Justin Herbert ($8,400)
If Herbert stays healthy, he’s basically a lock for Offensive Rookie of the Year as he continues to pile up monster stats with another great game with 366 yards and 3 TDs in last week’s win over the Jets.
Herbert has been an absolute machine this season and has been the overall QB2 since becoming the starter back in Week 2. He only has 1 game under 20 FanDuel points and it came back in Week 3 against the Panthers when he still threw for 330 yards passing but just 1 TD.
Herbert has a fantastic matchup this week against the Bills, who have given up the 5th most fantasy points to opposing QBs. This should be a back and forth affair between aggressive QBs in Herbert and Josh Allen. I like Allen as well but slightly prefer Herbert with the $200 in savings.
Taysom Hill ($7,300)
Hill is underpriced at $7,300 this week coming off a 24+ FD performance in Week 11 against the Falcons. He was solid, completing 18 of 23 passes for 233 yards and rushing for 49 yards and 2 TDs. Hill nearly had an even bigger game as he had a 50-yard TD to Emmanuel Sanders nullified by a penalty that had nothing to do with the play.
With excellent coaching from Sean Payton and Hill’s ability to use his legs to accrue fantasy points, he should be priced closer to $8K, so I will continue to buy-low on the all-purpose stud.
Nick Chubb ($8,400)
Chubb missed over a month with an MCL sprain but has shown no ill-effects from the injury as he has surpassed 100+ rushing yards in each game since the injury against the Texans and Eagles.
Now, Chubb has a dream matchup against the Jaguars, who have given up the 5th most fantasy points to opposing RBs. The Browns figure to go run-heavy as TD favorites against the Mike Glennon-led Jaguars.
Chubb is priced as the RB4 on FD due to lack of receiving workload, but he’s a Derrick Henry type of player with elite upside and a chance for over 100+ yards and multiple scores in a juicy matchup.
I’ll be locking Chubb in to at least 25% of my GPP lineups.
Damien Harris ($6,000)
With Rex Burkhead done for the year with an ACL tear and Sony Michel yet to return from his injury, it could be Damien Harris and James White dominating backfield touches for the Pats in Week 12.
Harris is more of the pure runner as he has gone over 100+ yards rushing in 2 of the previous 4 games for the Patriots. Now, he gets an elite matchup against a Cardinals defense that has had multiple injuries along the defensive line, including Chandler Jones and Corey Peters.
The Seahawks ran all over the Cardinals last week. And as slight home underdogs, I would expect much of the same from the Patriots as Cam has been inconsistent throwing the ball for most of the year.
Harris should come in low-owned and has GPP-winning upside running behind a solid offensive line against a weak defensive line and team that allows a ton of plays.
Keenan Allen ($8,200)
Allen absolutely eviscerated the Jets last week, catching 16 of 19 targets for 145 yards and 1 TD. He also had 2 balls hit him right in the hands or it would have been an 18-catch performance.
Herbert and Allen have shown elite chemistry and trust, as Allen’s 104 targets is 46 more than TE Hunter Henry and 62 more than WR Mike Williams.
Buffalo has struggled to defend WRs in the middle of the field this season, where Allen will be running most of his routes away from outside CB Tre White.
Priced as the WR3 on FD, Allen easily has top WR upside in a great matchup against the Bills which should be a perfect game environment for him to rack up another 10+ catches and 100+ yards.
Antonio Brown ($6,500)
Brown is way too cheap this week going up against a Chiefs defense that was just embarrassed by the Raiders on Sunday Night Football.
Brown has had a nice role in the offense with 15 catches on 21 targets in his last 2 games against the Rams and Panthers. Somehow, Brown has only parlayed 21 targets into 126 yards and no TDs — but the blow up game is coming soon as the Bucs pepper him with a lot of screens, slants and the occasional deep ball.
I don’t think AB has lost much, so I will continue to buy low on him in an offense with a lot of mouths to feed. With Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Rob Gronkowski competing with AB for targets, he should continue to come in low-owned once again in Week 12.
Travis Kelce ($8,000)
The TE position has been very inconsistent as a whole in 2020 with a multitude of dud performances from high-owned TEs.
I have continued to overweight the field with Kelce as he has by far the highest floor/ceiling combo among all TEs.
Kelce churned out another TE1 performance last week as he caught the game-winning TD against the Raiders with less than 1 minute left. He finished with 8 catches for 127 yards and a TD and has now eclipsed 100+ receiving yards in 3 consecutive games for the Chiefs.
With not much to like at the TE position, I will once again play a bunch of Kelce in a matchup that is expected to go back and forth between the Chiefs and Bucs.
Giants ($4,300)
The Giants defense has been sneakily decent this season with CB James Bradberry playing lockdown defense and the Giants accumulating at least 2+ sacks in every game.
Now, the Giants have a dream matchup against the pass-heavy Bengals missing their franchise QB Joe Burrow. The Bengals will be starting Brandon Allen, who has been dreadful when given any opportunity. The Giants defense will be licking their chops against a poor offensive line.
Priced as the 6th most expensive defense on the FD slate, I will be rostering the Giants in at least 15-20% of my Week 12 GPP lineups.