Scan the dollars-per-point rankings on either the Weekly Rankings or Lineup Generator and you’ll see a bunch of Chiefs and Seahawks at or near the top. That makes this a natural spot to attack. And it looks like the ownership will be lower than it should be – with the Giants-Vikings game attracting as much or maybe even more attention.
Seahawks-Chiefs has the highest over/under on the main slate at 49.5 points. It’s gonna be chilly in Kansas City, but winds are expected to be around just 10 mph. So weather shouldn’t impact this game much, if at all.
I don’t need to tell you that Mahomes and Kelce bring elite ceilings. But Smith-Schuster looks like an especially strong play at 8% projected ownership. He’s racked up 19 catches on 21 targets over the last 2 weeks, scoring 22.4 and then 17.8 DK points. Dating further back, he’s averaged 8.3 targets on a 19.5% share over his last 7 full, healthy games. The Seahawks rank 3rd in adjusted fantasy points allowed to WRs on the season but have slumped to 25th in Football Outsiders’ pass defense DVOA over the last 5 weeks.
The Seahawks will be without WR Tyler Lockett for this one, which dings Smith’s ceiling a bit. But it also makes Metcalf a stronger play – and gives us a couple of cheap stacking options in Goodwin and Fant.
Goodwin should be close to an every-snap player with Lockett sidelined. He’s been efficient this season, with a 71% catch rate and 14.3 yards per catch. And, when Metcalf missed most of Week 7, Goodwin came away with a 4-67-2 line.