Evans isn’t a prototypical cash-game play. Even this season, he has 3 games with fewer than 6 DK points.
But I love his spot this week. The Bills still haven’t been tested since losing top CB Tre White. The Saints didn’t have the horses at WR to take advantage back in Week 12. And the Patriots threw it 3 times in windy, snowy conditions on Monday night.
We know Tom Brady isn’t afraid to attack a defense’s weakness over and over again. Buffalo’s weakness is now CB Dane Jackson, the Tre White replacement. Look for Brady to go at Jackson early and often with Evans.
Only 7 WRs have scored more PPR points than Renfrow over the past 5 weeks. He’s averaged 8.2 targets, 7 catches, 72.2 yards and .4 TDs per game during that stretch.
Renfrow saw a season-high 10 targets last week with the Raiders missing TE Darren Waller, who’s likely out again for Sunday’s game vs. the Chiefs.
Renfrow posted a 7-46-1 line on 9 targets against Kansas City back in Week 10. And that came alongside Waller.
We’ll see if WRs Keenan Allen and Mike Williams can get off the COVID list in time for Sunday’s game vs. the Giants. But unless both are able to play, Guyton and Palmer should be in for increased volume.
Guyton has already run a route on 63% of pass plays this season, so his playing time wouldn’t grow by much. But he would likely see a big increase from his current 6.8% target share. Guyton is a big-play threat, averaging 17.4 yards per catch for his career.
Palmer is the more natural Allen replacement. He’s already played 37% of his snaps in the slot this season. And his 10.0-yard average depth of targets is close to Allen’s 8.6. Palmer might actually bring a higher floor than Guyton -- assuming Allen is out.
Also consider: Tyreek Hill ($8,500), Stefon Diggs ($8,100)