Draft Strategy

QB Strategy Guide

By Jared Smola 8:08am EDT 8/19/19


Wait on a QB?

Remember when your league mates would look at you all cockeyed when you waited until Round 10 to grab your QB1? Those were the days.

Waiting on your QB has become the cool thing to do. Check out the ADP on QBs 1 through 12 over the last 5 years:

This year’s QB1, Patrick Mahomes, is going in the same range as the QB1s over the previous 3 years. (Although we’ve seen Mahomes drop to the 4th round in plenty of drafts.) But QBs are going later at almost every other spot vs. the past 4 years.

You can get the QB2 where the QB3 was being drafted back in 2015; the QB4 where the QB7 was going; the QB7 where the QB10 was going.

You get the point.

So it makes more sense — presents more value — to target 1 of the top-end QBs now. We’re passing on Mahomes at ADP: the opportunity cost of the RBs and WRs you’re passing on in the 2nd round is just too great.

But Deshaun Watson becomes intriguing if he slips into the latter part of the 4th round, or anywhere in the 5th. His 25.9 fantasy points per game in 22 starts over the past 2 seasons rank 2nd behind only Mahomes — and 1.8 points ahead of #3, Andrew Luck. If he and his top 3 WRs can stay healthy this year, Watson has a shot to lead all QBs in fantasy points.


Your top target

Sorry, the rest of this content is reserved for DS Insiders.

Get instant access to read it all.

Get the insider information

Already a DS Insider? Login now

Share This!

Agree? Disagree? Tell us what you think in the comments:

comments powered by Disqus

Related Fantasy Football

DFS Podcast: Week 12 DraftKings 11-22-19

Are the Browns about to carry this week on DK, or will it be another game to the east?

1 hour ago Read More
Podcast: Defensive Look Ahead 11-19-19

Jonathan Williams. Bo Scarbrough. Darrel Williams. Are these really the key names heading into Week 12? And where can you find help this week and beyond on defense?

1:11pm EST 11/19/19 Read More
Premium Content DFS Showdown Tips: Chiefs-Chargers

Monday night's game should bring plenty of offense. So how do we decide which guys to use?

9:11am EST 11/18/19 Read More
DFS Podcast: Week 11 DraftKings 11-15-19

Drew Brees looks to bounce back at Tampa. High-powered offenses square off in Baltimore. And injuries just might produce "lock" plays at RB and WR.

8:11pm EST 11/15/19 Read More
DFS Podcast: Week 11 FanDuel 11-15-19

How expensive should you go at QB this week and what have injuries done to the RB pool?

4:11pm EST 11/15/19 Read More
Podcast: We Must Take the Hill 11-12-19

Devonta Freeman's injury has made Brian Hill a thing, and that's not even the biggest Falcons injury situation for fantasy football owners this week.

12:11pm EST 11/12/19 Read More
Premium Content DFS Showdown Tips: Seahawks-49ers

Russell Wilson faces the league's toughest defense on Monday night. Should that keep him from leading your showdown lineups?

1:11am EST 11/11/19 Read More

Read More Articles

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Download on Google Play