What You Need to Know:
-Last year, Edmonds set or tied career-highs in attempts (116), yards (592) and YPC (5.1).
-He picked up shoulder, ankle, toe, back and rib injuries. He missed 5 games, most with a high-ankle sprain.
-Edmonds (5’9, 205) played a full slate of games in 2 of his first 3 seasons.
-Paired with James Conner, Edmonds hit 15+ carries in just 3 games. Edmonds saw 4+ targets in 9 games.
-He was subpar as a rusher, ranking 39th in Pro Football Focus Elusive Rating (50 qualifiers).
-Chunk gains were his speciality, though: Edmonds ranked 4th in rate of 10+ yard rushes (16%, min. 100 rushes)
-Edmonds ranked mid-pack in PFF receiving grade and yards per route run.
-He played out his rookie contract in ’21 and signed with Miami in free agency. He was given a sizable $6.1 million guaranteed on a 2-year deal. The GTD figure ranks 20th among RBs.
-Raheem Mostert signed a 1-year deal ($1 million guaranteed), reuniting him with new HC (and former 49ers OC) Mike McDaniel.
-Edmonds pointed to McDaniel as a key factor for signing in Miami, calling the young HC a “guru” and a “creative guy.”
-Sony Michel signed in May to supply further depth.
-Miami’s offense has explosive potential following the arrival of Tyreek Hill. The O-line improved, too, with the acquisitions of LT Terron Armstead and OG Connor Williams.
-At a minimum, Edmonds projects as the lead pass catcher out of the backfield. He’s hit 43+ catches in 2 straight years.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:
Edmonds will look to bounce back from an injury-filled 2021. He missed a career-high 5 games with a variety of ailments.
Back healthy, Edmonds’ most bankable role with the Fins figures to be as a pass catcher. He’s simply a better receiving talent than Raheem Mostert and Sony Michel.
That duo brings legit early-down competition, but each comes with flaws. Mostert’s missed 24 games over the past 2 seasons. Michel lingered on the free agent market until after the draft.
So there’s upside to Edmonds’ projected role. For now, though, we’re penciling him in for ~12 touches per game. That makes him an intriguing RB3/FLEX.
What You Need To Know:
-After scoring 4 times on the ground over his first 2 seasons (307 carries), Singletary popped in 7 scores in 2021 (188 attempts).
-His goal line usage spiked with 18 carries inside the 10 — more than the 8 and 3 attempts he handled the 2 years prior.
-Singletary’s 4.6 YPC was efficient, but he added just 5.7 yards per catch on 40 grabs. That ranked 21st among 22 RBs with 50+ targets.
-He played a full slate of games for the 2nd straight season.
-All told, Singletary finished as a top-24 RB 8 times. 5 of them came over the final 5 weeks.
-Zach Moss’ role faded down the stretch. He never topped 8 carries from Week 6 on.
-Moss returns for 2022, but the big addition here is 2nd-round rookie James Cook. He’s a dynamic athlete who brings an added speed element to the receiving game.
-Buffalo pursued and had a verbal agreement with receiving back J.D. McKissic in free agency, but he backed out last second. The event only confirms that Buffalo wants to throw more to RBs.
-After Singletary saw an 8.0% target share last year, it’s reasonable to expect a step back. He does benefit from a Bills offense that’ll continue leaning pass under new OC Ken Dorsey.
-Buffalo remains strong at WR/TE, led by Stefon Diggs, Gabe Davis and Dawson Knox.
-Singletary should remain Buffalo’s primary goal line rusher alongside Josh Allen. Singletary and Allen nearly posted the same percentage of goal line rushes in ’21 (32% vs. 30%).
-At just 199 pounds, Cook doesn’t stand out as a candidate to steal much goal line work.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:
Credit Singletary for a breakout 2021. The 203-pounder finished as the PPR RB19 on the strength of 8 total scores. He appeared in all 17 games.
While he’ll be propped up by another excellent Buffalo offense, 2022 turns up his stiffest backfield competition yet. Round 2 pick James Cook arrives as a pro-ready receiving/change-of-pace back with explosive ability. He all but assures that Singletary doesn’t see another 50 targets.
Entering a contract season, the 25-year-old (in September) is best treated as an RB3/FLEX.
What You Need to Know:
-Michel was traded from New England to L.A. last August. He helped fill the void left by Cam Akers (Achilles’ tear).
-Appearing in all 17 games, Michel tallied 845 yards and 4 scores on 208 attempts.
-Following a slow start, Michel saw workhorse touches down the stretch. From Week 13 to Week 18, he saw 20+ opportunities in each matchup.
-Michel ranked mid-pack in PFF Elusive Rating, PFF rushing grade and yards after contact per attempt.
-He finished as an RB1 twice (vs. Jacksonville and at Minnesota).
-Michel, 27, signed a 1-year deal with Miami post-draft. He’ll earn ~$1.75 million.
-He joined a club that already has Chase Edmonds, Raheem Mostert and Myles Gaskin.
-The presence of Edmonds, a top receiving back, means Michel will need to carve out a low-value ball-carrying role.
-Miami’s offense at least looks poised for a scoring boost — especially with the arrival of HC Mike McDaniel and Tyreek Hill. The Fins popped in only 7 team RB rushing TDs last year.
-The Fins’ O-line looks improved as well. LT Terron Armstead and OG Connor Williams arrived in free agency to bolster a unit that really struggled in ‘21.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:
A deep and talented Miami backfield shows that HC Mike McDaniel values the run game.
The math just doesn’t work out in Michel’s favor. Miami paid up for Chase Edmonds, while Raheem Mostert followed McDaniel from San Francisco.
Michel’s never been a big-time pass catcher, and Miami has a superior receiving back in Edmonds.
Mostert’s shaky durability adds some upside to Michel. But for now, the 27-year-old is just a late-round stash.
What You Need to Know:
-In 2021, Mostert lasted only 2 carries before suffering chipped cartilage in his knee. He underwent surgery and missed the remainder of the season.
-In 2020, Mostert missed 8 games with 2 ankle sprains and an MCL sprain.
-When healthy, Mostert’s excelled in the Kyle Shanahan offense. He broke out in 2019 with 137-772-8 in 16 games, culminating in a 29-220-4 postseason performance vs. GB.
-Mostert notched 521 yards on 104 carries in 2020 (5.0 YPC).
-The speed back doesn’t offer much in the passing game — he saw 41 targets in 24 games from 2019-2020.
-Upon signing in Miami, Mostert was told by HC Mike McDaniel that his role would be “similar to what it was in San Francisco, but he [McDaniel] still expects me to compete.”
-That competition includes new addition Chase Edmonds, who was given ~$6 million guaranteed at signing. Mostert was guaranteed $1 million.
-Miami also added Sony Michel to compete on early downs.
-On a marco level, the Dolphins offense looks to be on the ascent, especially following the arrival of Tyreek Hill. Year 3 of Tua Tagovailoa holds the key to a true explosion from this unit.
-Miami’s O-line looks improved following the additions of Terron Armstead and Connor Williams. New position coach Matt Applebaum arrived from Boston College over the winter.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:
Mostert brings top-end speed and proven production to the new-look Dolphins.
We like his familiarly with HC Mike McDaniel’s system, too.
Durability remains a major risk here, however. And Miami signaled that they won’t count on Mostert by adding both Chase Edmonds and Sony Michel in free agency.
A few big games are certainly possible for the former 49er. But sustained success isn’t likely.
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