Tevin Ford Coleman is 27-years old and was born in Oak Forest, Illinois. He was a running back, wide receiver and cornerback in high school, also returning kickoffs and punts. As a senior, he rushed 83 times for 949 yards and 13 TDs, adding 16 receptions for 345 yards and 5 TDs. That’s an insane 11.4 yards per carry. Coleman was also on the track and field team and was one of the best sprinters and jumpers in the state of Illinois.
Considered a three-star recruit, Coleman chose to attend Indiana over Georgia Tech, Minnesota, and Michigan State. He played three years of college ball at Indiana. In his freshman year, Coleman only rushed 51 times for 225 yards and a touchdown.
In his sophomore year, he started the first nine games rushing 131 times for 958 yards, an impressive 7.3 yards per carry and 12 touchdowns. He also caught 19 passes for 193 yards but unfortunately suffered a high-ankle sprain and missed the final three games of the season.
In his junior year, he broke out. He rushed 270 times for 2,036 yards, an impressive 7.5 yards per carry along with 15 touchdowns, catching 25 passes for an additional 141 yards. Coleman entered into elite status as becoming only the 18th player in NCAA Division I FBS history to rush for over 2,000 yards in one season.
At Coleman’s Pro Day, he measured 5’11?”, weighed 206 pounds and ran a 4.40-second 40-yard dash. He was selected by the Atlanta Falcons in the third round of the 2015 NFL Draft. In his rookie season, he was expected to back up Devonta Freeman. Unfortunately Freeman got injured, and Coleman was thrust into the role. He played in 12 games that season, rushing 87 times for 382 yards and a TD.
In his second season, he played in 13 games rushing 118 times for 520 yards and 8 touchdowns. He also caught 31 passes for 421 yards and 3 touchdowns.Despite playing in five NFL seasons, Coleman has only played in all 16 games once. His season-high for rushing attempts was in 2018 and was only 167. That was also statistically his best year, as he rushed 4.8 yards per carry and caught 32 passes. In March 2019, and signed a two year deal with the San Francisco 49ers.
Let’s review some of his injuries. In his sophomore year at Indiana, he suffered a high-ankle sprain and missed the final three games of the season. The following season he fractured a bone in his big toe but managed to play through this, requiring surgery in the off-season and, as a result, missed the NFL Combine.
In his rookie season, he injured his hamstring in the preseason. He then suffered a fractured rib in September, costing him two games. He suffered a concussion after slipping in the shower and banging his head, which cost him an additional two games.
In his third season, he missed three games with another hamstring strain in the middle of the season. Still, he was able to stay relatively healthy throughout the entire 2017 season, despite missing a game with his second reported concussion.
Coleman suffered another high-ankle sprain early in the 2019 season, his first with the 49ers, which caused him to miss two games. Then he dislocated his shoulder in the NFC Championship Game this past season but managed to get cleared for the next game.
Coleman has played in 70 of a possible 80 games (87%) but has struggled to stay healthy at every point in his career.
Coleman has suffered multiple concussions, multiple high ankle sprains, required surgery on his toe, and he has missed numerous games spanning several seasons with hamstring strains. Add in the fact that he suffered a shoulder dislocation, which he may have had to undergo surgery on this past off-season. Coleman has definitely had some injuries.
Coleman has never been someone given a high-volume workload, never reaching 200 carries nor rushing for over 1,000 yards in any of his 5 NFL seasons. He’s not precisely a receiving specialist either, as he’s never caught more than 32 passes in a season.
After being outplayed in Atlanta by Devonta Freeman, the Falcons decided to part ways with their third-round draft selection after just three seasons. The San Francisco 49ers inked him to a two-year, $10 million deal in March of 2019. His future doesn’t look bright if he can’t improve in San Francisco either.
His injury (high-ankle sprain) didn’t help his start as a 49er, but he did return with a bang. Coleman was a top 10 fantasy player from weeks 5 through 12 in the 2019 season. Coleman collected 309 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns in four games. By the end of the season, Raheem Mostert looked to be the better of the two backs, he outplayed Coleman for the team’s final eight games of the season, including the playoffs.
