I’ll be fading Joe Mixon ($7,400) at 19% projected ownership against a Steelers defense tougher vs. the run than the pass. Dameon Pierce ($6,500) is also a fade for me for the 2nd straight week. He has a tough draw vs. the Commanders and only has 1 tournament-winning performance this season.
Taylor got the horsiest of workhorse usage last week. He played 94% of the Colts’ offensive snaps, ran a route on 85% of pass plays and handled 22 carries and 2 targets. Maybe the return of RB Deon Jackson slashes Taylor’s volume this week – but maybe it doesn’t. It’s Deon Jackson, after all.
Taylor draws a plus matchup on Sunday against a struggling Eagles run defense. Philly has coughed up 4.6 yards per carry to RBs over the past 5 weeks, ranking 31st in Football Outsiders’ run defense DVOA during that span.
Taylor is projected for just 11% ownership.
Jacobs has continued to dominate backfield work for the Raiders, tallying 20+ opportunities (carries + targets) in 5 of his last 6 games.
That stretch started with a huge game against the Broncos. Jacobs carried 28 times for 144 yards and 2 TDs in that one, adding 5 catches on 6 targets for 31 yards.
Denver rolls into the rematch sitting 20th in Football Outsiders’ run defense rankings and allowing 4.5 yards per carry to RBs over the past 5 weeks.
I’ll likely have 1 of these Washington RBs in every tournament lineup I make.
Washington went run heavy in last week’s win over the Eagles, resulting in 40 combined carries for Gibson and Robinson. We could see a similar outcome this weekend. The Commanders are 3-point favorites vs. a Houston squad sitting 32nd in Pass Rate Over Expected Against, 31st in Football Outsiders’ run defense rankings and 32nd in adjusted fantasy points allowed to RBs.
I prefer Gibson among these 2 because of his pass-catching role and big-play ability. But Robinson saves you a few hundred bucks and is the favorite to lead in carries.
Also consider: Saquon Barkley ($8,900), Dalvin Cook ($8,000), Alvin Kamara ($7,600), Rhamondre Stevenson ($6,700), David Montgomery ($6,100)