Approaching the elites
Travis Kelce has ranked as the overall TE1 for 4 straight seasons. In 2019, he led the overall TE2 (Darren Waller) by 33.3 PPR points — easily the biggest gap during Kelce’s reign.
He’s 30 years old and playing alongside human cheat code Patrick Mahomes. There’s no cause for concern for 2020.
This year is different from the last, though, as George Kittle brings serious competition. There’s just a 7-point gap separating the two in projected PPR points. San Francisco’s WR injuries only raise Kittle’s target ceiling.
Now, these guys provide a 30-35-point edge on PPR TE3 Zach Ertz. Kelce supplies a massive 108-point edge on TE12 Blake Jarwin, the lowest-projected starter in a 12-team league. (Kittle’s advantage is 101 points.)
Now compare that to QB. Mahomes’ edge on QB12 Matt Ryan is 84 points. Christian McCaffrey tops RB12 Nick Chubb by 152. (No surprise there.) And Michael Thomas sits 67 points ahead of WR12 Odell Beckham.
Looking at MVP+ value for a league that starts 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE and 1 FLEX, Kelce profiles as a top-8 selection. But with a Round 2 ADP, you don’t have to invest your 1st pick to land him. Kittle typically lasts several picks later.
Bottom line: Both guys should be in play for you in Round 2. While we like plenty of mid- to late-round TEs, securing 1 of the elites takes some guesswork out of a potential streaming situation. Such a scenario also gives you the ability to forgo a TE2 in favor of another position.
Kelce’s excellent durability — just 1 missed game since the start of 2014 — only adds to his appeal. Kittle’s played through some injuries, but he’s sat out only 3 games in 3 seasons.