Coleman was impressive against the Vikings in the Divisional Playoff game, going over 105 yards and two scores, but only managed 49 yards on 11 carries the rest of the way through the loss in the Super Bowl. Mostert did most of the heavy lifting (41-278-5) against Green Bay and Kansas City.
Coleman did finish with 544 yards (35th), on 137 attempts (T-31st), and scored six times (T-19th) while averaging just four yards per carry (35th). However, 30% of his production with five touchdowns coming in two games.
Coleman has speed in the open field, but he doesn’t offer much else. Defenders tackle him quickly as his 1.4 rushing yards after contact demonstrate, the fewest in the league, after putting up 1.8 in 2018.
San Francisco did release Matt Breida (MIA), and this opens up the volume for Coleman. Still, Jerick McKinnon should return after missing two seasons. Talent isn’t a necessity for the 49ers running game as we have seen almost anyone carrying the rock has been successful in Kyle Shannahan’s offense. However, having the volume to do it is another kettle of fish.
The rest of the offense has more role players than real studs. Outside of George Kittle, there is Jalen Hurd, Kendrick Bourne, and Dante Pettis. Bradon Aiyuk is just a rookie, and Deebo Samuel is dealing with a significant foot injury.
The 49ers have a mid-grade offensive line. There will be two new starters. San Francisco brought in Trent Williams to play left tackle from Washington, and he will replace Joe Staley. Williams has been to multiple Pro-Bowls. Tom Compton or Daniel Brunskill will replace Mike Person at right guard.
Sports Injury Predictor is very concerned about his health in 2020. He has the highest percentage chance of injury in 2020 of any running back in their system, at 71%.
My risk score for him is a 6 out of 10, and I am more concerned about some of these repetitive lower extremity injuries predominately dealing with his ankle and feet. A third documented concussion could set him back potentially several weeks, and he is also at high risk for relapse, dislocating his shoulder as well.
He should finally be 100% from his 2019 high-ankle sprain, as they often take several months to fully heal. If Coleman can manage to stay healthy, he can form a robust platoon with Mostert for the 49ers.
He needs to improve on his 3.9 yards per carry and is likely going to be more of an RB4 with RB2 upside. If Mostert were to struggle or miss time with injury, Coleman would immediately have top-25 running back potential. On the contrary, the 49ers could save $1 million and replace him with JaMycal Hasty.
Coleman is in a three-way handcuff, and that is just a difficult spot to be in for any runner. At this point (July 3), his ADP is RB44 and overall of 117. Watch what happens with McKinnon over the summer and where Coleman lands on the depth chart. It will help you decide between a late-round flier or waiver wire fodder.
Injury Risk: Moderate. 6/10.
|Projected Missed||Probability of injury per game ?||Probablity of injury in the season ?|
|Jan 19, 2020||Shoulder Dislocation||Coleman left NFC Championship Game against the Packers in the second quarter due to a shoulder injury. He was active in the following game|
|Sep 8, 2019||Pedal Ankle (high) Sprain Grade 3||Tevin Coleman missed 2 games with a sprained ankle he suffered during the season-opening win against the Buccaneers.|
|Dec 7, 2017||Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1||Coleman missed 1 game.|
|Feb 5, 2017||Pedal Ankle Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1||Coleman was injured in the 4th quarter of the Super Bowl.|
|Oct 23, 2016||Thigh Hamstring Strain Grade 2||Coleman missed 3 games.|
|Dec 23, 2015||Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1||After slipping in the shower and banging his head, Coleman was diagnosed with a concussion. He missed 2 games.|
|Sep 20, 2015||Chest Rib Fracture||Coleman suffered a fractured rib. He missed 2 games but played only 9 snaps in his Week 5 return.|
|Aug 4, 2015||Thigh Hamstring Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1||Coleman didn't return to practice until August 17.|
|Oct 4, 2014||Pedal Toe Fracture||Coleman fractured the sesamoid bone in his big toe in October. He did not miss a game but needed surgery in the offseason and missed the NFL Combine.|
|Nov 9, 2013||Pedal Ankle (high) Sprain Grade 3||Coleman sprained his ankle and missed 3 games at the end of the season.|