Week 5 FanDuel Cash-Game Picks
Kyler Murray, Cardinals ($8,500) vs. San Francisco
We’re without Lamar Jackson, Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen on the main slate. That gives a boost to Murray, who’s just behind Patrick Mahomes as the fantasy QB2 in PPG this season.
With the 49ers secondary banged up and the Cardinals implied for nearly 27 points, I have no problem paying the price for KM1.
Also consider: Trevor Lawrence
Derrick Henry, Titans ($10,400) at Jacksonville
Paying up at QB and RB will lead to some tough choices. But I promise we’ll find some interesting values down the line…
Seriously, though -- Henry’s volume really makes him tough to fade, especially against a Jags squad unlikely to force Tennessee into a pass-heavy script. Oddsmakers currently have the Titans implied for a healthy 26.75 points. Henry, who went off for 26-215-2 in his last meeting with Jacksonville, remains an ultra-safe play. And his recent passing game involvement only raises the floor.
Saquon Barkley, Giants ($7,800) at Dallas
Week 4 provided further confirmation that Barkley’s locked into a workhorse role.
He saw 19 of 22 team RB opportunities (carries + targets). And he ran a route on 33 of 43 Daniel Jones dropbacks, helping produce a 5-74 receiving line vs. New Orleans.
Going by the eye test, he looks more agile than he did early on. And it’s certainly encouraging to see Daniel Jones make strides in his 3rd season. With Sterling Shepard and Darius Slayton out again, Barkley’s outlook for ~20+ touches remains favorable.
Now, the raw numbers say Dallas has performed well vs. the run so far. But Pro Football Focus actually grades them 25th against the run through 4 weeks. It’s certainly not a matchup I’m avoiding.
Also consider: Nick Chubb, Alexander Mattison (if Dalvin Cook sits), James Conner (if Chase Edmonds sits), Damien Williams
Allen Robinson, Bears ($6,100) at Vegas
I get that the early returns on the Justin Fields-Allen Robinson connection haven’t been great. But let’s be honest: We’re really only looking at 1 week of data. Fields' debut against the Browns was a complete disaster, with nobody producing. (Robinson at least led the team with a 30% target share in that one.)
The targets didn’t swing A-Rob’s way last week. But the improvement from Fields was a huge positive.
At bottom, Robinson’s viability comes down to his excellent historical production, his absurdly low price and his favorable opportunity on a Bears offense down David Montgomery. A matchup with a thin Raiders secondary missing Trayvon Mullen and Damon Arnette is a bonus.
Laviska Shenault, Jaguars ($5,800) vs. Tennessee
The Jags enter their first game without D.J. Chark. He leaves behind 5.5 targets per game, and some of them should shift Shenault’s way. This pass catching unit simply isn’t deep.
Shenault should continue to see looks further downfield, too. But the volume boost is the real take away here. Per beat writer John Shipley, HC Urban Meyer called Shenault the team’s “most productive pass-catcher” while “growing past the gadget player moniker.” Meyer tossed out 10 touches as an ideal weekly floor.
We’ll see about that. But in a fine matchup with the Titans, Shenault deserves a long look.
Jaylen Waddle, Dolphins ($5,400) at Tampa Bay
Waddle sits 4th among WRs in our $/points ranks. He’s the top value play among the lower-tier WRs, just ahead of Kadarius Toney. (Waddle is projected for 2 additional targets.)
We already know that Will Fuller (hand) is out. Now it sounds like DeVante Parker (hamstring) could be out or limited. Miami figures to play from behind against a Bucs secondary that's been riddled with injuries.
Also consider: Davante Adams, Keenan Allen, CeeDee Lamb, Tim Patrick (if Courtland Sutton sits)
Noah Fant, Broncos ($5,900) at Pittsburgh
Jerry Jeudy and K.J. Hamler are out. Courtland Sutton enters the weekend questionable with an ankle injury.
Even if Sutton plays, Fant stands to benefit from a matchup with Pittsburgh. They sit a mid-pack 15th in Football Outsiders’ TE coverage ranks. Pro Football Focus places them 31st in team coverage grade; 3rd in rush D.
It’s been a fairly quiet start to the season for Fant, but he’s at least seen 6 targets in 3 of 4 outings.
Also consider: Mike Gesicki