Mark Valentino Ingram Jr. will be 31-years old in December and was born in Hackensack, New Jersey. He is the son of a former New York Giants wide receiver, Mark Ingram Sr, and played his first three years of high school football at one school and then transferred in his senior year, all in Michigan.
In his final two seasons, he rushed for 2,546 yards and 38 touchdowns while also playing cornerback. Ingram was also an elite track and field star, specializing in both sprinting and long jump.
Considered a four-star recruit and ranked as the #17 player in the nation in 2008, Ingram chose to attend the University of Alabama. Initially playing behind Glenn Coffee as a rookie, he finished the season with 728 rushing yards and a team-high 12 rushing touchdowns.
In his sophomore season, he rushed 271 times for 1,658 yards and impressive 6.1 yards per carry, and 17 touchdowns. He also caught 32 passes for 334 yards and 3 TDs. This monster season led him to win the Heisman trophy. This was Alabama’s first Heisman award winner, and Ingram was the youngest player ever to win the Heisman.
Before his junior season, he underwent minor knee surgery, which caused him to miss the first game of the season. His back up, Trent Richardson, filled in for him. That season Ingram rushed for 152 times for 875 yards, 13 touchdowns, and also chipped in 21 receptions for 282 yards and another score. Expected to be a first-round pick, Ingram measured 5’9?”, weighed 215 pounds and ran a 4.53-second 40-yard dash at the NFL Combine. Ingram was drafted with the 28th pick in the first round of the 2011 NFL Draft by the New Orleans Saints.
Ingram has been in the NFL for nine seasons but has only played all 16 games three times. The first eight years of his career, he was with the New Orleans Saints, and in 2019 he signed a three-year contract with the Baltimore Ravens.
Let’s review some of Ingram’s injuries over the years. Ingram has been able to stay relatively healthy over his long NFL career. He’s dealt with some minor knee injuries, both likely meniscal tears that required arthroscopies, one before his junior season at Alabama, and a second following the 2012 season. Ingram has had several different lower leg and foot issues over the years, including a bruise on his heel that cost him a couple games in 2011. A turf toe that required surgery in 2012, a foot sprain that cost him 5 games in 2013, and a calf strain that cost him one game in 2019.Ingram has suffered at least one confirmed concussion, that was in 2016. He has undergone two surgeries on his upper extremities, one on his hand after fracturing it requiring two screws in 2014, and a rotator cuff surgery at the end of the 2015 season.If you told me that over 12 years, an NFL running back would have surgery on his knee twice, turf toe surgery, rotator cuff shoulder surgery, as well as 2 screws inserted into his hand I would say he would have likely missed a significant amount of time. The fact that Ingram has managed to play in 121 out of 144 of the games (84%) is impressive.
Ingram has always been used in the running back by committee backfield, and rarely the lead back in the NFL. The past few years, it was in tandem with Alvin Kamara, and last year was one of the few times that he was considered the Ravens’ primary back.
Despite playing in the NFL for nine seasons, Ingram has only rushed over 200 times in a season four times. Bucking that trend, in three of the past four years, he has rushed over 1000 yards. Despite only playing in 12 games in 2018 (he missed 4 games due to suspension), he has been very reliable in the past four years.
Looking to the 2020 season, Ingram will continue to rush behind a dominant offensive line. The line paved the way for a career-high 15 total touchdowns in 2019—8 of his 10 scores coming from the 4-yard line or closer. Ingram’s career is likely closer to the end than it is to the beginning, and the Ravens, knowing that, drafted J.K. Dobbins in the second round of the 2020 NFL Draft.
For most of the 2019 season, Mark Ingram was playing above his head. How else do you explain a touchdown for every 15 touches, once every 20.2 rushes, and once every 5.2 receptions? Many of those scores had to with defenses going haywire trying to defend Lamar Jackson.
In 2020, expect that ratio of touchdowns per touch to widen. For instance, Ingram had more than 15 touches twice all-season but had nine games of 15 or less. In total, Ingram finished as the number eight running back.
Ingram has an ADP of 54 overall and the 25th running back off the board. His ceiling is cluttered with many obstacles.
Ingram is 31-years old. Jackson is his quarterback, and he will be taking away running opportunities. Ingram’s backfield teammates include not only Dobbins but Gus Edwards and Justice Hill. He has never been much of a receiver out of the backfield.
The floor isn't very low for Ingram. He still should continue to be the primary ball carrier on an explosive offense, getting at least 15 touches per game. Baltimore will also trust him when it's time to go for the plunge near the goal line.
Looking forward, Ingram has a 54.2% chance of injury in 2020 as calculated by Sports Injury Predictor. They project him to miss about 1.3 games, and that would be reasonable as Ingram has a tendency to miss a couple games per year. However, he has played in at least 10 games in every one of his NFL seasons.
My risk score for Ingram is a 5 out of 10. It appears he knows how to take care of his body and has been able to play through injuries and get surgery on them after the season is over. It sounds like he appropriately manages his injuries.
Ingram continues to be a reliable and underrated running back, rushing at 3.08 yards after contact per attempt, and his Pro football Focus Elusive rating is 17th out of 45 running backs with over 100+ carries. In 2020, Ingram should be considered more of an RB3 than he is an RB1 with the addition of Dobbins.
Ingram’s floor and ceiling are closely tied, and the only way it becomes loose if there is an injury. As the end of round five comes to a close, start shopping for him, and then loop around at the end of round nine or ten to grab Dobbins for the hand-cuff.
Injury Risk: Moderate. 5/10.
|Projected Missed||Probability of injury per game ?||Probablity of injury in the season ?|
|Dec 22, 2019||Leg Calf Strain||Ingram suffered a calf strain in the fourth quarter vs. the Cleveland Browns. He missed one game|
|Nov 17, 2016||Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1||Ingram took a heavy hit and suffered a concussion during Week 10. He had 10 days to get cleared for Week 12 and did just that.|
|Dec 6, 2015||Shoulder Rotator Cuff Tear||Prior to this injury, Ingram was playing through an A/C joint sprain. The rotator cuff required surgery in December.|
|Nov 15, 2015||Shoulder A/C Joint Sprain||Ingram suffered an A/C joint sprain in his shoulder but played through it.|
|Sep 14, 2014||Hand Metacarpal Fracture||Ingram went down in Week 2. He underwent surgery that required 2 screws to be placed in his hand.|
|Sep 15, 2013||Pedal Toe Sprain||Ingram missed 5 games.|
|May 3, 2012||Knee Strain Grade 1||Ingram called his knee scope "as minor as it gets."|
|Dec 4, 2011||Pedal Toe Turf Toe||Ingram's turf toe required surgery in January of 2012.|
|Oct 23, 2011||Pedal Heel Bruise||Ingram missed 2 games after going down in Week 7.|