Davante Adams will be 28-years old in December, and was born in East Palo Alto, California, and attended local Palo Alto high school. While in high school, he was a two-way starter at both wide receiver and cornerback. Adams also played basketball.
Adams played his college ball at Fresno State, where he scored 38 touchdowns and caught 233 passes for over 3,000 yards in only two seasons at Fresno State.
Measuring just under 6’1” and 212 pounds, he ran a 4.56-second 40-yard dash at the NFL Combine. Adams was a second-round selection by the Green Bay Packers in the 2014 NFL Draft. He was the 9th wide receiver off the board. The players chosen ahead of him include Sammy Watkins, Mike Evans, Odell Beckham, Brandin Cooks, Kelvin Benjamin, Marqise Lee, Jordan Matthews, and Paul Richardson.
His rookie season, 2014, he played in all 16 games accumulating 446 yards and 3 touchdowns on 38 receptions. In his sophomore season, Adams missed three games after an ankle injury in week two, but played the remaining 13 games, and he caught 50 passes for 483 yards and a single touchdown. He also suffered a knee injury in the playoffs.
Adams’ work in the off-season entering 2016 paid off. He played in all 16 games, caught 75 passes for 997 yards and 12 touchdowns, and it was his coming-out party. In 2017 Adams continued his dominance, catching 74 passes for 885 yards and 10 touchdowns despite receiving the majority of his passes from Brett Hundley after Aaron Rogers suffered a broken clavicle in week six. Adams suffered a concussion in week 15, which caused him to miss the final two games of the season.
Adams signed a four-year $58 million contract extension entering the 2018 season and continued to play at an elite level. It was his best season as he caught 111 passes for 1,386 yards and 13 touchdowns over 15 games, despite struggling with a knee injury that caused him to miss the final game of the season.
Nonetheless, Adams still managed a monster 169 targets, 111 catches, 1,386 yards and 13 TDs for the 2018 season. His 169 targets were 2nd in the NFL, and he was 1st in red-zone targets with 31. Adams was fifth in catches and second in TDs. He was top five in nearly every critical category (for WRs).
Adams only managed to play in 12 games during the 2019 season secondary to a turf toe injury. Despite this injury, he still managed 83 receptions for 997 yards and 5 touchdowns. Adams finished the season as the WR23. However, he averaged 17.7 points per game in full PPR, which ranks the top five for WRs on the year.
Let’s review some of Adams’ injuries over the years. Unfortunately, he has suffered his fair share of injuries, starting in 2015, his sophomore season in the NFL. He injured his left ankle, likely with a low ankle sprain that initially only cost him one game, but eventually, due to re-injury, he missed a total of five games. In the playoffs of that year, he sprained his right MCL and missed the playoff game in which the Packers lost.
Adams suffered three different concussions over the past four years. One in Week 6 of 2016, a second in September 2017, and a third in December 2017. Adams suffered a calf injury in Week 4 of 2018, but he continued to play due to injuries to fellow Packer wide receivers Randall Cobb and Geronimo Allison.
Then in December of 2018, Adams suffered a right knee sprain, likely an MCL, that caused him to miss the final week of the season. Remember this is the second time he’s injured his right knee, having missed the playoff game in 2016 with a similar right knee injury.
Let’s take a more in-depth look at turf toe injuries and why they are so severe. Turf toe injuries are due to excessive upward bending of the big toe and are painful injuries. These usually happen when a toe is jammed, or secondary to repetitive injury while repeatedly pushing off during running or jumping.
The great toe consists of two joints, and the metatarsophalangeal joint (MTP) is the largest of the two, and the one that gets injured in turf toe. The MTP joint helps hold the bones in place and prevent dislocation.
There are multiple tendons and ligaments in the area, including collateral ligaments that run along the sides. There is the flexor hallucis brevis which provides strength and stability during pushing off. The plantar plate, which is a thick fibrous plate that prevents the toe from bending too far. Finally the sesamoid bones, which are small bones that help to provide stability for the joint. Collectively these make up the ‘plantar complex.’
There are three grades of turf toe injuries, one, two, and three. The first is the mildest, with grade two being significant partial tearing, and grade three being a full-thickness tear. These injuries often occur in football, especially when played on artificial grass, as it tends to be harder and less shock absorbent.
The toe is the focal point of the foot, and any injuries to the big toe make it challenging even to walk, never mind run or cut.
Adams likely suffered at least a grade one, possibly a grade two turf toe injury. Some of the treatment options include orthotics, which usually insert a graphite shoe insert to reduce the stress on the big toe and provide stability, as well as rehabilitation.
