Draft Strategy

QB Strategy Guide

By Jared Smola 8:08am EDT 8/19/19

Wait on a QB?

Remember when your league mates would look at you all cockeyed when you waited until Round 10 to grab your QB1? Those were the days.

Waiting on your QB has become the cool thing to do. Check out the ADP on QBs 1 through 12 over the last 5 years:

This year’s QB1, Patrick Mahomes, is going in the same range as the QB1s over the previous 3 years. (Although we’ve seen Mahomes drop to the 4th round in plenty of drafts.) But QBs are going later at almost every other spot vs. the past 4 years.

You can get the QB2 where the QB3 was being drafted back in 2015; the QB4 where the QB7 was going; the QB7 where the QB10 was going.

You get the point.

So it makes more sense — presents more value — to target 1 of the top-end QBs now. We’re passing on Mahomes at ADP: the opportunity cost of the RBs and WRs you’re passing on in the 2nd round is just too great.

But Deshaun Watson becomes intriguing if he slips into the latter part of the 4th round, or anywhere in the 5th. His 25.9 fantasy points per game in 22 starts over the past 2 seasons rank 2nd behind only Mahomes — and 1.8 points ahead of #3, Andrew Luck. If he and his top 3 WRs can stay healthy this year, Watson has a shot to lead all QBs in fantasy points.

Your top target

Sorry, the rest of this content is reserved for DS Insiders.

Get instant access to read it all.

Get the insider information

Already a DS Insider? Login now

Share This!

Agree? Disagree? Tell us what you think in the comments:

comments powered by Disqus

Related Fantasy Football

DFS Showdown Tips: Super Bowl

Who are the cheap fantasy football differentiators hidden deep in Sunday's Chiefs-49ers matchup?

4:01pm EST 1/30/20 Read More
Premium Content DFS Showdown Tips: Titans-Chiefs

901 yards. 67 points. That's what these teams produced in their Week 10 meeting. What's to come this time, and how should it shape your showdown lineups? Let's take a look ...

11:01am EST 1/16/20 Read More
Premium Content DFS Showdown Tips: Packers-49ers

Want a contrarian RB, a salary-saving WR and perhaps the safest value among 49ers this weekend?

10:01am EST 1/16/20 Read More
Podcast: Divisional Round 1-10-20

Whether you're building DFS lineups or setting another fantasy lineup for the weekend, check out our deep dive into divisional-round matchups for the NFL playoffs.

1:01pm EST 1/10/20 Read More
Premium Content DFS Showdown Tips: 49ers-Seahawks

Russell Wilson and the Seahawks beat the 49ers in OT in their last meeting. But neither QB posted big numbers. Where's the value for this showdown?

4:12pm EST 12/29/19 Read More
Podcast: Week 17 Preview 12-26-19

Most leagues might be done after Week 16 ... but not all. So we're running through Week 17 right along with you, talkin' situations to monitor and sleepers to target.

3:12pm EST 12/26/19 Read More
DFS Showdown Tips: Chiefs-Bears

Is Mitchell Trubisky's showdown pricing fair to his downside or disrespectful to his recent production?

5:12pm EST 12/22/19 Read More

Read More Articles

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Download on Google Play