Last week presented limited opportunities to find great matchups and stacks. This week is the opposite. Multiple team stacks are viable this week, including TB, LAR, ARI, PHI, MIN, CIN and LAC. The key to being profitable this week in DFS tournaments will be picking which games to attack and which games to fade.
The choices are overwhelming this week.It’s very difficult to approach the QB position on a slate where there is no shortage of ceiling. Our projections have 8 QBs with a ceiling projection over 24 points.
I expect Jackson to see the lowest ownership of the elite QB options due to his high price. Yet in our projections, his ceiling projection is 2nd among QBs. The Steelers rank 29th in weighted DVOA this season, which puts more emphasis on recent play. Injuries and attrition have led to the Steelers defense allowing nearly 600 rushing yards over their last 3 games, which bodes well for Lamar. This is no longer a matchup we need to fear.
At the top of the list in our projections with 26.3 projected ceiling points is Hurts. Hurts just had his worst fantasy performance of the season, which may cause him to be overlooked in favor of other QBs in this price range.
The Jets are among the worst in the league against the run and pass, ranking 30th in Football Outsiders rush defense DVOA and 31st in pass defense DVOA. Hurts has rushed at least 7 times in every game this season and hasn’t failed to eclipse 55 rushing yards since Week 6 against TB.
Since Wilson has returned, the Seahawks have yet to score more than 15 points on offense. However, the 49ers are a pass funnel defense, ranking 2nd in rush defense DVOA but 22nd in pass defense DVOA.If the Seahawks do put up points in this game, it’s likely to come through passing production. A risky play, but could be a great differentiator if you play popular RBs, WRs or TEs this week.
Cheap Options: Taylor Heinicke ($5,600) & Tua Tagovailoa ($5,500)