Grade 2 injuries require at least 3-14 days of rest before returning to play. Frequently patients are immobilized in a walking boot before they are allowed to participate in rehabilitation. Grade 1 and 2 turf toe injuries traditionally take at least two to three weeks at a minimum to heal, sometimes up to 6 to 8 weeks. Grade 3 often requires surgery, and the athlete can be out 9-12 months.
Several elite NFL players have dealt with turf toe injuries in the past. Often players can return to the field and do not have much decline in performance. Unfortunately, others suffer from repeated injuries, like former Washington Redskins Jordan Reed.
Now in 2020, Adams still is a top-three wide receiver off fantasy boards. He will continue to be Aaron Rodgers go-to receiver, which has allowed him to be a top-10 wide receiver in fantasy points per game in the last four consecutive seasons.
Adams was fantasy number two scoring wide receiver during the 12 weeks he was healthy. He was also 31% of the target share and finished as a top-five receiver in 42% of those contests, which is just behind Michael Thomas.
Not too many fantasy players can miss four games and still finish as a WR2, but Adams did precisely that. His 212.7 points put him as the 23rd wideout, and he averaged 6.9 receptions a game (83 total) and scored five times. Adams has been one of the most consistent touchdown scorers and came just three yards shy of 1,000.
In a surprising move, the Packers didn’t add to the passing game outside of adding tight end Josiah Deguara in the third round and added AJ Dillon for depth and change of pace options. Adams is the clear receiver on the team, as evident by the depth on their roster.
Allen Lazard, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Devin Funchess are role-fillers at best. Green Bay will also get last season’s rookie Jace Sternberger back healthy. He missed nearly the entire season with an ankle injury.
Adams has a solid floor. His 12 yards per reception and 40 touchdowns over the last four seasons demonstrate that he is capable of not only crossing the goal line but also picking up yards. It would be surprising to see him with less than 85 receptions, 1,000+ yards and 10 touchdowns in a 15-16 game season.
Adams is about as safe as any receiver on the draft board. Draft him with confidence.
Sports Injury Predictor estimates that Adams has a 50.5% chance of injury in 2020, which places him in the middle range for risk. I (Dr. Morse) agree with this risk, and I give him a 5 out of 10 risk score.
The history of concussions, right knee injury, and especially the turf toe injury are mildly concerning, but not enough to prevent me from drafting him as a top-five wide receiver.
He is currently the 3rd wide receiver drafted off the board in PPR leagues, usually in the second round. I (Dr. Morse) think this is a perfect spot for him, as Rogers loves to look for Adams as his most reliable wide receiver.
We know that Adams has Rodgers’ confidence, as he has averaged 11 targets per game over the past two years. Are 200 targets for Adams possible in 2020? I (Dr. Morse) like to think of Adams as Rodgers’ security blanket with big-play ability.
I (Dr. Morse) am not overly concerned about Adams’ risk or his injury history. He should be considered a top-five wide receiver entering the 2020 season. There is only one wide receiver to own more than Adams, and that is Michael Thomas (but you could make a case for DeAndre Hopkins).
Injury Risk: Moderate. 5/10.
|Projected Missed||Probability of injury per game ?||Probablity of injury in the season ?|
|Sep 26, 2019||Pedal Toe Sprain||Adams suffered a turf toe injury on Week 4 game against the Philadelphia Eagles and missed 4 games.|
|Dec 23, 2018||Knee Strain Grade 1||Adams suffered an unspecified right knee injury in the 1st quarter of Week 16. He played through it then but said it stiffened up after and missed the finale.|
|Dec 17, 2017||Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1||Adams suffered a concussion -- his 2nd of the season -- on a hit by Panthers LB Thomas Davis. He sat out the season's final 2 games. His new contract at the end of December suggest no long-term concern by the team.|
|Sep 28, 2017||Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1||Adams sustained a concussion on a penalized 3rd-quarter hit by Bears LB Danny Trevathan. Adams returned for the following game.|
|Oct 16, 2016||Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1||Adams entered the concussion protocol after the Week 6 loss to Dallas but returned for Week 7's Thursday night kickoff.|
|Jan 10, 2016||Knee MCL Sprain Grade 2||Adams sustained an MCL sprain in his right knee and was forced to miss the playoff loss the following week.|
|Sep 28, 2015||Pedal Ankle Sprain Grade 2||Adams was carted off the field in the 1st quarter and diagnosed with a Grade 2 sprained ankle. He returned 4 weeks later but still wasn't 100%.|
|Sep 20, 2015||Pedal Ankle Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1||Adams hurt his left ankle in Week 2 but returned to play the following game. He aggravated the injury in that game and missed the next 3.|