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Alvin Kamara - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsAlvin Kamara's Basic Stats

Alvin Kamara
ADP: N/A
Bye: 12
Experience: 7
Age: 29.3
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 215
40 Time: 4.56

SPARQx (Rank): 106.80 (39%)
Burst Score (Rank): 132.70 (96%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.59 (29%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 7.17

Alvin Kamara's Weekly Outlook

Week 9 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
76.2 0.55 4.2 31.2 0.16 15.3
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
67.2 0.4 3.6 24.4 0.1 12.2

Alvin Kamara's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#6 Running Back

274 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 268.5 1105.9 7.2 3.5 1.7 65.7 455.3 2.07

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsAlvin Kamara's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Leading RBs in receptions last year gave Kamara a huge PPR boost, a trend that should continue as long as Derek Carr is still the QB.

He is currently being drafted as an RB2 in PPR, which is in line with our 2024 RB rankings.

Kendre Miller could get more work now that he is fully healthy, but the receptions should keep Kamara afloat.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Kamara’s 1,160 total yards ranked 19th among RBs. His 75 catches ranked second among RBs.
  • He was suspended for the first three games of the season for violating the league's personal conduct policy. He also missed the final game of the season due to a sprained ankle.
  • Kamara ranked as the PPR RB12 in total fantasy points and fourth in points per game.
    • He finished RB12 or better four times. He recorded six games between RB13 and RB24.
  • He ranked 26th among all ball carriers in rushing success rate at 48.3%.
  • Kamara played 63% of the Saints’ offensive snaps last season.
  • In his 13 games, he averaged:
    • 13.8 carries
    • 53.4 rushing yards
    • 0.38 rushing TDs
    • 6.62 targets (15.52% share)
    • 5.77 catches
    • 35.8 receiving yards
    • 0.08 receiving TDs
  • Among 49 RBs with 90+ carries last year, Kamara ranked:
    • 25th in Pro Football Focus rushing grade
    • 44th in PFF’s Elusive Rating
    • 46th in NFL Next Gen Stats’ Rush Yards Over Expected Per Attempt
  • Kamara continued to shine as a receiver out of the backfield. Among 43 RBs with 30+ targets, he ranked:
    • 5th in PFF receiving grade
    • 7th in yards after catch
    • 3rd in yards per route run

What to Expect in 2024

  • Kamara enters his third season under HC Dennis Allen.
  • New OC Klint Kubiak spent last year as the 49ers' passing game coordinator.
    • In Kubiak’s last OC stint for the Vikings in 2021, the team was 16th in the league in rush attempts (449).
  • The Saints are expected to take a slight step backward. They are tied for second in the NFC South with a 7.5 win total at most sportsbooks.
  • The Saints have the 25th-highest odds to win the Super Bowl at +8000 on most sportsbooks, third-highest in the division.
  • Kamara enters his eighth season at 29 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average RB with Kamara’s career produces between 70-80% of his peak value at age-29.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Derek Carr, QB NO

2:51pm EDT 10/28/24

Derek Carr On Track For Week 9 Return

Saints HC Dennis Allen said Monday that QB Derek Carr (oblique) is expected to return to practice this week. Allen added that he's "optimistic" Carr will be able to play vs. the Panthers on Sunday. That'd be excellent news for everyone in this New Orleans offense. The Saints averaged just 15 points and 215 passing yards per game without Carr over the past three weeks.

View all Derek Carr Shark Bites »

Saints RB Alvin Kamara rushed 10 times for 67 yards in a blowout loss to the Chargers. He added 6 grabs on a massive 11 targets, giving him 13+ PPR points in all but one game in 2024.

View Full Story »

The Saints and RB Alvin Kamara agreed on a two-year, $24.5 million extension, according to NFL Network's Mike Garafolo. Kamara was likely to hit free agency this offseason but is now signed with New Orleans through the 2026 campaign. There had been some talk of a Kamara trade recently, but this new deal puts that to bed.

View Full Story »

Saints RB Alvin Kamara mustered just 24 scoreless yards in the Week 7 loss to the Broncos. Down their starting QB, top two WRs, and multiple starting offensive linemen, the Saints offense had no chance against a quality Broncos defense. New Orleans mustered just 271 total yards and 10 points. Kamara found no running room, averaging an ugly 1.4 yards on his seven carries. He at least caught six of seven targets to help his PPR tally -- but those grabs totaled only 14 yards.

View Full Story »

Saints TE Taysom Hill (rib) is listed as doubtful for Thursday night's game vs. the Broncos. He got back on the practice field this week but hasn't been cleared for game action. We'll see if he can make it back for Week 8. Alvin Kamara will continue to dominate backfield work for the Saints with Hill out.

View all Taysom Hill Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Alvin Kamara, RB NO
Dynasty MVP 26.4
Position Rank #31 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
306
430
516
Dynasty Write-up
Despite another strong receiving season, Kamara set a career-low in rushing yards in 2023 (694). He signed a two-year contract extension in October 2024, keeping him under team control through the 2026 season.
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