Player Profiles

Projected Points 186
Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson WR - MIN

Experience: 1 YRS  
Height: 6'1"  
Weight: 202 
Bye: 0

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Recent Shark Bites

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Vikings WR Justin Jefferson has been working mostly with the 2nd-team offense in camp so far, according to The Athletic's Arif Hasan. "He hasn’t played poorly, but against second-level competition, he should stand out more if he’s to prove to have an immediate rookie impact," Hasan adds. We're not panicking and still expect Jefferson to finish 2nd among Vikings WRs in fantasy points this year. But he might not be a guy we can stick in lineups early on this season. We'll continue to keep an eye on Jefferson's progress.

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Vikings WR Justin Jefferson has been removed from the COVID list. The rookie remains the favorite to win the #2 WR job in Minnesota. We'll keep an eye on his development over the next month.

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The Vikings have placed 4 players on the reserve/COVID-19 list, including rookie WR Justin Jefferson. Placement on the list means that a player has either tested positive or been in close contact with an infected person -- and thus faces mandatory quarantine. Teams are not allowed to disclose which category fits a player put on the list. Either way, this situation shouldn't affect Jefferson's availability for the season. We'll certainly keep an eye on the wideout, though, if it's revealed he contracted the virus.

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The Vikings selected LSU WR Justin Jefferson with the 22nd overall pick of the 2020 NFL Draft — the pick they acquired from the Bills for WR Stefon Diggs. No WR in this class had a more productive 2019. Jefferson’s 111 catches tied for most in the country, he ranked 3rd with 1,540 receiving yards and finished 2nd with 18 TDs. That, of course, came on an LSU offense that led the nation in passing yards and TDs. So Jefferson’s market shares — 26% of the receptions, 26% of the receiving yards and 30% of the TDs — are less impressive. We came away a bit underwhelmed by his tape. Jefferson did a bunch of damage vs. zone coverages but can struggle to separate from man. On the plus side, he’s excellent in tight quarters, leading all draft-eligible WRs with a 92.4% contested-catch rate in 2019, per Pro Football Focus. Jefferson has extensive experience at all WR spots, playing 81% of his snaps on the outside in 2018 and 78% in the slot last year. And he impressed at the Combine, running a 4.43-second 40-yard dash and earning an 82nd percentile SPARQ score at 6’1, 202 pounds. While we wonder how high Jefferson’s fantasy ceiling extends, he looks like 1 of the higher-floor WRs in this class. And he should immediately slide in as Minnesota’s #2 WR, making him a good bet for 2020 fantasy value.

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Injury Predictor

Justin Jefferson is a reliable pass-catcher with a massive catch radius. Jefferson runs consistent routes. He rarely faced press coverage in the slot. He will also run a faster time than his tape represents. Jefferson does find holes in coverage and demonstrates reasonable body control. He will catch the ball in stride with average burst after the catch. He can threaten vertically, but there is concern about his separation skills on the outside. Jefferson is instinctive.

Dynasty Spin: Jefferson won't have competition outside of Adam Thielen as the Minnesota Vikings traded Stefon Diggs to the Buffalo Bills. However, he will be the number two receiver in an offense that runs more than throws. Also, can Kirk Cousins carry more than one receiver to fantasy relevance? Another question is the role for Jefferson, will he be in the slot, wing, both? Even with these unknowns, Jefferson should be a solid WR2/3 for many dynasty teams. He is currently going in the late first round in rookie drafts and in the sixth round in start-ups.

Projected Missed Probability of injury per game ? Probablity of injury in the season ?
0% 0%
1
Date Injury Analysis
Sep 21, 2019 Pedal Ankle Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1 Jefferson was forced to leave the Sept. 21 contest against Vanderbilt with an apparent ankle injury. He was available for the next game

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