Week 11 IDP Hits

Will Panthers S Jeremy Chinn be available for our IDP lineups this week?

And if he is … should we use him?

Chinn has been out since suffering a hamstring injury in Week 4. Carolina activated him from IR Saturday, opening the possibility for Chinn to play against the Ravens. Interim HC Steve Wilks deemed him a game-time decision. In the same Shark Bite, I mentioned that Wilks called Chinn’s return a “work in progress.”

That quote followed Wednesday’s practice, leaving 2 more days for “progress” this week. By the end of Friday, we learned that Carolina will likely be missing 2 other safeties: Juston Burris and Myles Hartsfield, who have factored heavily into the Chinn replacement plan.

We’ll need to watch to see if Chinn’s active. But if he’s ready to play, it’s not hard to imagine the team getting Chinn back to full playing time.

We’ve had Chinn in the Week 11 IDP rankings, but he doesn’t sit super high. First of all, there’s the uncertainty over his playing time. Second is the matchup. Baltimore has been the league’s 2nd-worst scoring matchup for DBs by our adjusted fantasy points allowed.

That would have mattered less for the Chinn of last year or 2020. That guy regularly spent half or more of his snaps lined up “in the box.” This year’s version started similarly – 45% of Week 1 snaps in the box, according to Pro Football Focus. But he spent more than half of his snaps at deep safety in weeks 2 and 3.

Perhaps that changes against a run-heavy Ravens team. But Carolina has also settled into playing both LBs Frankie Luvu and Shaq Thompson for a lot of snaps since then.

So maybe Chinn comes back to full playing time and spends more of Sunday in the box.
Or maybe he gets full playing time but lines up primarily deep in a banged-up secondary.
Or maybe he gets out there with a snap count.
Or maybe he tweaks that hamstring.

At some level, it’s OK to take a shot on Chinn. But don’t go treating him like a top-6 fantasy DB right away.

Notes Around the League: