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Wild Card Round DraftKings Targets

By Jared Smola 12:06pm EST 1/14/22


This Wild Card slate is a late-swappers dream. It’s a 6-gamer with 6 different kickoff times. That means we have 5 chances to alter our lineups based on what happened in previous games.

If you’re not at least considering late swaps, you’re hurting your chances. Play a low-owned guy that goes off on Saturday? You can afford to get chalkier on Sunday and Monday. Use a chalk play that busts in 1 of the early games? Then you’ll need to get more contrarian the rest of the way.

I’ll be playing tournaments only on this slate, so the picks below are geared toward that format. As always, you can check the Lineup Generator for the top dollars-per-point values at every position.


QBs

Jalen Hurts, Eagles ($6,100)

He’s the 8th-priced QB on this slate but has as much upside as anyone at the position. Hurts topped 25 DK points 6 times this season. One of those came in a Week 6 meeting vs. the Bucs. Hurts threw for just 115 yards and a score on 26 attempts in that one but ran it 10 times for 44 yards and 2 TDs.

Hurts and the Eagles figure to be playing catch-up this weekend, pushing them away from their conservative, run-heavy attack when playing in positive or neutral game scripts. That’ll mean more passing and scrambling opportunities for Hurts.

TE Dallas Goedert is an easy stack with Hurts – or you can play him naked and hope he scores a big chunk of his points with his legs. RB Leonard Fournette and TE Rob Gronkowski are my favorite Bucs runbacks on a Hurts team.

There might be some rain and wind in Tampa on Sunday, which is worth monitoring. But weather is less of a concern for a running QB like Hurts.

Jimmy Garoppolo ($5,300)

There are a lot of strong pay-up options at the other positions, so there’s value in going cheap at QB.

Garoppolo only has 1 game of 24+ DK points this season, but he’s topped 17 points 8 times. On a small slate – with only 11 other QBs to worry about – 17 or 18 points might be enough at this price tag.

I think there’s upside well beyond that, though. 49ers-Cowboys has the highest over/under of the weekend at 51 points. And San Francisco’s 24-point implied total is 6th highest – tied with the Bills and ahead of the Cardinals.


RBs

Leonard Fournette, Bucs ($5,900)

Any risk with Fournette in his 1st game back from a hamstring injury is negated by this absurdly cheap price tag. Fournette cost $7,600 on DK when we last saw him in Week 15. He’s not just the best dollars-per-point value at RB this week – but the best value at all flex-eligible positions.

Fournette led all RBs on this slate with 18.7 DK points per game this season. He gets an Eagles defense on Sunday that ranks 24th in DK points allowed to RBs.

Philly has been especially giving to RBs in the passing game, allowing the 2nd most catches to the position. Fournette averaged 4.9 catches per game this season and should see an even bigger target share with WRs Chris Godwin and Antonio Brown out of the picture.

Sony Michel ($5,400) or James Conner ($6,300) or Chase Edmonds ($5,000)

Here’s a key late-swap opportunity.

Conner and Edmonds are both banged up, and we probably won’t have clarity on Arizona’s backfield until inactives are announced around 7 pm ET on Monday.

That means that both guys will likely be low owned. And if we get one without the other, it’s a smash spot. Conner averaged 23.2 PPR points in 5 games without Chase Edmonds; Edmonds averaged 20.0 points in 2 games without Conner.

And if Conner and Edmonds both end up playing, pivot to Michel. RB Cam Akers’ return hurts a bit. But Michel still racked up 21 carries and 4 targets on an 80% snap share last week. He’s underpriced at $5,400.

Also consider: Joe Mixon ($6,800), Devin Singletary ($5,700), Clyde Edwards-Helaire ($5,600)


WRs

Cooper Kupp, Rams ($9,000)

His price is down $700 from last week, and there are fewer WRs to contend with Kupp on this 6-game slate.

It’s also worth noting that Kupp saw a massive 39.4% target share in 2 regular-season meetings vs. the Cardinals. He scored just 11.4 DK points in the 1st meeting – a dud from the Rams offense. But Kupp scored 34.3 in the rematch.

Tyreek Hill, Chiefs ($7,100)

Is there some risk here with the heel injury? Sure. But Hill was a full participant in Wednesday’s practice, and the Chiefs are now in a win-or-go-home scenario. So odds are that Hill will be in his usual full-time role vs. the Steelers on Sunday.

And a full-time Hill at $7,100 is not something I’m passing on. He wasn’t cheaper than $7,700 at any point this season. And, despite a slow finish to the season, Hill ranked 4th among WRs on this slate in DK points per game.

Zay Jones, Raiders ($4,200)

Jones looks like 1 of the best targets-per-dollar values at WR. He’s racked up 54 targets over Vegas’ last 7 games – just 1 fewer than Hunter Renfrow.

Jones has topped 12.7 DK points in just 1 of those games, so he’s more of a floor than ceiling play. But a guy like that is more viable on a smaller slate like this one because there are fewer WRs with a chance to really smash.

Also consider: Tee Higgins ($6,300), Amari Cooper ($5,900), Christian Kirk ($5,300), Byron Pringle ($3,900)


TEs

Darren Waller, Raiders ($5,700)

The box score shows just 2 catches for 22 yards in Waller’s return last week. Hopefully that keeps ownership down on this slate.

Because Waller ran a pass route on 91% of pass plays in that game and racked up 9 targets. Elite usage.

And when the Raiders and Bengals met back in Week 11, Waller hauled in 7 of 8 targets for a season-high 116 yards. Cincinnati ranks 24th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to TEs.

Dallas Goedert, Eagles ($4,500)

The top dollars-per-point value at TE and the stack with QB Jalen Hurts.

Goedert averaged a solid 6.1 targets in 9 healthy games without TE Zach Ertz this season. Goedert scored 11.2+ DK points in 6 of those 9 games, including spike weeks of 23.5 and 31.5 points.

He missed the regular-season game vs. the Bucs, but Ertz posted a 4-29-1 line in that one. Tampa Bay ranks 20th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to TEs.

Also consider: Travis Kelce ($6,700), Rob Gronkowski ($6,400), George Kittle ($5,800)


DSTs

There’s no standout play here. Just make sure your DST correlates with the rest of your lineup (i.e. don’t play the Cowboys defense against a 49ers stack).


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