Player Profiles

Projected Points 434
Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes QB - KC

Experience: 4 YRS  
Height: 6'3"  
Weight: 220 
Bye: 0

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Recent Shark Bites

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Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes is expected to be ready for training camp after undergoing toe surgery on February 10, GM Brett Veach said. Mahomes has been slapped with a 3-month timeline for recovery, which would put him back at 100% by May. Veach is hoping Mahomes can get on the field for June minicamp (assuming minicamps happen this year). We'll continue to keep a close on the situation, but we're not expecting the toe to be a factor in 2021.

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Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes will undergo surgery on Wednesday to repair a torn plantar plate in his foot (turf toe), according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Mahomes' rehab will take "several months," but he's fully expected to be ready for the start of the 2021 season. We'll obviously keep a close eye on Mahomes' progress, but we're not downgrading him in early fantasy drafts.

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Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes will visit a foot specialist after the Super Bowl and will "likely" have surgery on his injured toe, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Mahomes said this week that the toe is feeling "a lot better," but it's safe to say he'll be operating at less than 100% as he plays for a 2nd straight Lombardi Trophy. We'll keep an eye on his recovery this offseason, but the toe shouldn't be an issue for the 2021 season.

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Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes was diagnosed with turf toe on his left foot following last week's win over the Browns, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Mahomes was clearly bothered by that issue before exiting with the head injury. "The next day was very sore, and every single day since then it's gotten a lot better," he said. Mahomes will reportedly be re-evaluated by a foot specialist after the season to determine whether he needs surgery on the toe. We'll see how he fares in the AFC Championship and then monitor the situation this offseason.

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Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes said Friday afternoon that he's cleared the concussion protocol. "We have the belief that I'll have no lingering effects and I'll be able to go out there and be who I am," he added. The bigger issue now might be the toe injury that had Mahomes clearly hobbled last week before he left with the head injury. That might limit his mobility inside the pocket and his rushing ability outside of it.

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Injury Predictor

SIP calculates that Mahomes has a 24.3% chance of injury in 2020 (one of the lowest I’ve seen), which translates to a 1.7% chance of injury per game. He has a rather poor durability score, meaning that he doesn't like to play through nagging injuries.

Mahomes' complement of talent, mobility, arm strength, intelligence, and balance of weapons makes him an elite quarterback for many years to come.

In terms of risk score, he is a little more elevated than some, secondary to this knee injury, but still in the low-risk category. I am no longer concerned about his knee injury. His injury risk is low, and his upside and floor are immense.

We saw his talent return in the playoffs and as long as he can stave off injuries there is no reason he doesn’t finish as a QB1-2, especially with Edwards-Helaire adding as an additional offensive threat.

Injury Risk: Low. 3/10.

Projected Missed Probability of injury per game ? Probablity of injury in the season ?
0.70 1.5% 21%
1
2
1
1
Date Injury Analysis
Jan 17, 2021 Pedal Toe Turf Toe Mahomes was diagnosed with turf toe in his left foot following the Divisional Round win over the Cleveland Browns. He played through the injury for the following games. He will have toe surgery.
Jan 17, 2021 Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1 Mahomes sustained a concussion in the 3rd quarter of the Divisional Round win over the Browns. Grade not yet known.
Oct 17, 2019 Knee Patella Dislocation Suffered a knee injury on a 4th-and-1 conversion in the second quarter
Oct 22, 2016 Hand Wrist Fracture Mahomes' injury was to the scaphoid bone in his left wrist. He played the final 5 games of the 2016 season with that injury.
Nov 1, 2014 Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1 Texas Tech vs. Texas, he was removed from the game with a concussion, he played the next game which was 14 days later.

Injury analysis powered by Sports Injury Predictor

Sports Injury Predictor

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