Show Navigation
Show Menu

DFS

Week 16 DraftKings Cash-Game Picks

By Jared Smola 7:12pm EST 12/26/20


QB

Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs ($8,500)

There’s plenty of value on this slate, so let’s not mess around at QB. Mahomes is in a smash spot at home for a Falcons team sitting 19th in Football Outsiders’ pass defense rankings and dead last in adjusted fantasy points allowed to QBs.

The Chiefs are sporting a huge 31.75-point implied total — easily highest on the main slate.

If you’re looking to save a bit at QB, Deshaun Watson ($7,600) and Jalen Hurts ($7,000) are also strong plays.


RBs

David Johnson, Texans ($6,100)

With Duke Johnson and C.J. Prosise out last weekend, David Johnson played 80% of the offensive snaps and racked up 8 carries and 11 targets. Prosise is back for Week 16, but Duke remains out. So look for David to again dominate backfield work.

The matchup is a good one vs. a Bengals defense that ranks 17th vs. the run and 23rd in RB coverage, according to Football Outsiders. The Texans’ 25.75-point implied total is 6th highest on the main slate.

Melvin Gordon, Broncos ($5,600)

Gordon is playing well lately, topping 5 yards per carry in 3 straight and 4 of his last 5. He’s also hauled in 7 of 7 targets over his last 2 outings.

He’s in for a volume boost on Sunday with RB Phillip Lindsay out. In 3 games without Lindsay earlier this season, Gordon totaled 50 carries and 12 targets.

The cherry on top is a matchup vs. a Chargers squad that’s sunk to 31st in Football Outsiders’ run defense DVOA. Los Angeles has coughed up 4.6 yards per carry to RBs on the season.

Darrell Henderson, Rams ($4,500)

You could opt to pay up for David Montgomery ($7,700) or Austin Ekeler ($7,600) for your 3rd RB. But Henderson joins Johnson and Gordon as a top 3 RB value based on our projections.

Cam Akers’ absence will pop Henderson back into the lead ball-carrying role for the Rams. He averaged 14 carries — plus 2.2 targets — in that spot in 6 games earlier this season and figures to see similar volume on Sunday vs. Seattle.

The Seahawks are no pushover against the run, but they rank a middling 22nd in adjusted fantasy points allowed to RBs.


WRs

Diontae Johnson, Steelers ($6,300)

Investing money in a Steeler doesn’t feel great after what we’ve seen from that offense lately. But the struggles haven’t impacted Johnson’s fantasy production. He’s averaged 15.4 DK points over the last 4, with 12.6+ in 3 of them. The only exception was the Bills game when he was benched for over a quarter for drops. He saw 7 targets in that game — 13, 12 and 13 in the other 3.

Johnson gets a Colts defense on Sunday that ranks 14th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to WRs.

Curtis Samuel, Panthers ($4,900)

After a quiet start to the season, Samuel has averaged a healthy 7.8 targets and 2 carries over his last 6 games. He’s scored 12.7+ DK points in 4 of those 6 games and averaged 15.5.

Carolina-Washington figures to be a low-scoring affair. But Samuel is a nice target bet for his price and has a plus individual matchup vs. slot CB Jimmy Moreland, who ranks 73rd in Pro Football Focus’ coverage grades among 113 qualifiers.

Tee Higgins, Bengals ($4,700)

Higgins has somehow mustered 5 catches in 3 of 4 games since he lost QB Joe Burrow. He’s averaged a solid 6.8 targets over that span.

That number should climb in Week 16 with Tyler Boyd and his 20.5% target share out with a concussion. And the matchup is sweet vs. a bad Texans secondary that’s been even worse since losing top CB Bradley Roby.


TE

Austin Hooper, Browns ($3,500)

Saturday night’s news of Browns WRs Jarvis Landry, Rashard Higgins, Donovan Peoples-Jones and KhaDarel Hodge landing on the COVID list and being ruled out for Week 16 turns Hooper into an obvious cash play. I’d consider him the favorite to lead Cleveland in targets on Sunday in a pristine matchup vs. the Jets’ league-worst TE defense.


DST

Texans ($2,800)

This is obviously a matchup play. Houston’s defense isn’t good but draws QB Brandon Allen and the Bengals on Sunday. Cincinnati has averaged 14.5 points per game and turned it over 8 times in 4 games without Joe Burrow. That includes 2 INTs and a lost fumble from Allen.


Related Fantasy Football

Premium Content Premium ContentWild Card Round DraftKings Targets

Wild Card Round DraftKings Targets

12:06pm EST 1/14/22

The best plays at every position for the Wild Card slate on DraftKings.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentDFS Showdown Tips: Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders

DFS Showdown Tips: Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders

4:45pm EST 1/9/22

Assuming we don't get a kneel fest, who belongs in your showdown lineups for this final game of the 2021 NFL regular season?

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentWeek 18 FanDuel Tournament Picks

Week 18 FanDuel Tournament Picks

8:08am EST 1/9/22

High-upside targets at every position for Week 18 FanDuel tournaments.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentWeek 18 DraftKings Tournament Picks

Week 18 DraftKings Tournament Picks

7:54am EST 1/9/22

High-upside targets at every position for Week 18 DraftKings tournaments.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentWeek 18 FanDuel Cash-Game Picks

Week 18 FanDuel Cash-Game Picks

7:30am EST 1/8/22

The top values at every position for Week 18 FanDuel cash games.

Read More »
Podcast: Week 18 FanDuel 1-7-22

Podcast: Week 18 FanDuel 1-7-22

4:00pm EST 1/7/22

Which game looks best for stacking on this final NFL main slate of the season?

Read More »
Podcast: Week 18 DraftKings 1-7-22

Podcast: Week 18 DraftKings 1-7-22

2:00pm EST 1/7/22

Jonathan Taylor or Cooper Kupp? Your lineup planning on DraftKings this week might start there, but it'll need to go a lot further ... (and we're here to help).

Read More »

Dominate your Fantasy League with

the Ultimate Tool Stack

In the heat of a draft, you want as much intel as possible. The key is integrating that into one simple, powerful tool.

Dominate your Fantasy League with

the Ultimate Tool Stack

In the heat of a draft, you want as much intel as possible. The key is integrating that into one simple, powerful tool.
3D Projections

3D Projections

3D Projections: True Dimension of Every Player’s Potential

Based on our award-winning projections, an axis of data points give insights far deeper than a ranking

View Our Accuracy Awards View Our Accuracy Awards »

Advice Draft Strategy

Advice That’s Actionable on Draft Day

Round-by-Round Draft Strategy Guides, Sleepers, Undervalued Players, Busts and Handcuffs

3D Projections

Draft War Room

Draft War Room: Intel Turned Into Killer Picks

Command your entire draft with a dynamic tool synced to your league. Updating and adapting in real time.

3D Projections

Keep Dominating Throughout The Season

Quickly find the free-agent gems, pull the trigger on the perfect trade & make the right start/sit decisions.

Keep Dominating
Draft Sharks

$6/month thereafter, billed semi-annually, one-click cancel anytime.

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Get It on Google Play