey Sermon

WR: D.J. Moore, Tee Higgins, Chase Claypool, Jerry Jeudy

TE:

Wilson looks like your first serious QB target. He’s just 4 points ahead of Justin Herbert, but Wilson brings the added benefit of multi-year, proven production. We see a clear path to a top-5 finish, as hopes are high for new OC Shane Waldron and new TE Gerald Everett.

You can also take advantage of a young, loaded WR group and snag the best available WR2. Each guy carries a WR1 ceiling.


Round 6

QB: Russell Wilson

RB: Trey Sermon

WR: Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton, Odell Beckham, Robby Anderson

TE:

Sermon can pass as an RB2, but out of the gate, he’s best suited as an RB3. We don’t see him immediately discarding Raheem Mostert. And there’s just not much to like at RB beyond the rookie.

Another WR looks like your best bet here, with no value TE in sight. Anderson reunites with Sam Darnold with hopes of the QB capitalizing on an upgraded coaching staff. Jeudy earned the crown as our 2021 Breakout pick.


Round 7

QB: Jalen Hurts

RB: Leonard Fournette, Ronald Jones, Sony Michel

WR: Mike Williams, D.J. Chark

TE: Noah Fant

While Deshaun Watson rumors persist, we have to proceed as if Hurts will be Philly’s 2021 starter. If you want to dodge that risk, Stafford sits just 3.3 points behind. He’s also projected for 72 more attempts.

Both WRs bring downfield playmaking ability, raising their weekly fantasy ceiling. Williams is due for a rebound in the TD department after experiencing some bad luck in 2020. Chark needs to overcome recent hand surgery and earn a top-2 spot in Urban Meyer’s offense.

We’d pass on Fant if you’ve already selected another Bronco. But independently, the uber-athletic young TE looks like a breakout candidate.


Round 8

QB: Ryan Tannehill

RB: Jamaal Williams

WR: Mike Williams, Brandin Cooks, Michael Gallup

TE: Tyler Higbee

Tannehill’s only real question for 2021 is just how critical former OC Arthur Smith was to his success. But with Julio Jones in town, you have to love Tannehill’s upside.

Williams’ receiving role might raise his floor a bit, but we’re just talking about matchup flex options with this trio.

Elsewhere, Higbee enters the TE1 mix. He’s projected for the same number of points as Mike Gesicki, but the Ram holds edges in TD upside and QB play.


Round 9

QB: Ryan Tannehill

RB: Jamaal Williams, Kenyan Drake

WR: Michael Pittman, Mecole Hardman, Jaylen Waddle

TE: Mike Gesicki

If available, Pittman stands out as a value. He checks boxes for size (6’4, 223), athleticism and opportunity, while Carson Wentz looks likely to return by Week 1 or Week 2.

Hardman enters a make-or-break year looking to shed a boom/bust label. He might need a Tyreek Hill injury to really shine, but he’s low-risk at this point. Waddle can establish himself as a go-to option right away with Will Fuller sidelined for the opener (against New England).


Round 10

QB: Trey Lance

RB: Alexander Mattison, Rashaad Penny

WR: Elijah Moore, Darnell Mooney, Corey Davis, Henry Ruggs

TE: Jonnu Smith

Lance would be a QB1 if we had confirmation he’d start right away. Regardless, we expect him to hit the field early on. So you’ll just need to secure a backup — like the Viking below — while the SF QB battle plays out.

Mattison and Penny look like upside handcuffs. Moore and Mooney supply the sizzle. Both guys have excelled in training camp, with only a recent quad injury slowing down the rookie.


Round 11

QB: Kirk Cousins, Justin Fields

RB: Tevin Coleman, Rashaad Penny, Darrel Williams, Tony Jones, Ty'Son Williams

WR: Marvin Jones, Bryan Edwards, Emmanuel Sanders, Sterling Shepard, Terrace Marshall

TE: Jonnu Smith

At this point in the draft, we’re hunting for upside. (Around this time in your draft, Upside Mode will automatically toggle on inside the Draft War Room.)

ADP says this is your last chance to get Cousins. Ditto on Fields. Cousins’ early-season schedule looks awesome, making him a strong pairing with Lance or Fields.

Edwards and Marshall are young bets on talent.


Round 12

QB: Tua Tagovailoa

RB: Damien Williams, Tony Jones, Ty'Son Williams

WR: Emmanuel Sanders, Nelson Agholor, A.J. Green

TE: Austin Hooper, Gerald Everett

When you take your 2nd QB will depend on the strength of your #1. Take a top-5 or 6 guy and roll with just 1 at the position until the bye week hits.

Of course, look around and evaluate the QB needs of your league-mates throughout the draft. Too enters a critical season with a much improved supporting cast.

Beyond that, identify any spots you’re thin at and draft accordingly.


Round 13

QB: Ryan Fitzpatrick

RB: Damien Williams, Tony Jones, Ty'Son Williams

WR: Marquez Valdez-Scantling, Sammy Watkins, Parris Campbell

TE: Cole Kmet

This guy probably won’t last long on your roster — so swing for the fences.


Round 14-16

In most cases, your final 3 turns should include your kicker and D/ST picks, along with picks at any position you still need to fill in. You’re likely entering Week 1 with something like 2 QBs, 5 RBs, 5 WRs, 2 TEs, 1 K and 1 D.

Here are some Ks and DSTs with nice Week 1 matchups:

Matt Gay (vs. Bears)

Robbie Gould (at Lions)

Jason Myers (at Colts)

Rams (vs. Bears)

49ers (at Lions)


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Podcast: Draft Movers with Josh Norris 9-3-21

Podcast: Draft Movers with Josh Norris 9-3-21

1:09pm EDT 9/3/21

Josh Norris of Underdog Fantasy joins us to talk about some of the biggest changes to player values and situations that you need to think about before you're on the clock in your fantasy football draft.

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Premium Content Premium ContentPerfect Draft: 12-Team Non-PPR (Updated Sept. 3)

Perfect Draft: 12-Team Non-PPR (Updated Sept. 3)

11:09am EDT 9/3/21

A round-by-round game plan for your 12-team non-PPR draft.

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Premium Content Premium ContentPerfect Draft: 10-Team Non-PPR (updated Sept. 3)

Perfect Draft: 10-Team Non-PPR (updated Sept. 3)

7:09am EDT 9/3/21

A round-by-round game plan for your 10-team non-PPR draft.

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Premium Content Premium ContentPerfect Draft: 10-Team PPR (Updated Sept. 2)

Perfect Draft: 10-Team PPR (Updated Sept. 2)

12:09pm EDT 9/2/21

A round-by-round game plan for your 10-team PPR draft.

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Premium Content Premium ContentPerfect Draft: 14-Team PPR (Updated Sept. 2)

Perfect Draft: 14-Team PPR (Updated Sept. 2)

11:09am EDT 9/2/21

A round-by-round game plan for your 14-team PPR draft.

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Premium Content Premium ContentPerfect Draft: 12-Team PPR (Updated Sept. 2)

Perfect Draft: 12-Team PPR (Updated Sept. 2)

11:09am EDT 9/2/21

A round-by-round game plan for your 12-team PPR draft.

Read More »

Dominate your Fantasy League with

the Ultimate Tool Stack

In the heat of a draft, you want as much intel as possible. The key is integrating that into one simple, powerful tool.

Dominate your Fantasy League with

the Ultimate Tool Stack

In the heat of a draft, you want as much intel as possible. The key is integrating that into one simple, powerful tool.
3D Projections

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