SIP calculates that Mahomes has a 24.3% chance of injury in 2020 (one of the lowest I’ve seen), which translates to a 1.7% chance of injury per game. He has a rather poor durability score, meaning that he doesn't like to play through nagging injuries.
Mahomes' complement of talent, mobility, arm strength, intelligence, and balance of weapons makes him an elite quarterback for many years to come.
In terms of risk score, he is a little more elevated than some, secondary to this knee injury, but still in the low-risk category. I am no longer concerned about his knee injury. His injury risk is low, and his upside and floor are immense.
We saw his talent return in the playoffs and as long as he can stave off injuries there is no reason he doesn’t finish as a QB1-2, especially with Edwards-Helaire adding as an additional offensive threat.
Injury Risk: Low. 3/10.
|Projected Missed||Probability of injury per game ?||Probablity of injury in the season ?|
|Jan 17, 2021||Pedal Toe Turf Toe||Mahomes was diagnosed with turf toe in his left foot following the Divisional Round win over the Cleveland Browns. He played through the injury for the following games. He will have toe surgery.|
|Jan 17, 2021||Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1||Mahomes sustained a concussion in the 3rd quarter of the Divisional Round win over the Browns. Grade not yet known.|
|Oct 17, 2019||Knee Patella Dislocation||Suffered a knee injury on a 4th-and-1 conversion in the second quarter|
|Oct 22, 2016||Hand Wrist Fracture||Mahomes' injury was to the scaphoid bone in his left wrist. He played the final 5 games of the 2016 season with that injury.|
|Nov 1, 2014||Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1||Texas Tech vs. Texas, he was removed from the game with a concussion, he played the next game which was 14 days later.|