Patrick Mahomes ($7,400)
Mahomes is simply too cheap this week coming off an electric 5-TD performance against the Ravens on Monday Night Football.
Mahomes is priced cheaper than Lamar Jackson and Russell Wilson and just $100 more than Josh Allen and $200 more than Dak Prescott. Anytime that the former MVP is priced in this stratosphere, I will look to overweight the field as he offers immense upside with his uncanny ability to make plays with awesome weapons surrounding him.
The matchup isn’t a scary one as the Patriots defense hasn’t been generating much pressure and gave up a huge game to Russell Wilson in Week 2.
I generally like to roster QBs with rushing upside, as well. Mahomes has rushed for 80 yards and a TD combined in his last 2 games.
Ryan Fitzpatrick ($5,400)
Fitzpatrick may have the most egregious price among all QBs on the Week 4 slate. He’s been solid, scoring over 25 DK points in his last 2 and facing a historically bad Seattle pass defense that can’t generate pressure and is expected to miss stud safety Jamal Adams.
Amazingly, the Seattle defense has coughed up 450 yards to Matt Ryan in Week 1, 397 to Cam Newton in Week 2 and another 472 to Dak Prescott in Week 3. The Seattle pass defense is absolutely horrendous and Russ Wilson has been a machine on offense, rendering Seattle as one of the best pass defenses to attack in the NFL.
Fitz is another QB who offers some rushing upside as he led the Dolphins in rushing yards in 2019 and has 15 carries for 68 yards and a TD this season.
Kenyan Drake ($6,000)
Drake busted again in Week 3 as Kyler Murray continued to vulture TDs from inside the red zone. The volume has been there all season for Drake with touch counts of 18, 22 and 19 through 3 weeks.
With Draft Kings electing to lower Drake’s price tag in an elite matchup against the Panthers, I will be going back to Drake in Week 4 as many owners may be fed up with him. The Panthers picked up right where they left off in 2019 as they have been getting destroyed by enemy backs, allowing the 2nd most fantasy production.
Drake’s passing game usage has been somewhat of a concern with just 5 targets in 3 games. But if he sees 18 carries and 2 or 3 targets, I think he can have a huge day against this pathetic run defense.
David Johnson ($5,600)
I’m looking to buy low on Johnson, who has struggled the past 2 weeks going up against elite defenses in the Steelers and Ravens.
Now, DJ gets to go up against the Vikings, who rank 21st against RBs and allowed Derrick Henry to run roughshod over them in Week 3 for 119 yards and 2 scores.
Most important for DJ is his outstanding usage with Duke Johnson out of the lineup the past 2 weeks. DJ has been in on over 90% of the snaps with just about all of the RB touches in the Texans backfield. His pass game usage has been there, as well, with 11 targets through 3 games.
DJ ranks 11th among RBs in dollars per projected point. People may be scared off of him as he has yet to breakout for a big game and the 0-3 Texans have looked mediocre through 3 games.
Marquise Brown ($6,300)
Brown has been one of the biggest fantasy disappointments through 3 weeks as he has yet to find the end zone and is coming off back to back games with just 42 and 13 yards receiving.
I think the Ravens are ready to explode this week after getting embarrassed by the Chiefs on Monday Night Football. Brown was held to a measly 2 catches for 13 yards on 6 targets. Lamar Jackson has struggled for 2 games in a row, missing Brown on multiple potential deep balls in Week 3 against the Chiefs and a possible 21-yard TD in Week 2 against the Texans.
I think the Ravens put it all together in Week 4 against the Washington Football Team and Hollywood Brown has his first breakout game of the 2020 season. Washington isn’t a defense to fear as they lost stud pass rusher Chase Young to a groin injury.
D.J. Moore ($5,600)
Moore is yet another buy-low candidate as his price has dipped all the way down to just $5,600. There is rhetoric among the industry that Robby Anderson is the new #1 in Carolina and I’m simply not buying it as Moore is clearly the better WR.
Moore has yet to find the end zone this year and was held to 2 catches in Week 3 and 4 catches in Week 1. (He went for 8-120 in Week 2.)
The Cardinals have somehow ranked 4th toughest against fantasy WRs on the season, but Patrick Peterson is no longer a corner to be feared and Vegas expects a lot of points in this up-tempo matchup.
Moore ranks just 12th in dollars per projected points and may fly under the radar this week as owners have been disappointed in his output through 3 games with Teddy Bridgewater.
Mark Andrews ($6,000)
In primetime last week, Andrews had one of his worst personal performances since coming into the league. He dropped 3 catchable balls from Lamar Jackson, including a sliding TD grab which would have gotten the Ravens back in the game.
Jackson has been fairly inaccurate all season, but Andrews certainly could have helped his QB out on a few of them. Once again, I think the Ravens are going to take their anger out in Week 4 and hang a 40-burger on Washington.
Andrews was excellent in Week 1 but has been dreadful the past 2 with a combined 4 catches for 51 yards. The Washington Football Team has given up the 3rd most fantasy points to TEs, and I think Andrews has a great shot to finish as the TE1 on the week again.
Bucs ($3,400)
The Bucs defense has been tremendous all season, limiting Drew Brees in Week 1 and then completely devouring the Panthers and Broncos offenses the past 2 weeks.
The Bucs have 11 sacks, 4 INTs, a safety and 2 fumble recoveries in the past 2 weeks alone. They look like a sure-fire top 3 real-life defense and have a great fantasy defense as well as they really get after opposing QBs.
Now they get to take on rookie Justin Herbert, who has been prone to make mistakes as he is making just his 3rd NFL start.