Josh Allen ($8,700)
Allen ranks 5th in our dollars-per-point rankings, coming off a week where he only was outscored by Week 10 opponent Kyler Murray.
Murray will come in much higher owned and has been a machine, scoring 37+ in 2 straight games. He’ll be higher owned, though.
Allen has just as much upside and plays in the same game, so I will look to leverage the field by playing him in at least 20% of my lineups.
Tua Tagovailo ($6,800)
Tua is way underpriced this week at just $6,800 with a ceiling of 23.6 points in a solid matchup against the Chargers’ 14th ranked pass defense and 23rd ranked rush defense.
Tua showed some upside last week, completing 20 of 28 passes for 248 yards and 2 TDs. He also made several plays with his legs, too, gaining 35 yards on 7 carries.
With the Dolphins favored by 2.5 points, it should be a back and forth affair between 2 of the 3 top rookie QBs.
I will be rostering Tua in at least 15% of my GPP lineups.
Aaron Jones ($8,800)
ones is nearly impossible to avoid this week as 13.5-point favorites against a terrible Jaguars defense that ranks 32nd against the pass and 21st against the run.
Jones should have a phenomenal chance at multiple scores. He showed last week that he was healthy, parlaying 20 touches into 79 yards in his first game back from a calf injury.
We want to target TDs on FanDuel and Jones is a top candidate to score as he had 20 TDs last season and 7 in just 6 games this season.
Jones will be a chalky, but I think his upside can’t be ignored here. I’ll be rostering him in at least 35% of my FD GPP lineups.
Mike Davis ($5,400)
Mike Davis ranks 2nd in dollars per projected point with Christian McCaffrey expected to miss this game with a shoulder injury. Davis ranks 2nd only behind Duke Johnson, who is $400 more but in a better matchup against the Browns in a revenge game.
Davis has a tough matchup against the Bucs, who rank 2nd against the pass and 3rd against the run on the season. The matchup shouldn’t matter too much, though, as Davis should easily exceed value priced just $900 above the minimum.
He had 8 catches for 74 yards against this same Bucs team back in Week 2 when the Bucs trounced the Panthers 31-17.
I’ll be aggressively targeting Davis in at least 75% of my lineups.
Tyler Lockett ($7,400)
I’ve been making it a priority to go back to chalky players that busted the week prior with a lot of the field unwilling to go back the guy that destroyed their lineup in the previous week.
Lockett was extremely popular in Week 9 against the Bills, when he had a disappointing 4-40-0 line in a game in which Seattle scored 34 points.
The Seahawks-Rams game has the 2nd highest over/under on the slate at 55.5 points and Lockett should have the better matchup with D.K. Metcalf going up against stud CB Jalen Ramsey.
The Rams defense has been solid, ranking 10th against the pass and 14th against the run. But Lockett has elite upside with 2 separate games this season of over 100+ yards and 3 scores.
Lockett will be in at least 20% of my GPP lineups.
Antonio Brown ($6,500)
Brown jumped right in and played 39 of 50 snaps in Week 9 in his first game of the 2020 season. The Bucs got annihilated 38-3 by the Saints, so no Bucs WR did anything.
Tom Brady has played with AB in the past, so I expect Tom to rely on him in Week 10. I can see Brown having a big game in a bounce-back spot against the Panthers’ 21st ranked pass defense.
Priced at $6,500, there is a lot of uncertainty on the Bucs offense in general with so many viable options. I’ll be looking to buy low on Brown as he should be low owned in a juicy matchup.
Hunter Henry ($5,500)
Henry has been a massive disappointment this season with just 1 TD and a season-high of just 83 yards back in Week 2 against the Chiefs.
Volume has been pretty consistent for Henry, though, with 7+ targets in 6 of 8 games. So it’s surprising that he hasn’t surpassed 50 yards in his last 6 games.
I’m going to continue to buy Henry as his price and ownership continues to decrease every week. In an ugly TE landscape, I will be looking to roster Henry in at least 15-20% of my GPP lineups.
Coming off an impressive 44-34 victory over the Seahawks, the Bills will come in low owned this week against an explosive Kyler Murray-led Cardinals team.
Despite giving up 34 points last week against Seattle, Buffalo racked up 12 fantasy points as they sacked Russell Wilson 5 times and forced him into 4 turnovers.
I think the Bills defense could have a similar performance in Week 10 against a weak offensive line and a QB who has fumbled 3 times and thrown 7 INTs in 8 games.