FF Tips

Week 4 Streaming Picks

By Matt Schauf 10:09am EDT 9/26/18

Oof.

I began last week’s streaming article by highlighting the failures of my previous-week picks at QB and TE. Then things got worse.

Blake Bortles followed a dynamic outing against the Patriots with a whimper vs. Tennessee. Seahawks rookie TE Will Dissly dropped from 5 targets each of the 1st 2 weeks to 3 against Dallas and caught only 1 for 4 yards.

The 2nd result didn’t shock me. I knew Dissly would be a boom/bust selection in just his 3rd NFL game. My biggest mistake, however, was turning away from Benjamin Watson. A veteran TE working with Drew Brees in a game with 1 of the week’s highest over/under projections will always make for a better pick. I think I just got soured by the previous week’s disappointing Watson line, which is a great way to doom your fantasy football team.

This is a weekly game, Matt. Don’t overrate last week’s results -- positively or negatively.

Got it. Thanks for the reminder.

Bortles, on the other hand? I’m not ready to call that a bad pick. Sure, his 155 passing yards line up with a pair of down weeks against the Titans last year. But nothing about Tennessee suggests it sports a shutdown pass D. And a new coaching staff (including DC) plus plenty of new players changed the matchup from what it was last year.

In retrospect, I probably should have chosen Andy Dalton, whom I pumped up on the DFS podcasts last Friday. But he might have posted an even worse real-life outing than Bortles. Dalton threw 4 picks at Carolina and trailed Bortles by nearly 8 points in passer rating.

Sometimes we’re just gonna miss. That’s the risk of streaming. Fortunately, though, each week gives us more info to evaluate as we make our selections going forward. You can now find up-to-date stats on our Fantasy Points Allowed (adjusted for opponent) and Strength of Schedule pages.

So I’ll have less of an excuse if I blow it again here in Week 4 ...

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