Risers & Fallers

Updated Dynasty Rankings: Risers & Fallers

By Jared Smola 12:01pm EST 1/25/17


The end of the NFL season is a perfect time to step back and re-assess the fantasy football landscape. It’s also a good time to refresh the Dynasty Rankings.

The Draft Sharks staff spent an entire day earlier this week doing just that. There were some heated debates (as always). But we’re all happy with how the updated rankings came out.

The Dynasty Rankings will continue to be massaged throughout the offseason as we get free agency and the 2017 NFL Draft. For now, though, let’s take a look at 3 of the biggest risers and 3 of the biggest fallers in the updated rankings.


Risers:

Dak Prescott, QB, Cowboys

You might be surprised to see just how high Prescott sits in the updated Dynasty Rankings. But really — he’s earned it.

Prescott set an NFL rookie record in completion rate, passing some dude named Roethlisberger. He also ranked among the top 6 rookies all-time in TDs, yards and yards per attempt. Prescott scored the 3rd most fantasy points by a rookie QB. The rest of the top 5: Cam Newton, Robert Griffin, Russell Wilson and Andrew Luck. Nice company.

And Prescott did it all despite not taking over as Dallas’ starter until late August.

He’s set up well long term with a stud RB in Ezekiel Elliott and an elite WR in Dez Bryant. Plus a dominant offensive line that will be together for a while. G Zack Martin is signed through 2018. OT Tyron Smith and C Travis Frederick are locked up through 2023.

Jordan Howard, RB, Bears

We have just 1 season to go on, but Howard certainly looks like the real deal.

His 1,313 rushing yards in 2016 set a Bears rookie record and ranked 2nd league-wide. Howard also finished near the top of the heap in missed tackles forced and yards after contact — measures of individual talent.

Just as encouraging was Howard’s pass-catching production. It was a major question mark after he totaled just 24 receptions across 3 college seasons. But he hauled in 29 balls as a rookie and averaged a strong 10.3 yards per catch.

Howard has all the makings of a long-term RB1.

Tevin Coleman, RB, Falcons

While Devonta Freeman remained Atlanta’s lead back (and most productive fantasy RB) this past year, Coleman was plenty impressive in his own right. He averaged 4.4 yards per carry, 13.6 yards per catch and scored 11 total TDs. David Johnson was the only RB with more receptions of 20+ yards than Coleman’s 8.

The biggest reason Coleman got a boost up the rankings, though, is that Freeman is entering the final year of his contract. With such an explosive talent in Coleman, it’d be a surprise if the Falcons are the highest bidder for Freeman when he hits the open market next offseason.

So 2018 could find Coleman as a lead back — and a potential RB1 in fantasy football.


Fallers:

Jeremy Hill, RB, Bengals

Hill’s dynasty value is clinging to his 2014 rookie campaign. He ripped off 1,124 rushing yards on 5.1 yards per carry that year. In the past 2 seasons, he’s averaged 3.6 and 3.8 yards per carry, respectively. Hill reached 4 YPC in just 3 of 15 games in 2016. (And 2 of those came against the Browns.)

Hill has maintained fantasy value the past 2 years by totaling 21 TDs. But it’s unwise to bank on that scoring continuing with such poor efficiency — especially with Hill set to hit free agency next offseason.

John Brown, WR, Cardinals

Brown looked like an ascending prospect heading into 2016. He was coming off a 1,000-yard sophomore campaign and playing for an explosive offense.

A year later, there are a lot more questions about his long-term outlook. The biggest is the sickle-cell issue that hampered him throughout last season. Unlike a twisted ankle or even a torn ACL, there’s no known fix for this problem. The Cardinals worked all year to find a solution but came up empty.

The QB situation is a lesser but still significant concern. 37-year-old Carson Palmer looked cooked for much of 2016 and hasn’t even committed to continuing his career.

Note, too, that Brown entered the league at an advanced age. He’s heading into just his 4th season but turns 27 in April.

Coby Fleener, TE, Saints

What a gorgeous opportunity Fleener had in 2016. He inked a big free-agent deal with the Saints, who had produced a top 6 PPR TE in 5 straight seasons.

But Fleener — as he’s known to do — flubbed the opportunity. He finished 15th in PPR scoring and was basically splitting time with Josh Hill by the end of the season.

Fleener will be back in New Orleans in 2017. But he turns 29 in September, and there’s no reason to believe the light bulb will finally flick on.


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