The forecast for today's Jaguars-Chiefs game calls for periods of heavy rain. The good news is that winds are expected to be only 6-7 mph. They aren't ideal conditions, but it's not enough for us to adjust our projections for these passing games. You might use the weather as a tiebreaker if deciding between 2 similarly ranked players, though.
Jaguars WR Marqise Lee will have season-ending surgery after suffering ligament damage in his left knee Saturday, HC Doug Marrone announced Monday. It's not yet clear which ligament is the problem, but the ACL is usually involved in these scenarios. We'll update that as more info gets released. We already adjusted the projections for the rest of the Jacksonville WR corps over the weekend in anticipation of bad news, though. According to Adam Levitan of Fantasy Labs, Donte Moncrief led WRs by playing 32 of 40 first-team snaps after Lee left Saturday's game. Keelan Cole followed at 28, with Dede Westbrook at 26 and rookie D.J. Chark at 14.
ESPN's Michael DiRocco believes Marqise Lee, Donte Moncrief, Keelan Cole and D.J. Chark are "set" as the Jaguars' top 4 WRs. "Dede Westbrook is the front-runner to win the fifth spot," DiRocco adds. This suggests that Westbrook is not only buried on the depth chart, but also fighting for a roster spot. (Some teams keep just 5 WRs.) We'll see if Westbrook makes a move in the pecking order over the next month. But for now, he's not worth a roster spot in redraft leagues.
The Jaguars added LSU WR D.J. Chark with the 61st overall pick of the 2018 NFL Draft. Chark’s stock got a big boost when he ran a 4.34-second 40-yard dash at the Combine. He also posted 90th+ percentile marks in the broad and vertical jumps, earning a SPARQ score in the 96th percentile. Chark didn’t post huge numbers at LSU. He went without a single catch in his first 2 seasons before a 26-466-3 line in 2016. This past year brought a quasi-breakout, with Chark hauling in 40 balls for 874 yards and 3 scores. His 21.9 yards per catch led the entire country among players with 40+ receptions. It’s certainly worth noting that Chark played on a bad LSU passing game. He accounted for 22.3% of the catches, 33.0% of the yards and 17.6% of the TDs last year. And his 2.92 yards per route run ranked 12th among draft-eligible receivers, per Pro Football Focus. Chark at least looks like a guy who can bring big-play ability to Jacksonville. But he’ll need to refine the other parts of his game — notably his route running and hands — if he wants to turn into more than a boom-or-bust fantasy option. Chark joins a crowded Jaguars WR group that also includes Marqise Lee, Dede Westbrook, Donte Moncrief and Keelan Cole.