FF Tips

Week 3 Streaming Picks

By Matt Schauf 11:09am EDT 9/19/18

Well, my QB and TE picks didn’t offer much help last week. Broncos QB Case Keenum Couldn’t even make it into QB2 territory, while Saints TE Benjamin Watson finished outside the top 30 across formats.

Rather than just shrug and move on, though, I think it’s important to consider why things went wrong so that the misses might help us get more hits going forward.

One thing we’re dealing with early in the season, of course, is the lack of info on the matchups. Perhaps the Raiders will prove better against the pass this year than I’m expecting, but I’m certainly not ready to say I got that wrong. Keenum’s volume was fine: his 35 pass attempts tied for 14th on the week. And among the 13 ahead of him, only Joe Flacco, Nick Foles, Blake Bortles, Eli Manning, Andy Dalton and Sam Darnold join Keenum in streaming territory.

None of us would have predicted the game flow we got in Bengals-Ravens last Thursday night. Foles inflated his numbers by attempting 48 throws in a game that saw his team fall behind and lost Jay Ajayi for most of the 1st half. Darnold outscored Keenum by about 1 fantasy point despite throwing for 112 more yards (on an inefficient passing day otherwise), and Manning fared worse than Keenum despite 9 more attempts and 75% completions.

In hindsight, Bortles probably makes for a better option than Keenum in just about any week where his matchup’s not scary. His rushing raises the floor, and he and Keenum probably reside on the same floor of the passing-talent hotel.

The drastic difference in their Week 2 scoring, though? I’m chalking that up mostly to luck, at least until the matchup data points elsewhere.

As for TE, just 10 guys at the position drew more targets in Week 2 than Watson’s 5. So I got about what I expected there. And the only streaming-level TEs who got more looks were Denver’s Jake Butt, Philly’s Joshua Perkins (who?) and Arizona’s Ricky Seals-Jones. Among those 3, only Seals-Jones really would have contented for top-streamer status heading into last week. And RSJ’s 4-17 receiving line wouldn’t have helped your lineup much more than Watson’s 3-19.

What we’re learning here, though, is that the Cleveland defense just might be way better than it was last season. After matchups with Pittsburgh and New Orleans, the Browns sit 6th overall in Football Outsiders’ team-defense DVOA. They actually moved up 2 spots AFTER FACING THE SAINTS IN NEW ORLEANS. That’s nuts.

So, my main lessons from Week 2: Don’t underestimate Bortles (in fantasy). And beware the new Cleveland defense.

Got it.

Now we shrug and move on to Week 3 ...

Sorry, the rest of this content is reserved for DS Insiders.

Get instant access to read it all.

Get the insider information

Already a DS Insider? Login now

Share This!

Agree? Disagree? Tell us what you think in the comments:

comments powered by Disqus

Related Fantasy Football

DFS Podcast: Week 12 DraftKings 11-22-19

Are the Browns about to carry this week on DK, or will it be another game to the east?

4:11pm EST 11/22/19 Read More
Premium Content DFS Showdown Tips: Patriots-Ravens

Lamar Jackson and Tom Brady stand at the center of Sunday night's showdown. But which players will actually win you money?

1:11pm EST 11/3/19 Read More
DFS Podcast: Week 8 DraftKings 10-25-19

Week 8 presents a range of QB options ... but perhaps a single favorite if you're shooting for the ceiling.

4:10pm EDT 10/25/19 Read More
DFS Podcast: Week 4 DraftKings 9-27-19

Wayne Gallman. You in or out? And could WRs from the other side of that matchup unlock serious spending room?

7:09pm EDT 9/27/19 Read More
Premium Content Stock Up/Stock Down Report (8-17 through 8-23)

A quick look at the 19 guys who moved up or down our rankings over the past week.

7:08am EDT 8/24/19 Read More
FFPC Draft Recap: Rollin' the dice

Melvin Gordon AND Josh Gordon on the same roster? Yep. Here's a pick-by-pick recap of how it went down ...

8:08pm EDT 8/20/19 Read More
Podcast: Perfect Draft and Mailbag 8-15-19

Let's talk about perfect draft strategy, selecting keepers, budgeting for an auction and just generally starting your draft off right.

7:08pm EDT 8/15/19 Read More

Read More Articles

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Download on Google Play