Jared Goff - Cooper Kupp
Goff is coming off 2 subpar games against the Jets and Patriots and has been a boom/bust player this year. Goff should come in low-owned, though, even with a matchup against Seattle. The Seahawks have improved but have still given up the 5th most fantasy points to opposing QBs.
Goff played well against the Seahawks last month but was unlucky with TD variance as he eclipsed 300+ yards passing but didn’t have a TD pass.
This divisional showdown is a huge game to see who will take down the NFC West, and I think Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp should be able to get going against 1 of the league’s worst secondaries.
Kupp has had 2 big games in his last 4 against Seattle with 9-117-1 and 6-90-1 -- either of which would be an excellent outcome here against the Seahawks.
Kupp leads the Rams in targets on the season and should have a slightly better matchup in the slot than teammate Robert Woods who primarily runs routes on the outside.
Goff-Kupp will be an extremely low-owned stack. I’m not confident in any run-back option on the Seahawks, but I would use Tyler Lockett if I had to use somebody.
D.K. Metcalf has struggled against Jalen Ramsey in the past, so I would expect Russell Wilson to lean on Lockett a bit more than usual this week.
Patrick Mahomes - Travis Kelce
This is an expensive stack. They are priced as the QB1 and TE1 on both sites. But these 2 players have an opportunity to break the slate, each with a good chance of finishing as the highest-scoring player at his position.
Mahomes and the Chiefs lock up a 1st-round bye with a win, and Mahomes is the MVP favorite with just 2 games to play. I would expect the Chiefs to go all out in this one as 11-point favorites in a cake matchup against the Falcons.
Atlanta has given up the most fantasy points in the league to opposing QBs, and the Chiefs have the 2nd-highest team total at just under 32 points. The Falcons defense has surrendered top 12 QB finishes to 10 of 14 QBs faced this season. Just last week, Tom Brady dismantled them in the 2nd half.
Mahomes has averaged more than 43 pass attempts per game in his last 7 starts. With Clyde Edwards-Helaire ruled out, they just might elect to go even more pass-heavy this week.
Atlanta has coughed up the 7th most fantasy points to opposing TEs, and Travis Kelce has incredibly caught 8+ balls in 7 straight games. He is having 1 of the best TE seasons of all time and should have no problem getting open against this Falcons team with nothing to play for.
Deshaun Watson - Brandin Cooks
Watson to Cooks may be a sneaky stack this week against a Bengals defense that ranks 2nd-to-last in pressure rate on the season.
Watson has been nearly flawless this season with a clean pocket, throwing 20 TDs compared with 2 INTs and a robust 9.1 yards per pass attempt.
Watson has been surprisingly effective without his main man Will Fuller in the lineup, going over 20 fantasy points in 2 of his last 3 games. That included 373 passing yards and 2 scores against the Colts last week.
He has also been a beast on the ground with 101 rushing yards in his past 3 games. Cooks returned from a 1-game absence to play every snap but 1 as he led the Texans in targets and air yards last week against the Colts.
Cooks didn’t do much from a box-score perspective last week with just 6 receptions for 59 yards, which should keep his ownership in check.
I will be buying low on Mr. Cooks as the lead WR in a high-flying offense in championship week against the Bengals, who may be due for a letdown after a Monday Night Football win against the struggling Steelers.
J.K. Dobbins - Ravens D
Dobbins is extremely cheap on FanDuel and should correlate well with the Ravens D in a smash spot at home against the Giants. The Ravens always seem to take care of business as heavy favorites as they did once again last week against the Jaguars.
With Mark Ingram healthy-scratched last week, Dobbins is my preferred RB play on the Ravens, as he has scored a TD in 4 straight games. The Giants have given up the 9th most fantasy points to opposing RBs.
A Ravens defense that’s getting healthier improved last week, sacking Gardner Minshew 5 times and forcing 1 turnover while only giving up 14 points.
The Ravens are the highest priced defense on the slate but should have a field day against Daniel Jones, who has been battling hamstring/ankle injuries. If Jones isn’t able to move as well, he will almost certainly be sacked and fumble. He has been prone to do so even when healthy.