Tyler Deron Lockett will be 28 years old in September. Born in Tulsa, Oklahoma, he was a three-sport athlete in high school, playing football, basketball, and track. Offensively gifted, Lockett helped his high school win championships in both basketball and football.
In his junior year of high school, he played most of the year with a broken wrist that was initially diagnosed as a severe sprain. Eventually, he had surgery. Lockett played several positions in football, including defensive back and wide receiver. Lockett was also one of the state’s top sprinters as well.
Lockett was considered a three-star recruit out of high school, weighing 160 pounds and measuring 5‘9“ tall. He attended Kansas State University, where his father and uncle both played as well.
In his freshman season, he ended up winning the Big 12 Offensive Freshman of the Year award after accumulating only 18 catches for 246 yards and 3 touchdowns. Still, his season ended prematurely secondary to an injury, which was eventually determined to be a lacerated kidney.
In his sophomore year, he did even better, catching 44 passes for 687 yards and 4 touchdowns. His junior and senior years’ is when he broke out, catching 81 passes for 1,262 yards and 11 touchdowns in 2013, and followed up in 2014 with 106 catches for 1,515 yards and 11 touchdowns.
Lockett also returned kickoffs and punts, corralling 77 kickoffs for 2,196 yards. In college, he accumulated an impressive total of 6,586 all-purpose yards.
Lockett measured 5’ 9 ?” and weighed 182 pounds, running a 4.40 40-yard dash at the NFL Combine. The Seattle Seahawks selected Lockett in the third round of the 2015 NFL Draft. Seattle traded multiple picks to move up and draft him. Lockett has been in the league for five seasons. Out of those five seasons, he has missed a total of one game, playing in 79 of a possible 80 games (98%).
Lockett’s 2016 season was the only season he missed a game, and he probably should have lost significantly more, but he powered through. He suffered a PCL tear in his knee in Week 2. The PCL is the other major ligament in the knee that crisscrosses with the ACL. This ligament is crucial in preventing the knee from collapsing backward.
You may remember a couple of seasons ago, Kareem Hunt suffered a similar injury. PCL injuries are not very common at all, usually occurring in car accidents when the knee smashes the dashboard, especially compared to its counterpart, the ACL.
Lockett played the entire season with the PCL injury but unfortunately broke his right leg in Week 16, causing him to miss the final game of the season. Lockett broke both the tibia and fibula, which are the two bones that make up the lower leg and ankle.
It is unclear exactly how he did this, as the tibia is quite difficult to fracture due to its strength. Injuries of this severity always require surgery, and he underwent surgery on Christmas Eve 2016.
Lockett likely rehabbed the entire off-season but was able to return and play all 16 games each of the past three years. Lockett’s targets had remained steady for his first four seasons, around 66-71 targets per season. Last season this number dramatically increased to 110 targets, and he translated that into 82 receptions for 8 TDs. Lockett continues to return both punts and kickoffs.
In 2020 Tyler Lockett will be in his 6th season in the NFL and is coming off his first season where he was the number one receiver on the team. Lockett was having a terrific season before getting injured by reaching career-highs in catches (82), yards (1,057), and targets (110). It was the first time he went over 1,000 yards in his career.
He was tied for 9th among receivers with his 8 touchdowns. It might have been more if teammate DK Metcalf didn’t pace the NFL in end-zone targets. Lockett ended up fourth with 13, whereas Metcalf had 23 targets in the red zone, finishing second. Lockett has been no lower than 16th in fantasy points over the last two seasons.
Lockett has also been a touchdown producer in the previous two years as he has put up 18, which is the second-most scores. It pays to be Russell Wilson’s primary target. Lockett was efficient with his 12.9 yards per catch and 9.6 yards per target.
Lockett is dangerous in open space and down the field and is the guy that Wilson looks for when he is in trouble, and the play is breaking down. The downside is that Lockett plays on offense built to run the ball as they have often been in the bottom third in pass attempts. Plus, Metcalf is showing immense skill and could overtake him as the number one receiver in 2020. The Seahawks also added Greg Olsen.
Seattle has an excellent offense. They finished with 405 plays (9th) and 5991 yards (8th). Even though the Seahawks don’t throw much, they make the most out of it. Seattle had 517 attempts (23rd) but 3791 yards (14th) in the NFL. The 31 touchdowns also put them in the top-five (4th).
The offensive line is a weak spot. Their cohesion will be low as they will have three new starters, Damien Lewis is a 3rd round pick from LSU, and they signed Brandon Shell from the Jets to replace Germain Ifedi. At the left tackle is Duane Brown. BJ Finney was signed from the Steelers to battle Joey Hunt. They use a gap-power offense.
Sports Injury Predictor calculates a 47.4% chance of injury in 2020, which translates to about one game missed.
With Lockett’s ability to stay on the field, my risk score for him is a 3 out of 10.
Lockett finished the 2019 season as the WR13 in PPR. He is currently the WR22, one pick behind his teammate DK Metcalf. There are some rumblings that Antonio Brown may be joining the Seattle Seahawks, which would change Lockett’s target share and projection.
Traditionally the Seahawks have been known as a running team, but that has not prevented Russell Wilson from accumulating some impressive stats, as he threw for over 4,100 yards and 31 touchdowns in 2019.
With Chris Carson coming off of a hip fracture, Rashaad Penny returning from a torn ACL, and the offense of line not significantly improved, the Seahawks are going to have to throw a lot more this year, which is excellent news for both Lockett and Metcalf.
Lockett has had an impressive career in the NFL despite suffering a couple of significant injuries and has only missed one game as a result. If he can somehow build on his 2019 season, he could potentially turn into a top-10 wide receiver.
Lockett will start the season as the number one receiver on the team. However, the room is getting more crowded with Metcalf, Olsen, and newly signed Phillip Dorsett. Look for another strong season from Lockett, but also a reduction in targets and receptions. Also, with both Metcalf and Olsen being good goal-line options, his touchdowns could decrease as well.
I (Dr. Morse) will have many shares of Lockett in 2020. Choosing between him and Metcalf is going to be challenging, and I will likely have both. Draft him with confidence.
Injury Risk: Low. 3/10.
|Projected Missed||Probability of injury per game ?||Probablity of injury in the season ?|
|Dec 24, 2016||Leg Tibia Fracture||Lockett fractured his right tibia along with the fibula and had Dec. 24 surgery.|
|Dec 24, 2016||Leg Fibula Fracture||Lockett broke his right fibula and tibia in Week 16, missed the final game and didn't return to game action until Week 1 of 2017.|
|Sep 18, 2016||Knee PCL Tear Grade 3||Lockett suffered a PCL tear in Week 2 but played through the issue until his Week 16 leg fracture.|