The Week 12 DFS slate is more challenging than usual. With 3 games on Thanksgiving, the main slate has been downsized to just 10 games and many of the top QB options aren’t available. With Dak Prescott and Josh Allen playing Thursday, Patrick Mahomes and Kyler Murray on bye, and Lamar Jackson and Russell Wilson playing primetime games, we may have to dig deep at QB.
Let’s ride.
With minimal ceiling plays at QB, tournament ownership will likely condense at the top with Tom Brady ($7,600), Jalen Hurts ($7,300), Matt Stafford ($7,100), Aaron Rodgers ($6,900) & Justin Herbert ($6,600)
This profiles as the 3rd fastest game on the slate.We’ve seen Cooper Kupp’s biggest games coincide with huge games from Stafford, as well. Kupp has the 4th highest matchup advantage of any WR in Week 12 and the 2nd highest on the main slate. Additionally, the spread of 47 points is attracting sharp action with 89% of the money on the over.Stafford’s last two outings may suppress his ownership.
Cousins is priced right below the top tier of QBs, which makes him an intriguing play. Kirk has thrown 2+ TDs on 35+ pass attempts in 4 of his last 5 games, despite some difficult matchups against CAR, DAL & LAC. Justin Jefferson is the only WR with a higher matchup advantage than Kupp.
With Cam Newton only $300 more, I expect Tyrod to be a great leverage play, as well as a great salary saver this week. Tyrod has rushed for at least 20 yards in all 3 of his full starts this season. Plus, the Jets have allowed 311 yards and 2.4 passing TDs on average over their last 5 games. Tyrod’s matchup profiles well for his legs and his arm.
Contrarian plays: Zach Wilson ($5,100) & Trevor Lawrence ($5,400)