Open Nav
Show Navigation
Show Menu
Player Profile

Kenneth Walker III - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsKenneth Walker III's Basic Stats

Kenneth Walker III
ADP: N/A
Bye: 10
Experience: 3
Age: 24.0
Height: 5'9"
Weight: 211
40 Time: 4.38

Burst Score (Rank): 118.80 (51%)

Kenneth Walker III's Weekly Outlook

Week 9 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
65.9 0.54 3.9 28.7 0.12 12.9
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
73.6 0.5 1.9 13.6 0.1 11.8

Kenneth Walker III's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#13 Running Back

215.4 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 244.4 1082.1 7.64 5.1 1.5 33.5 245.7 1.06

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsKenneth Walker III's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Walker struggled through injuries last year and lost some playing time to RB Zach Charbonnet. He finished 22nd among RBs in PPR points per game.

Walker and Charbonnet are both back in Seattle for 2024, but they’ll be in a brand new offense under first-time OC Ryan Grubb. That adds some uncertainty to the workload split.

Consider Walker a risk/reward RB2 in fantasy drafts.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Walker ranked 22nd among RBs in PPR points per game last season; 20th in non-PPR.
  • He slightly overachieved vs. his opportunity. Walker ranked 27th at his position in expected PPR points per game; 24th in expected non-PPR points per game.
  • He dealt with a bunch of injuries.
    • He missed the first couple of weeks of training camp with a groin issue.
    • He was knocked out early in Week 11 by an oblique injury and missed the next two games.
    • He also appeared on the injury report with calf, chest, and shoulder injuries.
  • In his 14 healthy games, Walker:
    • Played 57.5% of Seattle’s offensive snaps
    • Ran a route on 39.2% of the pass plays
    • Handled 67.6% of the team’s carries
    • Drew a 7.7% target share
  • Walker lost more playing time to RB Zach Charbonnet late in the season, although his share of the workload actually increased a bit.
    • In Weeks 1-6:
      • 67% snap rate
      • 47% route rate
      • 66.9% carry share
      • 7.6% target share
    • In Weeks 14-18:
      • 53% snap rate
      • 36% route rate
      • 67.3% carry share
      • 8.7% target share
  • Walker beat Charbonnet in Pro Football Focus rushing grade and Elusive Rating. But Charbonnet beat Walker in yards after contact per attempt and NFL Next Gen Stats’ Rush Yards Over Expected Per Attempt.
  • Among 49 RBs with 90+ carries last year, Walker ranked:
    • 22nd in yards after contact per attempt
    • 30th in Rush Yards Over Expected Per Attempt
    • 8th in PFF rushing grade
    • 7th in Elusive Rating
  • His yards per carry dipped from 4.6 as a 2022 rookie to 4.1 last year.
    • That was largely because Walker didn’t break off as many long runs. He went from 10 carries of 20+ yards and three of 40+ in 2022 to seven carries of 20+ and just one 40-yarder last year.
    • His success rate actually climbed from 39.9% in 2022 to 46.6% in 2023 – although last year’s mark still ranked just 31st among 49 qualifiers.
  • Walker beat Charbonnet in catch rate, yards per catch, yards per route run, and PFF receiving grade. He ranked 11th in yards per route and 10th in receiving grade among 43 qualifying RBs.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Last year’s work split between Walker and Charbonnet might not mean much heading into 2024. The Seahawks have a brand new coaching staff led by HC Mike Macdonald and OC Ryan Grubb.
  • This will be Grubb’s first NFL coaching job.
    • He’s been coaching in various offensive roles for various schools since 2003.
    • Grubb most recently served as the University of Washington’s OC. Those Huskies teams both ranked top 13 in the nation in total yards and points per game.
    • They were especially lethal through the air, ranking first and then second in passing yards per game. Washington ranked top five in pass attempts both years.
    • The Huskies ranked 69th and then 106th in rushing yards per game.
  • Grubb said in early June that his Seahawks offense might not be as pass-heavy.
    • “So when you talk about some of the run-pass balance, you have backs like (Kenneth Walker III) and Zach (Charbonnet), you are pretty excited about your ability to run the ball. So I think for us we are trying to meld some things together with some things we’ve done in the past, whether it’s a long time ago or even just the last few years and get the guys to understand that we want to be a physically dominant team and at the same time have that same explosive, confusing element that people are used to.”
  • Grubb deployed a committee backfield at Washington in 2022, with Wayne Taulapapa averaging 10.8 carries per game and Cameron Davis averaging 9.7. Grubb leaned on Dillon Johnson as a feature back this past year, feeding him 60% of the team’s carries.
  • The 2023 Seahawks ranked:
    • 15th in Pro Football Focus run-blocking grade
    • 17th in ESPN’s run-block win rate
    • 25th in adjusted line yards
  • Seattle might have as many as four new starters on the offensive line this season: OT George Fant, Gs Laken Tomlinson and McClendon Curtis, and rookie C Olu Oluwatimi. 2022 first-round LT Charles Cross returns for his third season.
  • Our Injury Predictor gives Walker a 41.8% chance of injury and 1.9 projected games missed this season.

Adjust Kenneth Walker III's Projections

We'll recalculate this player's Projections (DS Proj/ only) and 3D Value based on your opinion of the player. This adjustments will be made for ALL of your leagues on Draft Sharks

Go to My Account to see a full list of your adjustments.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Kenneth Walker III, RB SEA

7:57pm EDT 10/27/24

Kenneth Walker III Disappoints Against the Bills

With the game out of hand early, Walker only carried the ball nine times for 12 yards. He did catch four of five targets for 33 yards, but it was a disappointing day for a talented RB in a positive match-up.

View Full Story »

Seahawks RB Ken Walker (illness) is active for today’s game vs. the Falcons. He was added to the injury report on Saturday, but we’ve heard nothing about his workload being limited today. Walker remains a must start.

View all Kenneth Walker III Shark Bites »

Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker III was downgraded to Questionable due to an illness. It is unknown what the illness is, but any downgrade less than 24 hours before game is not good news. Walker's status for Sunday is in doubt.

View Full Story »

Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker III endured a weak fantasy day in Sunday's loss to the Giants. It would have been much worse without a big receiving effort, though. Walker made a team-leading 7 receptions on a team-high 8 targets. He tallied 57 receiving yards, to go with 5 carries for 19 yards.

View Full Story »

Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker III took control of the backfield in his return from an oblique injury Monday night. He claimed 86% of the team's RB carries in the loss to the Lions, rushing for 80 yards and 3 TDs on his 12 carries. RB Zach Charbonnet matched Walker with 5 targets but also trailed him in pass routes, 32-19, according to Pro Football Focus.

View Full Story »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Kenneth Walker III, RB SEA
Dynasty MVP 52.1
Position Rank #7 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
442
682
1,089
Dynasty Write-up
The Seahawks selected UCLA RB Zach Charbonnet in Round 2 of the 2023 draft, but it was Walker who maintained lead-back duties. His efficiency still took a step back, hurt by a couple of injuries. The big-play threat will turn only 24 this season. We'll see how new OC Ryan Grubb distributes RB touches.
Compare Plans » Compare Plans »
THE 2024 ROOKIE GUIDE IS HERE! UPDATED POST-DRAFT
Trade Values • Model Scores • Analytics • Sleepers • Busts & More