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Roschon Johnson - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsRoschon Johnson's Basic Stats

Roschon Johnson
ADP: N/A
Bye: 7
Experience: 2
Age: 23.8
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 225
40 Time: 4.58

Burst Score (Rank): 114.60 (30%)

Roschon Johnson's Weekly Outlook

Week 9 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
18.1 0.25 0.9 6.2 0.04 4.2
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
29.5 0.2 1.3 9.3 0.1 5.6

Roschon Johnson's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#54 Running Back

103.1 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 98.4 424.2 3.26 1 0 21.1 148.2 0.87

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsRoschon Johnson's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Johnson could beat out Khalil Herbert for the No. 2 role. But the upside is limited without a D’Andre Swift injury. Johnson looks more interesting for dynasty formats than redraft at the moment.

What We Learned Last Year

  • The Bears liked Johnson’s ability in the passing game right away. He drew 7 targets to tie for the team lead in Week 1, catching a team-high six passes for 35 yards.
  • Johnson would finish the season tops among Chicago RBs in targets, catches, and receiving yards. He also ranked fourth on the team in targets and yards; third in receptions.
  • Johnson trailed Khalil Herbert, however, in yards per catch (6.7 to 6.1) and receiving success rate (41.9% to 27.5%, according to Pro Football Reference).
  • He also checked in just fourth on the team – and third among RBs – in carries, despite playing more games than both Herbert and D’Onta Foreman.
    • Johnson drew 5.4 carries per game vs. 11.0 for Herbert and 12.1 for Foreman.
    • He also trailed Herbert and Foreman in yards after contact per attempt, according to Pro Football Focus – as well as elusive rating and rushing grade.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Johnson’s still relatively new to the position. He shifted from QB to RB midway through his freshman season at Texas. And then he had to work behind Bijan Robinson.
  • He’s likely still developing, which complicates his competition with Khalil Herbert.
  • Of course, the Bears capped the upside for both RBs by paying up for D’Andre Swift in free agency. Chicago paid him clear lead-back money. And Swift’s strength conflicts with Johnson’s.
    • Since he entered the league in 2020, Swift ranks fourth among RBs in receptions. Only Austin Ekeler, Alvin Kamara, and Christian McCaffrey have caught more passes at the position in that span.
  • Johnson leads the 2024 RB group in size, which could help him garner goal-line opportunities. He led Herbert in that category last year. D’Onta Foreman is gone, and D’Andre Swift has never been a goal-line winner thus far in his NFL career.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

D'Andre Swift, RB CHI

2:34pm EDT 10/13/24

D'Andre Swift Stays Hot

Bears RB D’Andre Swift rushed 17 times for 91 yards and 1 score in Sunday's blowout win over the Jags. He's now hit 100 total yards in three straight games.

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Bears RB Roschon Johnson ran 10 times for 25 yards and two TDs in a solid performance. He is clearly back behind RB D’Andre Swift who ran 21 times for 73 yards and a TD along with two catches for 47 yards.

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Bears RB D'Andre Swift rushed 16 times for 93 yards and 1 score in Sunday's win over the Rams. The breakout game included team-highs in targets (7), catches (7) and receiving yards (72).

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"Watch for Bears running back Roschon Johnson to possibly get an extended look this week," ESPN's Jeremy Fowler wrote on Wednesday. It doesn't exactly read like a set-in-stone report, but Fowler wouldn't write it without having some sort of intel from the Bears. And it certainly makes sense considering RB D'Andre Swift has been the least effective runner in the NFL through three weeks. He's averaging 1.8 yards per carry and ranks dead last among 50 qualifying RBs in NFL Next Gen Stats' rush yards over expected per attempt. Swift posted season lows last week in snap rate (53%), carry share (46%), and route rate (50%) -- and it sounds like he's set to lose more work. Swift should be on fantasy benches for Week 4. You'd ideally wait to see Johnson's role expand before starting him, but he should be rostered in all fantasy leagues of 12+ teams and even most 10-teamers.

View all Roschon Johnson Shark Bites »

Bears RB Roschon Johnson is a healthy scratch for today's opener vs. the Titans. That leaves RBs D'Andre Swift, Khalil Herbert, and Travis Homer dressed for Chicago. We'll see what the workload split looks like under new OC Shane Waldron, but Swift is the only viable Week 1 fantasy play. We'd expect Johnson to work into the backfield mix if Swift or Herbert miss time this season, but he's droppable in shallow fantasy leagues.

View all Roschon Johnson Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Roschon Johnson, RB CHI
Dynasty MVP 14.2
Position Rank #46 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
195
301
529
Dynasty Write-up
Johnson doesn’t have much tread off his tires after playing behind Bijan Robinson at Texas. His limited sample showed a tough, hard-nosed rusher with pass protection chops. At 6’0, 220 pounds, Johnson also posted solid testing numbers at the Combine. He simply never took over the backfield as a rookie, and now he'll battle for the No. 2 role after Chicago added D'Andre Swift. Chicago will also break in a new OC.
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