Draft Strategy

Playoff Rankings

By Draft Sharks Staff 2:12pm EST 12/31/18


Picking upsets is fun. But that doesn’t mean it’s profitable. (And what’s more fun than winning money?)

So while we’d like to be contrarian with our Super Bowl pick, the smart move is to go with the chalk: Chiefs and Saints.

Home field figures to be the key factor in this year’s playoffs. And the Chiefs and Saints have 2 of the biggest home-field advantages in the NFL.

The Chiefs went 7-1 at Arrowhead this season, out-scoring their opponents by a whopping 14.4 points per game. The Saints finished 6-2 — but 1 of those losses came in this past week’s meaningless finale. New Orleans outscored opponents by 8.5 points per game in the Superdome.

Football Outsiders agrees with Chiefs-Saints as our most likely Super Bowl matchup. They give the Saints a 50% chance of reaching the final; the Chiefs 44.3%.

The playoff rankings below are based on the following results, with some hedging to account for the fact that many of these games are essentially coin flips.

Wild Card Round
Colts over Texans
Seahawks over Cowboys
Chargers over Ravens
Bears over Eagles

Divisional Round
Chiefs over Colts
Patriots over Chargers
Saints over Seahawks
Rams over Bears

Conference Championships
Chiefs over Patriots
Saints over Rams

If you’re looking for some bigger upsets, the Bears, Chargers and Ravens are the teams playing this weekend with the best shot to make a run to the Super Bowl.

On to the rankings, which are based on half-PPR scoring.


Sorry, the rest of this content is reserved for DS Insiders.

Get instant access to read it all.

Get the insider information

Already a DS Insider? Login now

Share This!

Agree? Disagree? Tell us what you think in the comments:

comments powered by Disqus

Related Fantasy Football

Premium Content 2019 Rookie Draft Cheatsheet with IDPs (updated 5/6)

Need a tidy list of 90 players to take into your rookie draft? Oh, you don't need that many? Tough. Here they are ...

11:04am EDT 4/30/19 Read More
Premium Content Post-Draft Dynasty Rookie Rankings

Now that we know where all the new guys will be playing, let's re-set the dynasty rookie rankings. Here's your top 60 overall, plus expanded QB, RB, WR and TE rankings.

2:04pm EDT 4/29/19 Read More
Premium Content 2019 IDP Rookie Rankings (updated 5/6)

Devin Bush watched the Steelers chase him down inside the NFL Draft's top 10. Is he worth your pursuit early in dynasty rookie drafts as well? Here are 70 defenders you should know ...

9:04am EDT 4/29/19 Read More
Premium Content Pre-Draft Dynasty Rookie Rankings

Ranking the top rookies at every position based on college production, athleticism and tape.

9:04am EDT 4/22/19 Read More
Takeaways from Early FFPC Drafts

Let's run through a couple of February FFPC drafts and pick out some lessons learned at every position.

2:02pm EST 2/25/19 Read More
Premium Content Early 2019 Best-Ball Draft Tiers

Fantasy football drafts have officially started for 2019 already. If you plan to get in on the action, we've got some player tiers to help you crush it.

11:01pm EST 1/10/19 Read More
Premium Content FFPC Playoff Challenge Strategy

Players to target and avoid at every position for the FFPC Playoff Challenge

4:01pm EST 1/2/19 Read More

Read More Articles

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Download on Google Play