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Week 4 DraftKings Cash-Game Picks

By Jared Smola 8:40pm EDT 9/30/22


Make sure to check out the Lineup Generator for dollars-per-point value rankings at every position.


QB

Josh Allen, Bills ($8,400)

Allen has opened the season with games of 33.5, 32.7 and 30.7 DraftKings points. The Bills have been the league’s 2nd pass-heaviest offense in terms of neutral pass rate.

No reason for Buffalo to alter philosophy this week against a struggling Ravens pass defense. Baltimore has allowed a 67% completion rate and 7.8 yards per pass attempt to Joe Flacco, Tua Tagovailoa and Mac Jones through 3 weeks.

There are enough viable cheap and cheap-ish plays at the other positions to easily fit Allen in DK lineups.

Also consider: Marcus Mariota ($5,600)


RBs

We’re taking advantage of underpriced backups-turned-lead-backs.

Jamaal Williams, Lions ($6,100)

In 3 games that RB D’Andre Swift missed all or most of last season, Williams averaged 17 carries and 2 targets. Expect similar volume on Sunday – behind an elite offensive line in a juicy matchup.

The Seahawks sit 21st in Football Outsiders’ run defense rankings and 32nd in adjusted fantasy points allowed to RBs.

Khalil Herbert, Bears ($5,700)

Herbert averaged 19.5 carries and 2.5 targets in 4 games without RB David Montgomery last year. He had 2 big games (19.2 and 21.3 DK points) and 2 duds (7.5 and 8.8 points). But we’ll certainly take our chances on a back projected for 20+ opportunities at $5,700.

Herbert has been awesome this year, ranking 6th in Pro Football Focus rushing grade and 5th in Elusive Rating among 59 qualifying RBs. And he draws a plus matchup vs. the Giants, who sit 28th in Football Outsiders’ run defense DVOA and 29th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to RBs.

Also consider: Saquon Barkley ($8,000), Josh Jacobs ($5,500)


WRs

Courtland Sutton, Broncos ($6,400)

Sutton is averaging 17.2 DraftKings points per game – despite not scoring a TD yet in a struggling Broncos offense.

Sutton has seen awesome volume: 9.3 targets per game for a 26% target. Only 13 WRs have tallied more expected fantasy points.

So Sutton is too cheap for a guy of his caliber getting this type of usage. It’s just a bonus if Denver’s offense actually starts scoring vs. the Raiders this weekend.

Diontae Johnson, Steelers ($6,000)

You probably don’t wanna watch Johnson if you play him in cash; it won’t be pretty with QB Mitchell Trubisky.

But Johnson has topped a 30% market share in all 3 games, averaging 11 targets per contest. So, even though the efficiency has been lacking, he’s posted 12.5, 13.7 and 16.4 DK points.

Sunday brings a plus matchup vs. the Jets, who rank dead last in Football Outsiders’ pass defense DVOA.


If you play Josh Allen, you’ll probably need at least 1 of these cheap WRs – maybe both of them if you play Allen and a high-priced RB.

Mack Hollins, Raiders ($4,200)

Hollins is coming off a 33-point outing on 11 targets (24% share).

That’ll almost certainly go down as the best game of his career. But Hollins is playing well, is a full-time player and could again be in for nice volume this weekend with WR Hunter Renfrow still out with his concussion.

Richie James, Giants ($4,000)

James has averaged 5.7 targets, 4.7 catches and 9.7 DK points per game through 3 weeks. His volume should get a boost this weekend with the absence of WR Sterling Shepard, who’s hogged 26% of Giants targets over the first 3 games. WRs Kadarius Toney and Wan’Dale Robinson are also out.

James also has a sweet matchup against Bears slot CB Kyler Gordon, who’s allowed a league-high 326 yards in coverage and ranks 80th among 88 qualifiers in Pro Football Focus’ coverage grades.


TE

T.J. Hockenson, Lions ($4,100)

Hockenson didn’t practice on Wednesday with a foot issue. But he was a full-go by the time Friday rolled around and isn’t listed on the final injury report. He’s good to go for this weekend’s game vs. the Seahawks.

That’s good – because the Lions need him with RB D’Andre Swift and WR Amon-Ra St. Brown out. Those 2 have combined for 40% of Detroit’s targets this season.

So Hockenson has the opportunity to capture big volume this week. And he gets a pristine matchup against a Seattle defense that sits 31st in Football Outsiders’ TE coverage rankings and 29th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to TEs.

Also consider: Evan Engram ($3,400)


DST

Bears ($2,700)

The Giants have turned it over just 3 times so far. But they’ve given up 13 sacks, 3rd most league-wide.

Expect QB Daniel Jones to struggle Sunday without security blanket Sterling Shepard (plus Kadarius Toney and Wan’Dale Robinson).

Also consider: Cowboys ($3,500), Jets ($2,600)


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