Terry McLaurin will be 25 years old in 2020. He was born in Indianapolis, Indiana, and in 2013, he won Indiana’s Mr. Football award. He was regarded as a four-star recruit and played his college football at Ohio State University.
In his freshman year at OSU, he only played in six games but did not make any catches as he was a special teams specialist, recording seven tackles and a fumble recovery. In his sophomore season he played in all 13 games, but only caught 11 passes for 114 yards and 2 touchdowns.
In 2017, he played all 13 games, catching 29 passes for 436 yards and 6 touchdowns. Capping off his time at Ohio State, he caught 35 passes for 701 yards and 11 touchdowns, with an impressive 20 yards per catch in his senior season. Not earth-shattering numbers, but he improved with each year.
At the NFL Combine, he measured just over 6’ tall, weighed 208 pounds, and ran a blazing 4.35-second 40-yard dash. He was drafted by the Washington Redskins in the third round, and reunited with his former college quarterback Dwayne Haskins.
McLaurin was considered one of the nation's top punt gunners, collecting 15 tackles and two fumble recoveries in his time at OSU. McLaurin’s description resembled more of a track guy than a target-commanding threat.
There was a time, at least from what I recall, that players earned their nick-names through historical production on the pro football field. McLaurin was labeled “Scary Terry” and “F-1” before the 2019 season even began, but they were well-earned by the end.
The Washington Redskins drafted McLaurin in the second-round, and in the first game of his rookie season, he caught 5 passes for 125-yards and one touchdown. In the next two weeks, he added 11 receptions for 132 yards and 2 more scores.
McLaurin did miss three games due to injury but ranked 29th in fantasy points during the 14 weeks he played. Most of his points came from touchdowns as he crossed the goal line 7 times (16th) and average reception per catch 15.8 (12th). His 58 receptions (T-50th) and yards 919 (32nd) need to improve.
When looking at the McLaurin and Dwayne Haskins tandem for a 16-game pace, he would have approximately 1,000 yards on 68 receptions and 4 scores. McLaurin does have cohesion with Haskins. They played together at Ohio State, and McLaurin's target share improved from 17.1% to 22.1% with Haskins as his quarterback.He has the speed to get deep, and his 13.8 yards depth target was 8th amongst wide receivers. He also had 1,287 air yards on his 93 targets. McLaurin only saw 13 targets in the red zone and just seven inside the ten-yard line. All this can change as Ron Rivera is the new head coach, and Scott Turner is taking over at offensive coordinator.
Put it all together, and McLaurin had a respectable rookie season, playing in all 14 games, 93 targets, catching 58 passes for 919 yards, and 7 TDs.
McLaurin suffered two different injuries during the 2019 season, which caused him to miss two games. McLaren suffered a hamstring injury in practice leading up to week four. Mid-week additions to the injury report are a concern, as the player usually does not have enough time to recover from the new injury. McLaurin missed Week 4 but was able to suit up in Week 5.
McLaurin’s other injury in 2019 was a concussion that he suffered in Week 16, which caused him to miss the final game of the season.
Neither of these injuries, the concussion, or the hamstring injury are particularly concerning or surprising. Hamstring injuries are notorious, especially in wide receivers, and typical in speedy receivers like McLaurin. As far as we know, this was McLaurin’s first concussion, at least as a pro. It is unclear if he suffered any during high school and in college. The media tends to underreport injuries during the player’s college and younger days.
McLaurin finished his rookie season just 81 yards shy of 1,000 yards and likely would have surpassed that milestone if it weren’t for the two games he missed with injuries. His talent and speed were evident, and he reminds current Redskins, and former Carolina Panthers head coach, Rivera of D.J. Moore, whom he recently coached. That’s high praise as Moore looks like a potential top-20 receiver himself.
McLaurin will continue to be the number one target even with rookie Antonio Gandy-Golden (4th round), Kelvin Harmon, Cody Latimer, Steven Sims, and Trey Quinn. Even their other rookie pick Antonio Gibson (3rd round) will also be taking away volume.
The most significant deterrent for McLaurin could also be Haskins. As a rookie, Haskins was not good. In the first seven games, he only threw for 971 yards and 3 touchdowns while having 7 interceptions. The first three games, Haskins had a total of 284 yards with 4 interceptions and 0 touchdowns. However, he put it together in the last two contests with 394 yards, 4 TDs, and 0 picks.
The floor for McLaurin rests on how well Haskins can mesh and improve as a QB. He will get the targets; it's dependent on how accurate they will be. His path is clear to the number one role; it just comes down to his utilization in the red zone and the quality of looks. His ceiling explodes if Rivera uses him well as the team nears the goal line and if Haskins matures.
In light of his minimal injury history, Sports Injury Predictor projects that McLaurin only has a 25.4% chance of injury in 2020, which is one of the lowest scores in the entire league.
If McLaurin could get an increase in targets of 25-35, to put him in the 125-135 range, that could elevate F1 to potential top-20 WR status.
McLaurin joins an impressive group of sophomore wide receivers who could have a significant impact on the season, including A.J. Brown, D.J. Metcalf, ‘Hollywood’ Brown, and Darius Slayton.
If he can strengthen and prevent hamstring injuries for the upcoming season, I (Dr. Morse) see no reason why McLaurin cannot have a potential breakout season. My risk or for him is 2 out of 10.
The Redskins offense scored just 16.6 points per game last year (32nd). The passing attack finished 29th. At this time (June 25), McLaurin has an ADP of WR25 and 57th overall. A reasonable price, however, I (Mike) feel more comfortable with him as a WR3 than a low-end WR2. It is challenging to trust Haskins unless he proves otherwise.
Injury Risk: Low. 2/10.
|Projected Missed||Probability of injury per game ?||Probablity of injury in the season ?|
|Dec 22, 2019||Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1||McLaurin developed concussion-like symptoms after the game. He was then placed in the league's concussion protocol and missed the next game|
|Sep 26, 2019||Thigh Hamstring Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1||McLaurin was a limited participant during Thursday's for Week 4 practice due to a hamstring injury. He missed the next game|